Last Updated May 30, 2022, 10:09 PM

Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Picks, Predictions, Odds

The Atlanta Braves (23-25) will take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (23-26) Monday night for game-one of a three-game series. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 PM ET at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona and can be viewed on MLB Extra Innings.  

Score Prediction

Diamondbacks 5, Braves 3

Best Bets 

Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Predictions

The Atlanta Braves enter this matchup second in the NL East standings, eight games behind the New York Mets for first place. The Braves won two of three games in their most recent series against Miami and are now 6-4 SU in their last 10 games. The offense is averaging four runs per game this season, but have managed six or more runs in four of their last six games. Atlanta’s bullpen has been a bit inconsistent this season and rank amongst the middle of the league in most major categories. Right-handed pitcher Spencer Strider will get his first MLB start Monday. Strider has seen action in 11 games this season and has allowed nine hits, two earned runs, and struck out 26 batters in 15.1 innings.  

The Arizona Diamondbacks are currently fourth in the NL West standings, 11 games behind the Dodgers for first place. The Diamondbacks were most recently swept by the Dodgers in a four-game-series. Arizona was simply outmatched, scoring eight runs throughout the series while giving up 26. The offense has struggled with their bats all season, averaging just 3.83 runs per game. The bullpen has been on par with the offense in terms of production, allowing 4.22 runs per game. The right-hander Zac Gallen is expected to take the mound Monday. Gallen is 3-0 in eight games this season with an ERA of 2.22 and has given up 25 hits, 11 earned runs, and struck out 43 batters in 44.2 innings of work.  

This will be the Diamondbacks best chance for a win in this series as Gallen has been their strongest pitcher. Arizona may be able to put some solid offensive production as well, going against Spencer Strider who will be making his first MLB start. Back Arizona in this matchup as they should be able to sneak a win here in game one.

Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Odds

  • Braves -120
  • Diamondbacks +100
  • Braves -1.5 (+145)
  • Diamondbacks +1.5 (-165)
  • Over 8.5 (-110)
  • Under 8.5 (-110)

MLB Odds | World Series Odds | Expert Picks

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Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Resources

  • Date: Monday, May 30, 2022
  • Matchup: NL East vs. NL West
  • Stadium: Chase Field
  • Location: Phoenix, Arizona
  • TV-Time: MLB.tv - 8:10 p.m.

Atlanta Braves Betting Analysis

Having won six of their last 10 games the Braves are now 23-25 SU, 23-25 ATS, and have an O/U record of 27-18-3. The total has gone over in five of Atlanta’s last seven games. Following this trend, the total has gone over in 10 of their last 15 games when playing an opponent from the NL East. Atlanta is 9-11 SU on the road this season and 15-13 SU when playing as the favorite.  

Atlanta’s offense has been a bit stagnant this season, but have been more productive as of late. As a team the Braves have a batting average of .232 (22nd), on base percentage of .302 (20th), slugging percentage of .402 (8th), and have scored 198 runs (17th). The shortstop Dansby Swanson is having a solid season with a batting average of .269 (45-167), six home runs, and 24 RBIs. Third baseman Austin Riley is also playing well with a batting average of .250 (46-184), 11 home runs, and 23 RBIs.  

The Braves' bullpen has given up four runs or more in six of their last seven games. As a team they are allowing opponents a batting average of .232 (13th), have a WHIP of 1.29 (18th), and have an ERA of 3.95 (17th). Right-handed pitcher Spencer Strider will get his first MLB start Monday. Strider has seen action in 11 games this season and has allowed nine hits, two earned runs, and struck out 26 batters in 15.1 innings. Strider struck out five in 2.2 innings in his most recent appearance against the Phillies on May 25th.  

Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Analysis

After being swept by the Dodgers, the Diamondbacks are now 23-26 SU, 29-20 ATS, and have an O/U record of 21-27-1. The total has gone over is six of Arizona’s last nine games. Following this trend, the total has gone under in 13 of their last 18 when playing an NL West opponent. The Diamondbacks have gone 12-14 SU at home this season and are 17-22 SU when playing as the underdog.  

Arizona continues to struggle with their bats this season. As a team the Diamondbacks have a batting average of .217 (29th), on base percentage of .299 (23rd), slugging percentage of .378 (20th), and have scored 189 runs (22nd). Center fielder Daulton Varsho has been Arizona’s best hitter with a batting average of .264 (42-159), eight home runs, and 21 RBIs. Left fielder David Peralta has been hitting the ball fairly well with a batting average of .232 (33-142), eight home runs, and 21 RBIs. 

The Diamondbacks bullpen have put together some solid outings this season, but have struggled for the most part. As a team they are allowing opponents a batting average of .246 (20th), have a WHIP of 1.29 (17th), and have an ERA of 4.20 (24th). The right-hander Zac Gallen is expected to take the mound Monday. Gallen is 3-0 in eight games this season with an ERA of 2.22 and has given up 25 hits, 11 earned runs, and struck out 43 batters in 44.2 innings of work. In his one against the Braves last season, Gallen struck out six batters in 7.0 innings while giving up one hit and zero runs.  

Key Players to Watch

  • ATL: Ronald Acuna, Jr. - OF (Last Game: 0-4)
  • ATL: Matt Olson - 1B (Last Game: 2-4, 2 2B)
  • ARI: Ketel Marte - DH (Last Game: 1-4, 2B)
  • ARI: Josh Rojas - 3B (Last Game: 1-4)

Probable Pitchers

  • ATL: Spencer Strider - RHP (1-1, 2.22 ERA, 37 K, 1.03 WHIP)
  • ARI: Zac Gallen - RHP (3-0, 2.22 ERA, 43 K, 0.83 WHIP)

Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Conclusion

I like the Diamondbacks here in game-one. Their offense has been stagnant this season, but I expect them to take advantage of Spencer Strider making his first start. Zac Gallen is coming off his worst game of the year, allowing seven hits and six runs in 5.1 innings to the Royals. He had been great up until that point and should bounce back in this one. Backing Arizona Moneyline with their best pitcher taking the mound.  

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