Last Updated Sep 19, 2022, 7:37 PM
New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers Picks, Predictions, Odds
Sports Betting Expert
New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers Betting Analysis
The Brewers host the Mets in the first contest of a three-game set at American Family Field on Monday, September 19th.
New York leads the National League East at 93-55, putting together a 43-29 record when playing away from Citi Field. Milwaukee begins Monday's action in second place of the National League Central. The Brewers own a 78-68 record and sit eight games in back of the Cardinals for first place, while posting a 41-28 mark at home.
New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers Betting Prediction
After losing to the Yankees on Sunday the Brewers are now second in the NL Central standings, eight games behind the St. Louis Cardinals for first place. Milwaukee is also just two games behind the Phillies for the third NL Wild Card spot. They most recently went 2-1 SU in a three-game series with the Yankees and have won seven of their last 10 games. The offense has been solid over that stretch, averaging 4.8 runs per game. This is a bit better than their season average of 4.53 runs per game. Milwaukee's bullpen has not played quite as well over their last 10 games with a team ERA of 4.5. This is above their season ERA of 3.94 (18th). The right-hander Corbin Burnes (10-7, 2.97 ERA) is scheduled to start for the Brewers on Monday.
The Mets enter this matchup atop the NL East standings with a one game lead over the second place Atlanta Braves. New York swept the Pirates in their most recent four game series and have won six of their last 10 games. The Mets have managed to hang onto the division lead despite the Braves playing lights out in the second half of the season. New York’s offense has been solid throughout the season with a batting average of .258 (5th), on base percentage of .331 (2nd), slugging percentage of .409 (10th) and have scored 695 total runs (5th). The bullpen has been consistent this season as well with a WHIP of 1.18 (6th) and team ERA of 3.51 (7th). Right-handed pitcher Max Scherzer (9-4, 2.26 ERA) is expected to take the mound for the Mets Monday.
I like the Mets to take game one of this series with Max Scherzer taking the mound. Scherzer will make his first appearance since injuring his left oblique on September 4th, but I don’t expect that to be too much of a factor here. I also don’t hate the under in this matchup with how well Burnes has pitched for Milwaukee but it’s a bit too low for comfort at the moment. Backing the Mets moneyline here as Scherzer should put New York in a good position to win this matchup.
Score Prediction: Mets 4, Brewers 3
Best Bet: Mets ML (-105)
New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers Betting Odds
New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers Betting Resources
- Date: Monday, September 19th, 2022
- Matchup: NL East vs. NL Central
- Venue: American Family Field
- Location: Milwaukee, Wisconsin
- Time-TV: 7:40 p.m. ET – MLB Network
New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers – Current Form
The Mets lost against the Cubs last Wednesday with 3-0, but climbed back up by winning against the Pirates last Sunday. The Pirates scored only one runs against the New York Mets on Thursday, which was New York’s best result in last two series.
New York cruised past the Pittsburgh Pirates on Thursday by plating seven runs in the first of a game of the series. Milwaukee and the St. Louis Cardinals finished their series with 1-1, but captured its series against the Yankees on Sunday, in a series that brought both their best and worst performance in the past five games. On Saturday, the Brewers keept them at only one run, while on Sunday, the defense of Milwaukee allowed 12 runs.
New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers – Pitching Matchup
New York: Max Scherzer (15-6, 3.70 ERA)
Max Scherzer will make his 21st start of the season for New York, who’s hoping to find some traction after posting a 9-4 record and 2.26 ERA thus far, while tallying a 0.92 WHIP, 23 walks, and 153 strikeouts across 127.2 innings of action. The Mets edged the Nationals in his latest start, as Scherzer tossed five innings and allowed one run on four hits, while striking out five and walking one. Scherzer is 5-2 with a 2.86 ERA across this season’s 10 starts on the road, which includes 12 walks, 77 strikeouts, and a 0.97 WHIP over 63 innings of action.
Milwaukee: Corbin Burnes (10-7, 2.97 ERA)
Corbin Burnes will get the start for the Brewers tonight, who’s hoping to find some traction after posting a 10-7 record and 3.70 ERA thus far, while tallying a 0.98 WHIP, 47 walks, and 219 strikeouts across 179 innings of action. The Brewers lost to St. Louis in his most recent start, as he tossed seven innings and allowed three runs while striking out five and walking one. Burnes is 6-3 with a 3.10 ERA across 15 home starts this season, which includes 21 walks, 129 strikeouts, and a 0.96 WHIP over 93 innings of action.
New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers – Series History
The 2021 series was owned by Milwaukee, who produced a 4-2 mark in the regular season matchups. In the current season, the Mets have taken the advantage away from the Brewers with 2 wins out of three games.