Tyreek Hill Next Team Odds: What Will Tyreek Hill’s Next Team Be?
Featured Image Credit: © Trevor Ruszkowski-Imagn Images
The landscape of the NFL offseason has been fundamentally altered following the Miami Dolphins' decision on February 16, 2026, to release star wide receiver Tyreek Hill. As one of the most explosive playmakers in league history enters unrestricted free agency for the first time in his career, the conversation surrounding Tyreek Hill Next Team odds has reached a fever pitch across the best prediction markets. Traders on Kalshi are currently analyzing a complex set of variables, weighing Hill’s undeniable "Cheetah" speed against a significant recovery timeline following a season-ending knee injury in late 2025.
Currently, market sentiment is divided between championship contenders looking for a veteran spark and teams with the cap flexibility to absorb a high-upside contract. With Hill vowing to return in 2026, Kalshi has emerged as a premier venue for traders to take Yes/No positions on his eventual landing spot.
How to Participate on Kalshi
Trading on NFL player movements allows you to turn your football knowledge into a strategic advantage. On Kalshi, you aren't just predicting a move; you are trading on the likelihood of an outcome through regulated event contracts. To begin, simply fund your account and select the market for Hill’s 2026 team.
If you are a new trader looking to open your first position, be sure to use our Kalshi promo code to access a new user offer for the 2026 offseason. Click the module below to get started.
Context & Latest News
The Dolphins' decision to part ways with Hill marks the end of an era in Miami Gardens. Under new General Manager Jon-Eric Sullivan and Head Coach Jeff Hafley, the franchise is clearly pivoting toward a total roster rebuild.
- The Release: Hill was released on February 16, 2026, alongside fellow veterans Bradley Chubb and James Daniels. The move was primarily a financial necessity, as Hill was set to carry a massive $51.1 million cap hit in 2026. By terminating the contract now, Miami cleared approximately $22.8 million in cap space.
- Injury Status: Hill’s 2025 campaign was cut short in Week 4 after he suffered a dislocated knee and a torn ACL. While the 31-year-old receiver recently posted on social media that he is "locked in" and "will be back," traders are carefully monitoring his rehab progress, as he is not expected to be full-strength until mid-summer.
- Potential Suitors: Despite the injury, Hill remains an elite deep threat. Rumors have already begun linking him to the Kansas City Chiefs for a potential reunion, as well as the Chicago Bears and New England Patriots, both of whom are looking to surround young quarterbacks with veteran reliability.
- Statistical Drop-off: Before his injury, Hill caught 21 passes for 265 yards and one touchdown in four games. This followed a 2024 season where he finished under 1,000 yards for the first time in his Miami tenure.
Market Breakdown: Implied Probability vs. Contract Price
On Kalshi, trading is centered around "Yes" or "No" contracts. Each contract is priced between $0.01 and $0.99, directly reflecting the implied probability of the event. For example, if a "Yes" contract for Hill to return to the Chiefs is trading at $0.30, the market is signaling a 30% chance of that reunion occurring.
Historical Context: The Last Word
Tyreek Hill’s career trajectory is one of the most unique in modern NFL history. Originally a fifth-round pick by the Kansas City Chiefs in 2016, Hill defied draft expectations to become the premier "speed" archetype of his generation. During his six seasons in Kansas City, he was an integral part of an offense that reached two Super Bowls, winning Super Bowl LIV.
In a move that shocked the league in 2022, Hill was traded to the Miami Dolphins for five draft picks and signed a then-record $120 million extension. His first two years in Miami were historic, as he recorded back-to-back seasons with over 1,700 receiving yards. However, the 2025 injury and the Dolphins' subsequent regime change have brought "The Cheetah" to his first true stint as a free agent. Historically, elite receivers coming off major surgeries at age 32 often face a "prove-it" market, making his next contract a pivotal moment in his potential Hall of Fame path.
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