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Last Updated Jun 30, 2022, 06:51 PM

New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros Picks, Predictions, Odds

New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros Betting Analysis

The New York Yankees visit the Houston Astros at Minute Maid Park on Thursday, June 30, 2022 for the first of a one-game series.

The Yankees currently lead the American League East with a record of 56-20. The Astros rank first in the American League West standings with a record of 47-27, which includes an impressive 20-11 mark at home.

New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros Betting Prediction

he New York Yankees enter this matchup first in the AL East standings with a 13-game lead over the second place Toronto Blue Jays. The Yankees went 3-0 SU in their most recent series with the Oakland Athletics and have won seven of their last 10 games. New York was great on both sides of the ball against the Athletics, scoring 16 runs throughout the series while holding Oakland to nine runs. This is a common trend for the Yankees who lead the league in runs per game (5.03) and have the league's best ERA (2.93). The right fielder Aaron Judge has played a significant role in the offensive success this season with a batting average of .290 (82-283), 29 home runs, and 59 RBIs.  

Houston is currently first in the AL West standings with a 11-game lead over the second place Texas Rangers. The Astros most recently swept the New York Mets in a two-game series and have won seven of their last 10 games. Houston held the Mets to just one run throughout the series while scoring 11. This is nothing new for an Astros bullpen that has a team ERA of 2.98 (2nd). The offense has been a bit inconsistent this season, but still average a respectable 4.3 runs per game. Bettors should keep an eye on left fielder Yordan Alvarez status who is listed as day-to-day and being evaluated for a concussion after exiting Wednesday’s game. Alvarez has been excellent this season with a batting average of .316 (75-237), 23 home runs, and 56 RBIs.  

These two teams met just last week at Yankee Stadium for a four-game series, each team winning two games. I like the Yankees to win Thursday’s matchup with Luis Severino (4-2) expected to take the mound. Severino was solid in last week's outing against Houston, striking out seven batters in 6.0 innings while giving up five hits and three runs. The Astros will send Luis Garcia (5-5) to the mound. Garcia has been decent this season with an ERA of 3.68 but has struggled against quality offenses. I expect that trend to continue here and for the Yankees to see success against Garcia. 

Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Astros 3
Best Bet: Yankees ML

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New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros Betting Odds

New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros Betting Resources

  • Date: Thursday, June 30, 2022
  • Matchup: AL East vs. AL West
  • Venue: Minute Maid Park
  • Location: Houston, Texas
  • Time-TV: 6:10 p.m. ET – MLBN

New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros – Current Form

New York continues to roll, going 5-1 in its last six games against the Rays and the Athletics. In the second contest against the Oakland Athletics on Tuesday, the New York Yankees were in their best form in the last six games, keeping the Oakland Athletics at only one run.

The first of three matches on Monday marked an nine-run effort by New York against the Oakland Athletics, which was their best performance this week. The Mets were unable to score a single run against the Houston Astros on Wednesday, which was Houston’s best result in the last two series. Scoring 13 runs against the Chicago White Sox on Friday’s first game in the series was their best performance in their last five games.

New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros – Pitching Matchup

New York: Luis Severino (4-3, 3.38 ERA)

Luis Severino takes the mound in the series opener as he makes his 13th start of the season for the Yankees in this contest. He comes in 4-3 with a 3.38 ERA, a 1.07 WHIP, 21 walks and 87 strikeouts over 72 innings of work on the year. Severino got assigned the loss in his last start, which came at home against the Houston Astros on June 24, 2022. He threw six innings, allowing three runs on five hits with two walks and seven strikeouts in an eventual 1-3 Yankees defeat. Severino is 1-1 with a 4.61 ERA across this season’s five starts on the road, which includes 11 walks, 31 strikeouts, and a 1.13 WHIP over 27.1 innings of action.

Houston: Luis Garcia (5-5, 3.68 ERA)

Houston ace Luis Garcia toes the rubber for his 13th start of the season as he looks to improve on a 5-5 mark and 3.68 ERA. The right-hander has put together a 1.07 WHIP to go along with 74 strikeouts and 19 walks in 71 innings of work. Garcia added another win to his record in his most recent start against the New York Mets, as Houston’s right-hander surrendered three runs on six hits, one walk, and five strikeouts during the Astros’ 5-3 home loss on June 22, 2022. Garcia owns a 3-2 home record this season in six starts at the Minute Maid Park. In those outings, he has posted a 5.18 ERA, a 1.09 WHIP, nine walks, and 38 strikeouts in 33 innings of work.

New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros – Series History

New York went 4-2 overall in the 2021 head-to-head meetings. This season, the teams are toe to toe, with two wins each.

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