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Last Updated Apr 17, 2022, 23:23 PM

New Orleans Pelicans vs. Phoenix Suns Predictions, Picks, Odds

First Round NBA Playoff action will conclude on Sunday night with a somewhat lopsided Western Conference matchup between the New Orleans Pelicans and Phoenix Suns. Coverage begins from Footprint Center in Phoenix at 9:00 p.m. ET on TNT.

Score Prediction

Suns 109, Pelicans 102

Best Bets

Under 225.5 (-110) at BetMGM

New Orleans Pelicans vs. Phoenix Suns Predictions

After finishing second in the West with a record of 51-21 SU last year, Phoenix effortlessly kept that same train rolling with another dominant start to this season, as the Suns opened with a red-hot 27-8 SU and 18-17 ATS run – with 18 of those victories coming by 10+ PTS. 

Despite Chris Paul’s recent 15-game absence, Phoenix sustained that same momentum all the way through the finish line, as the Suns closed out the regular season with an impressive 37-10 SU and 26-21 ATS stretch – while scoring 117.1 OPPG and allowing just 109.2 DPPG during that timeframe.

On the other hand, New Orleans was awful to start the season, as the Pelicans kicked things off a frustrating 14-26 SU and 18-22 ATS skid – with 16 of those SU losses coming by 10+ PTS.

However, New Orleans has played decent basketball since the trade deadline, considering the Pelicans enter Sunday’s series-opener riding a sturdy 24-19 SU and 25-17-1 ATS run – while scoring 115.8 OPPG and allowing just 109.5 DPPG during that timeframe.

I’ll take the under here, as the Suns reached last year’s NBA Finals while scoring 109 OPPG and allowing 104.5 DPPG throughout the postseason – setting the stage for a low-scoring battle against a Pelicans squad that surrendered just 102 DPPG across their two matchups in the Play-In Tournament.

New Orleans Pelicans vs. Phoenix Suns Betting Odds

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New Orleans Pelicans vs. Phoenix Suns Betting Resources

New Orleans Pelicans Betting Analysis

  • SU: 38-46
  • ATS: 41-40-1
  • O/U: 32-48-2

After last year’s disappointing 31-41 SU showing, New Orleans initially retained those low expectations with another underwhelming start to this season, as the Pelicans kicked things off with a frustrating 14-26 SU skid – with more than half of those losses coming by double-digits (16).

New Orleans turned things around with solid defense down the stretch though, considering the Pelicans enter Sunday’s series-opener riding a sturdy 24-19 SU and 25-17-1 ATS stretch – while surrendering just 109.5 DPPG to their opponents across that window.

Phoenix Suns Betting Analysis

  • SU: 64-18
  • ATS: 44-38
  • O/U: 40-41-1

After battling Utah for the top spot in the conference all the way through the final day of last year’s regular season (51-21 SU), Phoenix was surprisingly rusty to start the year, as the Suns dropped three-of-four games out of the gate – while scoring just 106.3 OPPG across that window.

Devin Booker and company clearly just needed a few weeks to settle into a rhythm though, considering the Suns boast records of 63-15 SU and 43-35 ATS since their opening skid, while ranking fifth in the league in scoring and fourth in offensive efficiency (114.8 OPPG, 1.115 OE) – and on the flipside, ranking eighth in points allowed and third in defensive efficiency (107.3 DPPG, 1.042 DE).

The Suns are 4-1 ATS in their last five matchups against New Orleans. (Getty Images)

New Orleans Pelicans vs. Phoenix Suns Head-to-Head

The Suns won two of three regular-season matchups against New Orleans last year, with the first meeting staying under the total at a score of 111-86 (U 221), while the ensuing two affairs cruised over with an average of 235 PPG. Phoenix also went 3-1 SU against New Orleans this season, with two matchups soaring over the total at an average of 239.5 PPG – while the other two stayed under with an average of 215.5 PPG. 

Key Players to Watch

  • NOP: Brandon Ingram - SF (22.7 PPG, 5.8 REB, 5.6 AST)
  • NOP: CJ McCollum - SG (22.1 PPG, 4.3 REB, 5.1 AST)
  • PHX: Devin Booker - SG (26.8 PPG, 5 REB, 4.8 AST)
  • PHX: Chris Paul - PG (14.7 PPG, 4.4 REB, 10.8 AST)

New Orleans Pelicans vs. Phoenix Suns Betting Conclusion

After securing the eighth seed by posting a tough road win over the Clippers on Friday night (W, 105-101), the Pelicans hit the road again for Sunday’s contest as steep underdogs against the Suns at Footprint Center – marking the fifth time New Orleans has been an underdog across their last nine games.

I’ll take the under here, as the Pelicans went 2-0 SU and ATS in the Play-in Tournament, while scoring 109 OPPG and allowing 102 DPPG during that span – setting the stage for a relatively low-scoring battle against a Suns squad that surrendered just 104.5 DPPG across last year’s deep postseason run.

New Orleans Pelicans vs. Phoenix Suns Betting Trends

  • The Pelicans are 4-2 ATS in their last six games.
  • The Suns are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in eight of the last 11 Pelicans' games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in seven of the last nine Suns' games.
  • The Suns are 4-1 ATS in their last five matchups against New Orleans.
  • The total has gone OVER in four of the last six matchups between Phoenix and New Orleans.
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