Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies Picks, Predictions, Odds

The Milwaukee Brewers (9-6) will wrap up their series with the Philadelphia Phillies (6-9) on Sunday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:00 PM ET at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania and can be viewed on ESPN.  

Sign up to get daily betting columns directly to your inbox!

Score Prediction

Milwaukee 5, Philadelphia 4 

Best Bets 

  • Brewers ML (+146) at WynnBet
  • Over 8 (-105) at WynnBet

Betting On The MLB

Best MLB Betting Sites:

bet365 | BetMGM | Caesars Sportsbook | FanDuel | FOX Bet | PointsBet | SI Sportsbook | Unibet | Best US Sportsbooks

Where to bet on the MLB:

Arizona | Colorado | Illinois | Indiana | Louisiana | Michigan | New Jersey | New York | Pennsylvania | Tennessee | Virginia | West Virginia

Updated on 03/28/2024
Bonus Code No Code Needed Claim Now

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies Betting Predictions

The Brewers defeated the Phillies 5-3 on Saturday to tie the series up at one game apiece. Milwaukee hit the ball fairly well with nine hits, five runs, and went 4-8 with runners in scoring position. Starting pitcher Adrian Houser went 6.0 innings and gave up five hits and three earned runs. The other three pitchers used gave up a combined two hits and zero runs. The southpaw Eric Lauer is scheduled to take the mound Sunday. Lauer is 1-0 in two games this season and has allowed eight hits, four earned runs, and struck out 10 batters in 10.1 innings of work.  

After winning game one 4-2, the Phillies struggled to have the same success on Saturday. Philadelphia was held to seven hits, three earned runs, and were 2-4 with runners in scoring position. Starting pitcher Zack Wheeler lasted 5.0 innings and gave up seven hits and four earned runs. The other four pitchers used gave up a combined two hits and zero runs. Right-handed pitcher Aaron Nola Is expected to start for the Phillies. Nola is 1-2 in three games this season and has allowed 13 hits, nine earned runs, and struck out 16 batters in 14.2 innings.  

I like Milwaukee moneyline and the total to go over here. The Brewers have struggled to score runs consistently, but this young roster is bound to break out eventually and what better time to do it than on Sunday Night Baseball. The Phillies have been solid at the plate this season and should help push the total over. While I do think the Phillies have a decent chance to win this game, I like the value in the Brewers at +146. Backing Milwaukee moneyline and over eight runs here.  

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies Betting Odds

  • Brewers +125
  • Phillies -150
  • Brewers +1.5 (-160)
  • Phillies -1.5 (+135)
  • Over 8 (-115)
  • Under 8 (-105)

MLB Odds | Futures Odds

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies Betting Resources

  • Date: Sunday, April 24, 2022
  • Matchup: NL Central vs. NL East
  • Stadium: Citizens Bank Park
  • Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
  • TV-Time: ESPN - 7:00 p.m. ET

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Analysis

After 15 games the Brewers are 9-6 SU, 6-9 ATS, and have an O/U record of 4-8-3. Milwaukee has been playing very well as of late, going 5-1 SU in their last six games. Going against this trend, the Brewers are 5-13 SU in their last 18 road games and are 1-5 SU in their last six road games against the Phillies. The total has gone under in four of Milwaukee’s last five games.  

The Brewers have struggled hitting the ball this season, but do have 14 hits and seven runs in their two games against the Phillies. As a team Milwaukee has a batting average of .209 (26th), on base percentage of .288 (23rd), slugging percentage of .340 (24th), and have scored 53 runs (19th). The right fielder Hunter Renfroe leads the Brewers with a batting average of .260 (13-50), two home runs, and five RBIs. Left fielder Andrew McCutchen has been the team's second-best hitter with a batting average of .255 (13-51), zero home runs, and six RBIs.  

Milwaukee has given up 17 hits and seven runs in their two-games against Philadelphia. Throughout the season they are allowing opponents a batting average of .219 (10th), have an ERA of 3.50 (15th), and have given up 56 runs (16th). Left-handed pitcher Eric Lauer is scheduled to take the mound Sunday. Lauer is 1-0 in two games this season and has allowed eight hits, four earned runs, and struck out 10 batters in 10.1 innings of work. 

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Analysis

The Phillies have had a disappointing start to the season and are 6-9 SU, 6-9 ATS, and have an O/U record of 6-7-2. Philadelphia has gone 4-4 at home this season, but are 0-6 in their last six games played on a Sunday.  The total has gone over in four of Philadelphia’s last five when playing game three of a series.  

Philadelphia has been solid at the plate this season and have 17 hits and seven runs in their two games against Milwaukee. As a team the Phillies have a batting average of .258 (4th), on base percentage of .327 (7th), slugging percentage of .418 (4th), and have scored 64 runs (10th). Left fielder Nick Castellanos has led the way for Philadelphia with a batting average of .321 (18-56), three home runs, and nine RBIs. Bryce Harper has been finding his groove after a slow start, with a batting average of .241, two home runs, and 11 RBIs.  

The pitching for Philadelphia has not been great this season, but has held Milwaukee to 14 hits and seven runs through two games. As a team they are allowing opponents a batting average of .246 (23rd), have an ERA of 4.98 (26th), and have given up 74 runs (26th). The Right-hander Aaron Nola Is expected to start for the Phillies. Nola is 1-2 in three games this season and has allowed 13 hits, nine earned runs, and struck out 16 batters in 14.2 innings.

Key Players to Watch

  • MIL: Christian Yelich - OF (Last Game: 1-4, RBI)
  • MIL: Willy Adames - SS (Last Game: 2-4, R, RBI)
  • PHI: Bryce Harper - DH (Last Game: 1-4, 2B, R)
  • PHI: Nick Castellanos - OF (Last Game: 1-3, 2B, 2 RBI)

Probable Pitchers

  • MIL: Eric Lauer - LHP (1-0, 3.48 ERA, 10 K, 1.06 WHIP)
  • PHI: Aaron Nola - RHP (1-2, 5.52 ERA, 16 K, 1.16 WHIP)

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies Betting Conclusion

The Brewers have a slugging percentage of just .340 this season, but this will be a great game to break out under the bright lights on ESPN. The Phillies should do their part with the total as the bats have been consistent for them throughout the season. I like the Brewers to win because of the depth in their bullpen. If Lauer can't get it going Sunday, the Brewers have a great group of relievers that can help secure the W. Backing Milwaukee moneyline and over eight runs in this matchup.