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Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres Game 2 Picks, Predictions, Odds

Daniel Dobish
Daniel Dobish Sports Betting Expert
5 minute read

The Philadelphia Phillies continue their series with the San Diego Padres Wednesday for Game 2 of the NLCS. First pitch is scheduled for 4:35 PM ET at Petco Park in San Diego, California and can be viewed on FOX.  

Updated on 04/25/2024
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PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES vs. SAN DIEGO PADRES BETTING PREDICTION

The Phillies snagged Game 1 on the road after a narrow 2-0 victory Tuesday night. The Phillies offense finished with just three hits, two runs, and went 0-for-3 with runners in scoring position (RISP). The difference in this one for Philadelphia was solo home runs by their two superstars Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber. The bullpen was phenomenal for the Phillies in the series opener. Starting pitcher Zack Wheeler allowed only one hit and no runs in seven innings of work. The other two pitchers used were perfect, allowing no production in two innings. RHP Aaron Nola (11-13, 3.25 ERA) is scheduled to start Game 2. 

San Diego took their first loss since beating the Los Angeles Dodgers in three straight games. The offense had no answers for Wheeler and the Phillies bullpen with just one hit, no runs, and going 0-for-2 with RISP. Definitely give credit to Wheeler, but Juan Soto and Manny Machado cannot go a combined 0-for-7 at the plate if the Padres want a chance in this series. The bullpen was solid as starter Yu Darvish held the Phillies to three hits and two runs in seven innings. The other two pitchers used did not allow a hit or run in a combined two innings. LHP Blake Snell (8-10, 3.38 ERA) is expected to start Wednesday. 
 
I like the value in backing the Phillies as underdogs in Game 2. Philadelphia looks like they cannot be stopped, and it has lost just once in seven games this postseason. In addition, Nola has dominated in his two playoff starts, and has yet to allow a run in his 12 2/3 innings of work this postseason. Back the Phillies money line in this matchup.  

Score Prediction: Phillies 3, Padres 2
Best Bet: Phillies ML (+100)

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES vs. SAN DIEGO PADRES BETTING ODDS

World Series Futures | World Series Odds Report | MLB Playoff Central

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES vs. SAN DIEGO PADRES BETTING RESOURCES

  • Date: Wednesday, October 18, 2022
  • Matchup: NL East vs. NL West
  • Venue: Petco Park
  • Location: San Diego, California
  • Time-TV: 4:35 p.m. ET – FOX
  • Expert Picks

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING ANALYSIS

The Phillies enter this matchup 93-76 SU and 87-82 ATS. The total has gone over in eight of Philadelphia’s last 13 games. Following this trend, the total has gone over in seven of its last eight when playing an opponent from the NL West Division. The Phillies are 6-1 SU in their last seven games and 8-2 SU in their last 10 games when playing on the road against San Diego.  

Philadelphia’s offense has come to play this postseason. As a team the Phillies have a postseason batting average of .218, on base percentage of .293, slugging percentage of .386, and have scored 34 runs. Harper has been on a tear with a batting average of .407 (11-for-27), four home runs, and seven RBIs. INF Jean Segura has been productive as well with a batting average of .333 (7-for-21), zero home runs, and three RBIs.  

The Phillies bullpen has been impressive to say the least in this postseason. Between Wheeler and Nola, Philadelphia has two of the hottest pitchers in the league right now. Nola went 11-13 SU this season with an ERA of 3.25 and gave up 168 hits, 74 earned runs, and struck out 235 batters in 205 innings of work. In his two-postseason starts he has looked great, giving up nine hits and one run in 12 2/3 innings.  

(Getty)

SAN DIEGO PADRES BETTING ANALYSIS

After losing the series opener, San Diego is 95-75 SU and 77-93 ATS. The total has gone over in eight of the Padres' last 11 games. Going against this trend, the total has gone under in 12 of their last 16 games when playing Philadelphia. San Diego is 4-2 SU in its last six games and 1-5 SU in its last six games when playing at home against the Phillies.  

Aside from Game 1 of this series the Padres offense has been on a roll this postseason. As a team they have a batting average of .217, on base percentage of .291, slugging percentage of .350, and have scored 31 runs. CF Trent Grisham has been solid with a batting average of .333 (8-for-24), three home runs, and five RBIs. Machado has been productive as well with a batting average of .258 (8-for-31), two home runs, and five RBIs. Soto needs to find a way to get his bat working in this series.  

The Padres bullpen may have lost Game 1 of this series but still pitched very well like they have been throughout this postseason. Snell is expected to start Game 2. Snell went 8-10 SU this season with an ERA of 3.38 and gave up 103 hits, 48 earned runs, and struck out 171 batters in 128 innings. In his two postseason starts Snell gave up a combined nine hits and three runs in 8 2/3 innings of work. He will need to give the Padres a minimum of five or six innings in this matchup.  

KEY PLAYERS

  • PHI: Bryce Harper - DH/OF (Game 1 - 1-for-4, HR, RBI, R)
  • PHI: Jean Segura - SS (Game 1 - 0-3, K)
  • SND: Manny Machado - 3B (Game 1 - 0-4)
  • SND: Juan Soto - OF (Game 1 - 0-3, BB, 2 K)

PROBABLE PITCHERS

  • PHI: Aaron Nola - RHP (2-0, 0.00 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, 12 K, 12 2/3 IP in 2 Postseason starts)
  • SND: Blake Snell - LHP (1-0, 3.12 ERA, 1.96 WHIP, 11 K, 8 2/3 IP in 2 Postseason starts)

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Daniel Dobish

Daniel Dobish

Dan is a handicapper and sports betting expert for VegasInsider with years of experience writing for a number of top publications in the industry. More from Daniel Dobish
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