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Warriors vs Kings Picks, Odds | NBA Play-In Tournament Prediction

Michael Crosson
Michael Crosson Sports Betting Expert
3 minute read

The 2024 SoFi NBA Play-In Tournament begins with a pair of Western Conference battles on TNT this Tuesday -- and the second matchup of the evening we'll be previewing is Warriors vs. Kings, which is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET.

The Warriors are 3-point road favorites on the spread in Tuesday's contest, while the total is set at over/under 233.5 total points at BetMGM.

Here's everything you need to know about Warriors vs. Kings -- the latest betting odds, as well as our expert picks and prediction for the NBA Play-In Tournament on Tuesday, April 16.

Warriors vs Kings Odds

GS @ SAC Odds

  • Full Game
  • 1H
  • 1Q
  • 2Q
  • 3Q
  • 4Q
  • Spread
  • Total
  • Moneyline
Final
Golden State Warriors 543 Warriors
-1 -108 -1.5 -110 -1.5 -108 -1.5 -110 -1.5 -110 -1.5 -110 -1.5 -117 -3 -114  
Sacramento Kings 544 Kings
+1 -112 +1.5 -110 +1.5 -112 +1.5 -110 +1.5 -110 +1.5 -120 +1.5 -109 +3 -106  
Final
Golden State Warriors 543 Warriors
o228.5 -110 o109 -110 o108.5 -110 N/A o108.5 -110 o109.5 -110 o108.5 -122 o221 -110  
Sacramento Kings 544 Kings
u228.5 -110 u109 -110 u108.5 -110 N/A u108.5 -110 u109.5 -120 u108.5 -106 u221 -110  
Final
Golden State Warriors 543 Warriors
-112 N/A -142 -140 -142 N/A -155 -152  
Sacramento Kings 544 Kings
-104 N/A +116 +115 +120 N/A +120 +128  
Final
Golden State Warriors 543 Warriors
-1 -108 -2 -120 N/A N/A N/A N/A -1.5 -112 -3 -114  
Sacramento Kings 544 Kings
+1 -112 +2 even N/A N/A N/A N/A +1.5 -117 +3 -106  
Final
Golden State Warriors 543 Warriors
o228.5 -110 o112 -110 N/A N/A N/A N/A o112.5 -120 o221 -110  
Sacramento Kings 544 Kings
u228.5 -110 u112 -110 N/A N/A N/A N/A u112.5 -112 u221 -110  
Final
Golden State Warriors 543 Warriors
-112 N/A -134 N/A N/A N/A -139 -152  
Sacramento Kings 544 Kings
-104 N/A +110 N/A N/A N/A +110 +128  
Final
Golden State Warriors 543 Warriors
-1 -108 -0.5 -110 -0.5 -118 -0.5 -110 -0.5 -108 -0.5 -115 -0.5 -127 -3 -114  
Sacramento Kings 544 Kings
+1 -112 +0.5 -110 +0.5 -104 +0.5 -110 +0.5 -112 +0.5 -115 +0.5 even +3 -106  
Final
Golden State Warriors 543 Warriors
o228.5 -110 o54.5 -110 o54.5 -115 N/A o54.5 -105 o54.5 -115 o54.5 -115 o221 -110  
Sacramento Kings 544 Kings
u228.5 -110 u54.5 -110 u54.5 -111 N/A u54.5 -115 u54.5 -115 u54.5 -113 u221 -110  
Final
Golden State Warriors 543 Warriors
-112 N/A -134 -120 -120 N/A -143 -152  
Sacramento Kings 544 Kings
-104 N/A +110 even even N/A +112 +128  
Final
Golden State Warriors 543 Warriors
-1 -108 -0.5 -115 -0.5 -114 N/A -0.5 -115 -0.5 -115 -1.5 -103 -3 -114  
Sacramento Kings 544 Kings
+1 -112 +0.5 -115 +0.5 -106 N/A +0.5 -105 +0.5 -110 +1.5 -125 +3 -106  
Final
Golden State Warriors 543 Warriors
o228.5 -110 o54.5 -105 o54.5 -106 N/A o54.5 -105 o54.5 -110 o54.5 -112 o221 -110  
Sacramento Kings 544 Kings
u228.5 -110 u54.5 -125 u54.5 -120 N/A u54.5 -115 u54.5 -115 u54.5 -120 u221 -110  
Final
Golden State Warriors 543 Warriors
-112 N/A -130 N/A -125 N/A -139 -152  
Sacramento Kings 544 Kings
-104 N/A +106 N/A +105 N/A +110 +128  
Final
Golden State Warriors 543 Warriors
-1 -108 -0.5 -115 -0.5 -112 N/A -0.5 -110 -0.5 -115 -1.5 -103 -3 -114  
Sacramento Kings 544 Kings
+1 -112 +0.5 -115 +0.5 -108 N/A +0.5 -110 +0.5 -110 +1.5 -129 +3 -106  
Final
Golden State Warriors 543 Warriors
o228.5 -110 o57 -110 o56.5 -102 N/A o56.5 -108 o57.5 -110 o56.5 -117 o221 -110  
Sacramento Kings 544 Kings
u228.5 -110 u57 -120 u56.5 -125 N/A u56.5 -112 u57.5 -120 u56.5 -114 u221 -110  
Final
Golden State Warriors 543 Warriors
-112 N/A -124 N/A -120 N/A -136 -152  
Sacramento Kings 544 Kings
-104 N/A +102 N/A even N/A +107 +128  
Final
Golden State Warriors 543 Warriors
-1 -108 -0.5 -115 -0.5 -110 N/A -0.5 -105 -0.5 -110 -1.5 +104 -3 -114  
Sacramento Kings 544 Kings
+1 -112 +0.5 -115 +0.5 -112 N/A +0.5 -115 +0.5 -120 +1.5 -136 +3 -106  
Final
Golden State Warriors 543 Warriors
o228.5 -110 o57 -105 o55.5 -111 N/A o55.5 -112 o55.5 -110 o56.5 -108 o221 -110  
Sacramento Kings 544 Kings
u228.5 -110 u57 -125 u55.5 -115 N/A u55.5 -108 u55.5 -120 u56.5 -124 u221 -110  
Final
Golden State Warriors 543 Warriors
-112 N/A -122 N/A -115 N/A -130 -152  
Sacramento Kings 544 Kings
-104 N/A -100 N/A -105 N/A +102 +128  

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Warriors vs Kings Picks & Prediction

The Kings earned the three-seed in the Western Conference last season behind a fast-paced scoring attack that led the entire league in both points per game and offensive rating. 

Yet, their downfall was always their poor defensive play, as the Kings finished their previous campaign ranked 24th in points allowed and 25th in defensive rating – which is how the Warriors managed to bounce them in the first round of the playoffs despite ranking 11th in net rating.

This time around, however, it was a totally different story for Sacramento. The Kings took a huge step forward on defense this season, as they enter tonight’s contest ranked 14th in defensive rating and 17th in points allowed per game. 

But unfortunately, it hasn’t been enough to account for the enormous leap backward they took on offense – ranked 13th in offensive rating and 9th in scoring – which has resulted in their plummet to the Play-In.

Whereas on the flip side, Golden State has also taken a step back this season – but the story of the Warriors’ season has been more of a rollercoaster as opposed to purely trending downward like Sacramento.

The Warriors appeared to be doomed from the start after posting a frustrating record of 19-24 out of the gate this season, while ranking 11th in offensive rating and 24th in defensive rating during that stretch. 

However, Golden State has transformed into a completely different team since that point, considering the Warriors closed the season with an impressive 27-12 run, while ranking top-7 in the NBA in both offensive and defensive rating during that span.

Any way you slice it, both of these teams have underperformed this season, and I wouldn’t count on either of them to make a deep playoff run. However, the underlying metrics suggest that Golden State has actually been a top-5 team for nearly half of the season now. 

So at the very least, I believe we can expect the Warriors to get by a Sacramento squad that went 4-7 down the stretch and ranks 16th in net rating on the season overall.

Pick: Warriors -3 (-110)

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Warriors vs Kings Game Time & TV Channel

Date: Tuesday, April 16
Matchup: Pacific
Venue: Golden 1 Center
Location: Sacramento, CA
Time-TV: TNT, 10:00 p.m. ET

Warriors vs Kings Betting Stats

9) Sacramento Kings
(4th Place, Pacific)

  • Odds to Win Finals: +24000
  • Odds to Win Conference: +10000
  • SU: 46-36
  • ATS: 42-39-1
  • O/U: 38-44
  • PPG: 116.6
  • OPPG: 114.8

10) Golden State Warriors
(5th Place, Pacific)

  • Odds To Win Finals: +8500
  • Odds to Win Conference: +4500 
  • SU: 46-36
  • ATS: 43-39
  • O/U: 41-40-1
  • PPG: 118.9
  • OPPG: 117.1

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Michael Crosson

Michael Crosson

Michael Crosson began his time at VegasInsider as a freelance NBA writer back in 2019 while he continued to study Psychology and Biology at James Madison University. Following his graduation in 2021, Michael joined the team full-time, and he's been with VI ever since. Michael still writes NBA, NFL, and MLB for VI, as well as gambling industry news. He's also become a crucial part of our editorial production team. More from Michael Crosson
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