Free MLB Parlay Pick for July 19, 2025

Nick Galaida Sports Betting Expert

2 minute read

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Who's ready for Saturday’s baseball action with an MLB Parlay that pays out +511?  Follow along as MLB betting expert Nick Galaida breaks down his Parlay picks for Saturday, July 19.

Saturday’s MLB slate features 15 games, with all 30 teams in action. First pitch is scheduled for 3:07 p.m. ET in Toronto, with the rest of the day’s matchups spread throughout the late afternoon and evening.

As always, it is worth noting that straight wagers are a far more profitable long-term betting strategy than parlays. Still, parlays can be a fun way to add some extra action to a game and make things more interesting! 

Looking to get in on the action? Be sure to check out the latest DraftKings promo code!

MLB Parlay Picks Today

• Yu Darvish Under 15.5 Outs Recorded (-130)
• Brayan Bello Under 17.5 Outs Recorded (-130)
• Ryne Nelson Under 17.5 Outs Recorded (-105)

PAYOUT: +511

PLACE PARLAY INSTANTLY AT DRAFTKINGS!

Yu Darvish UNDER 15.5 Outs Recorded (-130)

Yu Darvish made two starts prior to the All-Star break, failing to complete five innings in either outing. Notably, Darvish struggled mightily with his command, throwing only 55% first-pitch strikes and walking 15% of the batters he faced.

In those two starts, Darvish was particularly bad across the platoon, struggling to a 7.01 FIP and 2.08 WHIP in a limited sample size.

Yesterday, the Nationals had six left-handed hitters in their lineup against Dylan Cease. If we see a similar lineup construction today from Washington, there will be plenty of tempting spots for manager Mike Shildt to go to his rested bullpen.

Brayan Bello UNDER 17.5 Outs Recorded (-130)

Brayan Bello excelled to a 2.06 ERA and 0.92 WHIP during his final five starts heading into the All-Star break, but there is some evidence to suggest that he could be due for some negative regression down the stretch of the schedule.

Notably, Bello benefited from a likely unsustainable .221 BABIP and 84.3% strand rate in that span. Bello seemingly improved against left-handed hitters during that stretch, but still posted a 4.27 xFIP across the platoon, suggesting that his ERA was perhaps a little bit more lucky than deserved.

Today, Bello will have to contend with a tough Cubs lineup – one that leads all of baseball in wRC+ against right-handed pitching since June 19.

Boston also has both of their southpaw relievers rested and available today, which could mean a quick hook for Bello, if Michael Busch and Kyle Tucker are once again atop the order. The weather also looks to be slightly hitter-friendly today at Wrigley Field, which only makes things more difficult for Bello in this spot.

Ryne Nelson UNDER 17.5 Outs Recorded (-105)

Ryne Nelson ended the first half of the campaign in the midst of one of the great Houdini acts of 2025. Across his final six starts, he turned in a 2.43 FIP, which was nearly two full runs lower than his 4.01 FIP.

During that span, Nelson benefited from a likely unsustainable .227 BABIP and 85.0% strand rate – even more incredulous when considering he allowed a higher barrel%, higher hard-hit%, and a higher average exit velocity than the league average pitcher in that span. 

Moreover, Nelson hasn’t been particularly efficient of late, averaging 3.95 pitches per batter faced during the last 30 days. Factor in that he hasn’t thrown more than 88 pitches in a game this season, and there are plenty of reasons to like the under in this spot, especially with a very rested Arizona arm barn available behind him.

Nick Galaida

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