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Last Updated Sep 20, 2022, 6:53 PM

New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers Picks, Predictions, Odds

New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers Betting Analysis

The New York Mets and the Milwaukee Brewers play the second of a three-game series on Tuesday, September 20, 2022 at the American Family Field.

New York is sitting in first place of the National League East standings at 94-55. In games away from Citi Field they’ve earned a 44-29 record. The Brewers entered Tuesday night second in the National League Central, 8.5 games behind the Cardinals for the division lead. At home they are 41-29, with an overall record of 78-69.

New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers Betting Prediction

With a win over the Brewers on Monday the Mets remain one game ahead of the second place Atlanta Braves for first place of the NL East division. New York’s offense was rolling on Monday with 10 hits and seven runs. Starting pitcher Max Scherzer was great in his return from injury, giving up zero hits and zero runs in six innings of work. The Mets are now on a five-game winning streak and have won seven of their last 10 games. The offense has been solid throughout the season with a batting average of .332 (5th), on base percentage of .332 (2nd), slugging percentage of .410 (10th) and have scored 702 total runs (5th). New York’s bullpen has also played well with a WHIP of 1.18 (5th) and team ERA of 3.50 (7th). The right-hander Carlos Carrasco ((15-6, 3.70 ERA) is scheduled to start for New York on Tuesday.  

Following Monday’s loss to the Mets, Milwaukee is now eight and half games behind the St. Louis Cardinals for lead of the NL Central division. They also dropped a half game in the NL Wild Card race and are two and a half games behind the Phillies for the third spot. The Brewers struggled to get much going on Monday with just four hits and two runs on the day. This is well below their season average of 7.8 hits and 4.53 runs per game. The bullpen also struggled, allowing 10 hits and seven runs. This is a bit uncharacteristic for a bullpen that has a WHIP of 1.24 (12th) and team ERA of 3.96 (18th). Despite Monday’s loss, the Brewers have been playing well in the second half of the season and have won six of their last 10 games. Southpaw pitcher Aaron Ashby (2-10, 4.58) is expected to take the mound Tuesday.  

I like the Mets to win game two of this series as they should have the pitching advantage in this one. Carrasco gave up four hits and one run in six innings of work in his most recent outing while Ashby gave up eight hits and six runs in five innings of work in his most recent start. Expect the Mets offense to have a similar day to Monday and for the bullpen to hold the Brewers bats at bay.  

Score Prediction: Mets 6, Brewers 3
Best Bet: Mets ML (-110)

New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers Betting Odds

New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers Betting Resources

  • Date: Tuesday, September 20, 2022
  • Matchup: NL East vs. NL Central
  • Venue: American Family Field
  • Location: Milwaukee, Wisconsin
  • Time-TV: 7:40 p.m. ET – TBS
    Expert Picks

New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers – Current Form

The Mets lost against the Cubs last Wednesday 3-0, but climbed back up by winning against the Pirates last Sunday. Their best performance was on Thursday, when they succeeded in limiting the Pirates to one run and posting seven in the first contest of a four-game series. The Brewers and the St. Louis Cardinals split their series on Wednesday, but grabbed two of three games last Sunday against the Yankees. The Yankees scored only one run against the Milwaukee Brewers on Saturday, which was Milwaukee’s best result in the last two series.

New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers – Pitching Matchup

New York: Carlos Carrasco (15-6, 3.70 ERA)

Carlos Carrasco takes the mound in the second game of a three-game series as he makes his 26th start of the season for the Mets in this contest. He comes in 15-6 with a 3.70 ERA, a 1.29 WHIP, 37 walks and 143 strikeouts over 141 innings of work on the year. Carrasco grabbed the win in his last start, which came at home against the Pittsburgh Pirates on September 15, 2022. He threw six innings, allowing one run on four hits with two walks and 11 strikeouts in an eventual 7-1 Mets win. Carrasco is 6-4 with a 4.42 ERA across this season’s 11 starts on the road, which includes 10 walks, 56 strikeouts, and a 1.23 WHIP over 57 innings of action.

Milwaukee: Aaron Ashby (2-10, 4.58 ERA)

Milwaukee’ left-hander Aaron Ashby takes the mound for his 17th start of the season. Ashby looks to improve on a 2-10 record and 4.58 ERA in 96.1 innings, while striking out 116, walking 43 batters, and posting a 1.43 WHIP. In Aaron Ashby’s last start, the Brewers were no match for the Chicago Cubs, losing 8-7 on August 19, 2022. The 24-year-old earned no decision in this game, having tossed five innings and yielded six runs on eight hits, while striking out eight. In five home starts this season, Ashby has compiled a 1-3 record in 30 innings, while striking out 34, walking 12 batters, and putting together a 3.60 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP.

New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers – Series History

In the six encounters between this pair during the 2021 campaign, the Brewers posted a winning 4-2 mark. The Mets have won three of four contests against the Brewers this season.

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