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Bears vs Chargers Prediction, Picks, Odds | Sunday Night Football Week 8

Michael Crosson
Michael Crosson Sports Betting Expert
5 minute read

The eighth Sunday of regular season NFL action winds down with Sunday Night Football between the Chicago Bears Los Angeles Chargers. Coverage begins from SoFi Stadium in Inglewood at 8:20 p.m. ET on NBC.

Here's everything you need to know about the Bears vs Chargers Picks, Predictions, and Odds for Sunday Night Football Week 8, and use our bet365 bonus code VIBONUS to claim $150 in bonus bets when you register and bet just $5 on any market!

Bears vs Chargers Betting Prediction & Odds for Sunday Night Football Week 8

Matchup Spread Total Moneyline

Bears QB Justin Fields is set to miss a second straight game after dislocating his thumb in a 19-13 loss to Minnesota back in Week 6. Last week, however, the absence of Fields wasn’t much of an issue for Chicago at all, as Tyson Bagent made his first career start and filled in beautifully, as their offense torched the Raiders for 30 points and 173 rushing yards on the way to an 18-point victory in their most recent affair.

The Bears now enter this contest as winners in two of their last three games. But not too long ago, Chicago coasted along one of the most miserable winless skids in recent memory, as the Bears previously entered Week 5 of this season following 14 straight losses, and everybody was kicking dirt at this team. However, with wins over Washington and Vegas fresh in the minds of bettors, plus a new wild card at QB, the stench from the Bears’ losing streak has seemingly worn off a little bit.

According to VegasInsider’s Patrick Everson, the line for this contest has held steady at Chargers -8.5 since Wednesday evening at BetMGM, and at that number, the underdog Chicago has been the popular spread play, with 3/1 tickets and 2/1 money coming in on the Bears as of Friday afternoon. However, the total has actually been the biggest mover, and probably the number most worthwhile to track leading up to kickoff. After opening at OU 44, the total quickly climbed to 46.5 by Monday morning, and remains there, despite 52% of tickets and 64% of money still coming in on the over.

I could see this game unfolding in a variety of different ways, but against my better judgement, a six-point teaser strikes me as the best play here. The Chargers are coming off back-to-back frustrating losses in which they fell short of 20 points in both contests. So, I wouldn’t be totally shocked if L. A.’s struggles continue on Sunday night and head coach Brandon Staley receives his walking papers on Monday morning. 

That said, after a pair of disappointing performances in measuring stick matchups against the Cowboys and Chiefs, this is a perfect bounce-back spot for the Chargers, which I might add, is the far superior team in this contest, as indicated by an 8.5-point spread despite sitting a game below .500 with a record of 2-4. It’s gut-check time for the current iteration of the Bolts. At the very least, I expect them to win this game by a field goal against a bad Bears team.

But because I don’t fully trust the Chargers to bring their A-game, or either of these offensive units to do so quite frankly, I will also be teasing the under in this matchup. The Chargers offense has been terrible the last three weeks, averaging just 19.3 PPG in their last three outings. However, their defense has surprisingly stepped up to the challenge during that stretch, as they held the opposing team to 20 points or less in two of those three contests. 

The Bears cooked the Raiders defense in the first start of Bagent’s career last week. But that 30-point eruption mostly came thanks to the fact that Chicago’s offense rushed 38 times for 173 yards in the contest.

Even if Bagent is the real deal, I highly doubt Chicago’s rushing attack will find the same level of success on the ground against an L. A. defensive front that ranks 10th in rushing yardage allowed per game and 12th in yards per carry. Bagent didn’t stretch the field much with his arm last week, averaging just 5.6 yards per pass attempt, which would rank 30th of the 32 qualifying QBs. Give me the Bolts and the under in a six-point teaser.

Score Prediction: Chargers 24, Bears 17
Best Bet: Chargers -2.5 / Under 52.5 (6-Point Teaser)

CHI @ LAC Odds

  • Full Game
  • 1H
  • 1Q
  • 2Q
  • 3Q
  • 4Q
  • Spread
  • Total
  • Moneyline
Final
Chicago Bears 277 Bears
+10.5 -105 +6.5 -110 +5.5 +105 +6.5 -102 +6.5 -120 +5.5 -110 +5.5 even +8.5 -110  
Los Angeles Chargers 278 Chargers
-10.5 -115 -6.5 -110 -5.5 -125 -6.5 -118 -6.5 even -5.5 -110 -5.5 -132 -8.5 -110  
Final
Chicago Bears 277 Bears
o45 -110 o23 -105 o22.5 -115 o22.5 -118 o23 -110 o23.5 -105 o23.5 +102 o46.5 -110  
Los Angeles Chargers 278 Chargers
u45 -110 u23 -115 u22.5 -105 u22.5 -102 u23 -110 u23.5 -115 u23.5 -127 u46.5 -110  
Final
Chicago Bears 277 Bears
+460 +270 +225 +275 +260 +215 +235 +360  
Los Angeles Chargers 278 Chargers
-620 -340 -275 -345 -335 -280 -305 -460  
Final
Chicago Bears 277 Bears
+10.5 -105 +4.5 -115 N/A N/A +4.5 -110 +4.5 -120 +4.5 -118 +8.5 -110  
Los Angeles Chargers 278 Chargers
-10.5 -115 -4.5 -105 N/A N/A -4.5 -110 -4.5 -105 -4.5 -106 -8.5 -110  
Final
Chicago Bears 277 Bears
o45 -110 o22.5 -110 N/A N/A o23.5 even o23.5 even o22.5 -113 o46.5 -110  
Los Angeles Chargers 278 Chargers
u45 -110 u22.5 -110 N/A N/A u23.5 -120 u23.5 -120 u22.5 -109 u46.5 -110  
Final
Chicago Bears 277 Bears
+460 +205 N/A N/A N/A +196 +205 +360  
Los Angeles Chargers 278 Chargers
-620 -245 N/A N/A N/A -235 -275 -460  
Final
Chicago Bears 277 Bears
+10.5 -105 +3 -105 +3 -110 +3.5 -130 +3 even +2.5 even +2.5 +108 +8.5 -110  
Los Angeles Chargers 278 Chargers
-10.5 -115 -3 -115 -3 -120 -3.5 +110 -3 -120 -2.5 -122 -2.5 -134 -8.5 -110  
Final
Chicago Bears 277 Bears
o45 -110 o7.5 -120 o7.5 -125 o9.5 -105 o7.5 -115 o7.5 -110 o7.5 -112 o46.5 -110  
Los Angeles Chargers 278 Chargers
u45 -110 u7.5 even u7.5 -105 u9.5 -115 u7.5 -105 u7.5 -110 u7.5 -112 u46.5 -110  
Final
Chicago Bears 277 Bears
+460 +220 +200 +220 +215 +198 +215 +360  
Los Angeles Chargers 278 Chargers
-620 -270 -275 -270 -267 -250 -286 -460  
Final
Chicago Bears 277 Bears
+10.5 -105 +3.5 -120 N/A +0.5 -130 N/A +3.5 -116 N/A +8.5 -110  
Los Angeles Chargers 278 Chargers
-10.5 -115 -3.5 even N/A -0.5 even N/A -3.5 -104 N/A -8.5 -110  
Final
Chicago Bears 277 Bears
o45 -110 o13.5 -120 N/A o9.5 -120 N/A o13.5 -120 N/A o46.5 -110  
Los Angeles Chargers 278 Chargers
u45 -110 u13.5 even N/A u9.5 -110 N/A u13.5 -110 N/A u46.5 -110  
Final
Chicago Bears 277 Bears
+460 +170 N/A +190 N/A +166 N/A +360  
Los Angeles Chargers 278 Chargers
-620 -200 N/A -230 N/A -196 N/A -460  
Final
Chicago Bears 277 Bears
+10.5 -105 +2.5 even N/A +1.5 -112 N/A +2.5 -106 N/A +8.5 -110  
Los Angeles Chargers 278 Chargers
-10.5 -115 -2.5 -120 N/A -1.5 -108 N/A -2.5 -116 N/A -8.5 -110  
Final
Chicago Bears 277 Bears
o45 -110 o9.5 -125 N/A o9.5 -112 N/A o9.5 -112 N/A o46.5 -110  
Los Angeles Chargers 278 Chargers
u45 -110 u9.5 +105 N/A u9.5 -108 N/A u9.5 -118 N/A u46.5 -110  
Final
Chicago Bears 277 Bears
+460 +185 N/A +160 N/A +184 N/A +360  
Los Angeles Chargers 278 Chargers
-620 -225 N/A -192 N/A -220 N/A -460  
Final
Chicago Bears 277 Bears
+10.5 -105 +2.5 -110 N/A +2.5 -110 N/A +1.5 -110 N/A +8.5 -110  
Los Angeles Chargers 278 Chargers
-10.5 -115 -2.5 -110 N/A -2.5 -110 N/A -1.5 -110 N/A -8.5 -110  
Final
Chicago Bears 277 Bears
o45 -110 o13.5 even N/A o13.5 +102 N/A o13.5 -106 N/A o46.5 -110  
Los Angeles Chargers 278 Chargers
u45 -110 u13.5 -120 N/A u13.5 -122 N/A u13.5 -116 N/A u46.5 -110  
Final
Chicago Bears 277 Bears
+460 +165 N/A +154 N/A +140 N/A +360  
Los Angeles Chargers 278 Chargers
-620 -185 N/A -185 N/A -166 N/A -460  

Bears vs Chargers Betting Resources

Date: Sunday, October 29, 2023
Matchup: NFC North vs AFC West
Venue: SoFi Stadium
Location: Inglewood, California
Time-TV: NBC, 8:20 p.m. ET

Click here for Vegas Insider senior reporter Patrick Everson's full NFL Odds Week 8 Report containing spreads, lines, and trends for every NFL matchup.

Chicago Bears Betting Analysis

Tyson Bagent is a fun underdog story, and certainly a player that I’m rooting for in the grand scheme of things. He played Division II college ball at Shepherd University, where he shattered numerous records, completing 69% of his passes for 17,034 yards to go along with a touchdown-interception ratio of 159 to 48. However, Shepherd got smoked by the Colorado School of Mines by a score of 44-13 in his final collegiate game, leaving plenty of question marks entering his pro career.

Bagent has played a ton of football compared to most rookies. He’s 23 years old and started 53 games in college. However, regardless of collegiate experience, it’s incredibly rare for a rookie to step into an NFL offense and immediately find success. Bagent pushed all the right buttons as a game manager last week, but I think he’s destined for a true “rookie performance” in the near future if Chicago’s QB situation doesn’t get cleaned up soon.

nfl-prediction-picks-chargers-bears-sunday-night-football-week-8
The Bears are 3-11-1 ATS in their last 15 games. (Getty)

Los Angeles Chargers Betting Analysis

Bagent completed 21 of 29 pass attempts for 162 yards and zero turnovers in his first career start last week, which was more than enough for the Bears to run away with a blowout victory behind 173 rushing yards as the Raiders mustered together just 12 points. However, moving the ball won’t be so easy at SoFi Stadium on Sunday night.

The Chargers have averaged just 21.5 PPG across their last four contests, but their defense held the opposing offense to 20 points or less in two of those matchups, so they still managed to escape with a pair of wins during that span.

Meanwhile, the big story for the Bears over the last few weeks has actually been their solid defensive play. Chicago’s defense has surrendered 20 points or less in three straight games, which is a stunning turn of events after getting ripped for 34.3 PPG through the first four weeks of the season. I doubt that we’ll see such a dominant level of play continue, but I feel much better about teasing the under in this matchup now than I did three weeks ago.

Bears vs Chargers Betting Trends

  • The Bears are 3-11-1 ATS in their last 15 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in six of Chicago's last seven games.
  • The Bears are 2-15 SU in their last 17 games.
  • The Chargers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in four of the Chargers' last five games.
  • The Chargers are 2-6 SU in their last eight games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in four of the Chargers' last five games against Chicago.
  • The Bears are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games against the Chargers.

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Michael Crosson

Michael Crosson

Michael Crosson began his time at VegasInsider as a freelance NBA writer back in 2019 while he continued to study Psychology and Biology at James Madison University. Following his graduation in 2021, Michael joined the team full-time, and he's been with VI ever since. Michael still writes NBA, NFL, and MLB for VI, as well as gambling industry news. He's also become a crucial part of our editorial production team. More from Michael Crosson
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