San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets Game 2 Picks, Predictions, Odds

The San Diego Padres and New York Mets meet Saturday for Game 2 of the NL Wild Card round. First pitch is scheduled for 7:37 PM ET at Citi Field and can be viewed on ESPN.  

Updated on 04/24/2024

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SAN DIEGO PADRES at NEW YORK METS BETTING PREDICTION

The San Diego Padres grabbed a 1-0 lead in this series after a commanding win over the Mets on Friday. The offense tore RHP Max Scherzer apart and finished the day with eight hits, four home runs, and seven runs scored. The Padres offense continues to get better and better after struggling in the first half of the season. LHP Yu Darvish had an excellent outing, going seven innings while giving up seven hits and one run. San Diego’s bullpen has been pitching well all season with a team ERA of 3.81 (11th). LHP Blake Snell (8-10, 3.38 ERA) is expected to start Saturday.  

The Mets lost a key Game 1 Friday, but back-to-back wins at home will advance them to the next round. New York finished the day with seven hits and one run. Not a horrible day at the plate, but they were just 1-10 with runners in scoring position. Finding ways to bring runners in during the postseason is crucial. Scherzer had one of his worst playoff outings of his career, giving up seven hits, four home runs, and seven runs. This is uncharacteristic for a Mets bullpen that has been great this season. RHP Jacob deGrom (5-4, 3.08 ERA) is scheduled to start Saturday.  

I like the Mets in Game 2 of this series. The offense has been too good this season to put up another dud performance like they did on Friday. Also, Snell should not see as much success as Darvish did. Backing the Mets at home here in Game 2.  

Score Prediction: Mets 5, Padres 3
Best Bet: Mets ML

SAN DIEGO PADRES at NEW YORK METS BETTING ODDS

SAN DIEGO PADRES at NEW YORK METS BETTING RESOURCES

• Date: Saturday, October 8, 2022
• Matchup: NL West vs. NL East
• Venue: Citi Field
• Location: New York, New York
• Time-TV: 7:37 p.m. ET – ESPN
• Expert Picks

SAN DIEGO PADRES BETTING ANALYSIS

Following Friday’s win, the Padres are now 90-73 SU and 73-90 ATS. San Diego is 6-1 SU in its last seven road games and 5-1 SU in its last six games against the Mets. The total has gone under in five of their last eight games against the Mets. The total has also gone under in six of their last 10 when playing an opponent from the NL East division.  

San Diego had its bats working Friday and have hit the ball well in the second half of the season. As a team its has a batting average of .241 (16th), on base percentage of .318 (8th), slugging percentage of .382 (22nd) and have scored 705 total runs (13th). 3B Manny Machado homered on Friday and has been great this season with a batting average of .298 (172-578), 32 home runs, and 102 RBIs. 1B Eric Hosmer has been productive as well with a batting average of .272 (91-335), eight home runs, and 40 RBIs.  

Darvish pitched lights out on Friday and the bullpen has been solid throughout the season. As a team they are allowing opponents a batting average of .232 (8th), have a WHIP of 1.20 (9th), and have a team ERA of 3.81 (11th). Snell is expected to start Saturday. Snell is 8-10 SU this season with an ERA of 3.38 and has given up 103 hits, 48 earned runs, and struck out 171 batters in 128.0 innings of work. In his two outings against the Mets this season, Snell gave up a combined 11 hits and five runs in 9.0 innings.  

NEW YORK METS BETTING ANALYSIS

The Mets enter this matchup 101-62 SU and 87-76 ATS. The total has gone over in 10 of the Mets last 12 games. The total has also gone over in seven of their last nine games against an NL opponent. Going against this trend the total has gone under in five of their last eight when playing at home against San Diego. New York is 8-2 SU in their last 10 games at home.  

New York’s offense is not used to getting shut down like it did on Friday night. As a team it has a batting average of .259 (2nd), on base percentage of .332 (2nd), slugging percentage of .412 (8th) and have scored 772 runs (5th). 1B Pete Alonso has been huge for the offense this season with a batting average of .271 (162-597), 40 home runs, 131 RBIs. SS Francisco Lindor has had success at the plate as well with a batting average of .270 (170-630).  

The Mets' bullpen has dealt with injuries throughout the season but have held up well. As a team they are allowing opponents a batting average of .236 (11th), have a WHIP of 1.18 (6th), and have a team ERA of 3.57 (7th). RHP Jacob deGrom is scheduled to start Saturday. DeGrom is 5-4 SU this season with a 3.08 ERA and has given up 40 hits, 22 earned runs, and struck out 102 batters in 64.1 innings of work. This will be the first time deGrom has faced the Padres this season. 

KEY PLAYERS

• SDG: Manny Machado - 3B (Last Game: 1-4, HR, RBI, R)
• SDG: Jurickson Profar - LF (Last Game: 2-3, HR, 3 RBI, 2 R, BB)
• NYM: Pete Alonso - 1B (Last Game: 1-4, 2 K)
• NYM: Francisco Lindor - SS (Last Game: 0-3)

PROBABLE PITCHERS

• SDG: Blake Snell - LHP (-)
• NYM: Jacob deGrom - RHP (-)