May 12, 2022
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Golden State Warriors Predictions,Picks, Odds
The Western Conference Semi-Finals will resume on Friday night with a possible elimination game between the Memphis Grizzlies and Golden State Warriors. Game 6 coverage begins from Chase Center in San Francisco at 10:00 p.m. ET on ESPN.
Warriors 118, Grizzlies 104
Warriors -8.5 (-110) at BetMGM
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Golden State Warriors Predictions
After finishing ninth in the West with a record of 39-33 SU last year, Golden State immediately bounced back with a triumphant start to this season, as the Warriors opened with a red-hot 18-3 SU and 15-5-1 ATS run, with 14 of those victories coming by 10+ PTS.
However, Golden State was far less dominant in the combined presence of Steph Curry and Draymond Green, considering the Warriors closed the regular season with a relatively pedestrian 35-25 SU and 26-31-3 ATS stretch, with over half of those SU losses coming in the absence of Curry or Green (19).
On the other hand, Memphis posted a surprisingly mediocre start to the season, as the Grizzlies kicked things off with a lackluster 9-10 SU and 10-9 ATS skid, with nine of those SU losses coming by 10+ PTS.
However, Memphis has arguably been the hottest team in basketball since that opening skid, considering the Grizzlies enter Friday’s Game 6 riding an impressive 53-21 SU and 49-24-1 ATS run, while averaging 117 OPPG and allowing just 108 DPPG during that timeframe.
I’ll back Golden State here, as Memphis is just 2-3 SU and 3-2 ATS on the road this postseason, while averaging 109.2 OPPG on 45% FG and 39% 3FG across those five contests, setting the stage for an unfavorable battle against a Warriors squad that’s shooting 51% FG and 41% 3FG across their 5-0 SU home stretch since the start of the playoffs.
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Golden State Warriors Betting Odds
- Grizzlies ML (+310)
- Warriors ML (-385)
- Grizzlies +8.5 (-110)
- Warriors +9.5 (-110)
- OU 217 (-110)
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Golden State Warriors Betting Resources
- Matchup: Southwest vs. Pacific
- Date: Friday, May 13, 2022
- Venue: Chase Center
- Location: San Francisco, CA
- TV-Time: ESPN - 10:00 p.m. ET
- Injury Report
- NBA Playoff Betting Central
Memphis Grizzlies Betting Analysis
- SU: 62-31
- ATS: 59-33-1
- O/U: 48-44-1
After finishing eighth in the West with a record of 38-34 SU last year, Memphis initially flew under the radar by posting a 9-10 SU start to this season, which inevitably left the Grizzlies tagged as underdogs in seven-of-ten matchups to open December; however, Memphis quickly stole the spotlight with a trio of upset victories and a sturdy 7-3 SU record across that stretch.
Memphis has been scorching hot since that point though, considering the Grizzlies have tallied 117.2 OPPG and allowed just 108 DPPG across their current 53-21 SU run, which includes lofty averages of 114 OPPG and 110.1 across 11 postseason matchups.
Golden State Warriors Betting Analysis
- SU: 59-32
- ATS: 45-43-4
- O/U: 42-48-2
After last year’s lackluster 39-33 SU showing, Golden State immediately bounced back wearing a chip on its shoulder to open this season, as the Warriors kicked things off with SU victories in 18 of their first 20 games, with their only two losses across that window coming by slim margins of four points or less.
The Warriors’ success has primarily come through defense since mid-December though, considering Golden State enters Game 6 riding a relatively pedestrian 42-28 SU and 30-37-3 ATS stretch, while holding their opponents to just 108.6 DPPG across that span.
Golden State’s mantra has slightly altered since the return of Klay Thompson though, highlighted by the Warriors averaging roughly 114.6 OPPG across their 42 matchups since the five-time All-Star’s return.
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Golden State Warriors Head-to-Head
The Warriors won two-of-three regular-season matchups against Memphis last year, with all three contests staying under the total at an average of 215.7 PPG, before ultimately meeting again in the Play-In Tournament, which resulted in a thrilling overtime victory for the Grizzlies (117-112 OT, O 221).
However, Memphis went 3-1 SU against Golden State this season, with two of those meetings staying well under the total at an average of 211.5 PPG, while the other two barely cashed over tickets at an average of 220.5 PPG.
The first two matchups of this series in Memphis were a wild ride though, as Golden State escaped FedExForum with a thrilling road win in Game 1 (117-116, O 224), while Game 2 resulted in a narrow home victory for the Grizzlies (106-101, U 228).
Unfortunately, Ja Morant exited the fourth quarter of Game 3 with a knee injury, which enabled Golden State to run away with a 30-point home victory down the stretch of last Saturday’s affair (142-112, O 225.5).
However, the Grizzlies covered the spread comfortably in their previous two matchups despite the absence of Morant, as the Memphis dropped a heartbreaker on the road in Game 4 this past Monday (101-98, U 223), which was followed by an absolute beatdown of Golden State at home in Game 5 on Wednesday (134-95, O 219).
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Key Players to Watch
- MEM: Dillon Brooks - SG (18.4 PPG, 3.2 REB, 2.8 AST)
- MEM: Desmond Bane - SF (18.2 PPG, 4.4 REB, 2.7 AST)
- GSW: Jordan Poole - SG (18.5 PPG, 3.4 REB, 4 AST)
- GSW: Steph Curry - PG (25.5 PPG, 5.2 REB, 6.3 AST)
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Golden State Warriors Betting Conclusion
After forcing Game 6 with a blowout victory at home in Game 5 this past Wednesday (W, 134-95), the Grizzlies hit the road for Friday’s sixth matchup as eight-point underdogs against the Warriors at Chase Center, which is roughly the same number Golden State was favored by at home in Games 3 and 4 (GSW -8.5).
I’ll back Golden State here, as the Warriors are 5-0 SU and 3-2 ATS at home this postseason, while averaging 118.8 OPPG on 50.8% FG and 41.1% FG across those five contests, likely presenting an uphill battle for a Grizzlies squad that’s averaging just 109.2 OPPG across their 2-3 SU road skid since the start of the playoffs.
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Golden State Warriors Betting Trends
- The Warriors are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games.
- The Grizzlies are 5-1 ATS in their last six games.
- The total has gone OVER in eight of the last 11 Warriors' games.
- The Grizzlies are 2-5 SU in their last seven road games.
- The Warriors are 15-5 SU in their last 20 home games against Memphis.
- The Grizzlies are 6-1 ATS in their last seven matchups against Golden State.
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