Last Updated May 03, 2022, 9:38 AM

New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Picks, Predictions, Odds

The New York Yankees (16-6) will take on the Toronto Blue Jays (15-8) Monday for the first-game of a three-game series. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07 PM ET at Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario and can be viewed on MLB Extra Innings.  

Score Prediction

Blue Jays 5, Yankees 4

Best Bets 

New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Betting Predictions

The Yankees enter this matchup after sweeping the Kansas City Royals in a three-game series. New York has swept their last three opponents and won eleven of their last twelve games. The Yankees have had their bats working, scoring 10 runs or more in four of their last eight games. The pitching has been solid as well, holding opponents to two runs or less in five of their last 10 games. Left-handed pitcher Jordan Montgomery is expected to take the mound Monday. Montgomery is 0-1 in four games this season and has allowed 14 hits, six earned runs, and struck out 15 in batters in 20.0 innings of work.

The Blue Jays are coming off a three-game series against the Houston Astros. Toronto won two of three games and have won five of their last seven. The offense has been a bit slow as of late, scoring three runs or less in three of their last four. They managed wins in all three of those games thanks to the bullpen holding opponents to two runs or less. The right-hander Ross Stripling is scheduled to get the start Monday. Stripling is 0-0 in five games this season and has given up 13 hits, six earned runs, and struck out 12 batters in 15.0 innings.  

The teams split their first series this season, winning two games each. I like Toronto at home here. The Yankees have won nine straight, but their competition has not been great. Expect Toronto to take game one with Stripling taking the mound and end the Yankees nine game winning streak. Backing Blue Jays MoneyLine.

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New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Betting Odds

  • Yankees -120
  • Blue Jays +100
  • Yankees -1.5 (+135)
  • Blue Jays +1.5 (-155)
  • Over 8.5 (+100)
  • Under 8.5 (-120)

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New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Betting Resources

  • Date: Monday, May 2, 2022
  • Matchup: AL East
  • Stadium: Rogers Centre
  • Location: Toronto, Ontario
  • TV-Time: MLBN - 7:07 p.m. ET

New York Yankees Betting Analysis

The Yankees are first in the NL East and have gone 16-6 SU, 14-8 ATS, and have an O/U record of 9-13. The total has gone over in six of New York’s last eight games. The Yankees have won their last five games. The Yankees have had success in Toronto, going 5-1 in their last six games played at Rogers Centre.  

During New York’s nine-game winning streak the offense has scored five runs or more in seven of those games. As a team the Yankees have a batting average of .327 (5th), on base percentage of .327 (6th), slugging percentage of .425 (3rd), and have scored 106 runs (4th). The first baseman Anthony Rizzo has been bringing in runs with a batting average of .269 (21-78), nine home runs, and 21 RBIs. Right fielder Aaron Judge has been solid with a batting average of .300 (24-80), eight home runs, and 16 RBIs.  

The Yankees bullpen has been great, holding opposing teams to three runs or less in eight of their last 12 games. As a team they are allowing opponents a batting average of .220 (7th), have an ERA of 2.72 (2nd), and have given up 65 runs (2nd). The left-hander Jordan Montgomery is expected to take the mound Monday. Montgomery is 0-1 in four games this season and has allowed 14 hits, six earned runs, and struck out 15 in batters in 20.0 innings of work. In two games against Toronto last season, he gave up 10 hits, seven earned runs, and struck out five batters in 9.3 innings.  

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Analysis

Toronto is off to a nice start with record of 15-8 SU, 9-14 ATS, and have an O/U record of 7-15-1. The total has gone under in four of the Blue Jays last five games. Going against this trend, the total has gone over in four of their last five against the Yankees. Toronto has gone 9-4 SU at home this season.  

The Blue Jays offense has been good this season. As a team Toronto has a batting average of .243 (8th), on base percentage of .304 (18th), slugging percentage of .410 (4th), and have scored 92 runs (16th). The first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr leads the team in RBIs with 16, to go along with a batting average of .275 (22-8) and six home runs. Center fielder George Springer has also been hitting the ball well with a batting average of .289 (24-83), six home runs, and 12 RBIs.  

Toronto enters this matchup after holding the Astros to two runs on Sunday. On the season they are allowing opponents a batting average of .243 (22nd), have an ERA of 3.68 (19th), and have given up 91 runs (16th). Right-handed pitcher Ross Stripling is scheduled to get the start Monday. Stripling is 0-0 in five games this season and has given up 13 hits, six earned runs, and struck out 12 batters in 15.0 innings. Stripling pitched in two games against the Yankees last season and gave up 10 hits, five earned runs, and struck out 14 batters in 9.3 innings. 

Key Players to Watch

  • NYY: Aaron Judge - OF (Last Game: 2-5, 2 HR, 2 R, 3 RBI)
  • NYY: Isiah Kiner-Falefa - SS (Last Game: 1-3, 2B, 2 R, RBI, BB)
  • TOR: George Springer - OF (Last Game: 0-3, R, BB)
  • TOR: Vlad Guerrero, Jr. - 1B (Last Game: 0-3)

Probable Pitchers

  • NYY: Jordan Montgomery - LHP (0-1, 2.70 ERA, 15 K, 0.95 WHIP)
  • TOR: Ross Stripling - RHP (0-0, 3.60 ERA, 12 K, 1.13 WHIP)

New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Betting Conclusion

I like the Blue Jays in game one of this series. Sitting just a one and a half games behind New York for first place, Toronto will want to make a statement in this one. Stripling pitched well against the Yankees last season and I expect that to continue Monday. Backing the Blue Jays MoneyLine here.   

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