NFL Odds Week 4: Chiefs vs Jets Lines, Spreads, Betting Trends

Patrick Everson Sports Betting Expert

5 minute read

The fourth Sunday of the 2023 NFL season wraps things up with a primetime showdown between the Chiefs and Jets, which sees Kansas City as a huge road favorite, according to the betting odds. Coverage begins from MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey on Sunday, October 1 at 8:20 p.m. ET on NBC.

Here's everything you need to know about the NFL odds for Week 4 Chiefs vs. Jets: the opening lines, spreads, betting trends and more. Check back regularly for updates.

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Kansas City Chiefs vs New York Jets Odds

• Opening point spread: Chiefs -8
• Opening moneyline: Chiefs -500/Jets +375
• Opening total: Over/Under 44 points scored
• Time: 8:20 p.m. ET Sunday (NBC)

UPDATE 6:20 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Two hours before kickoff, Kansas City is down to -7.5 at TwinSpires Sportsbook, right where this matchup opened last Sunday. In the interim, the Chiefs went to -8 and -8.5, with the move to -7.5 coming today.

"Sharp play on the Jets +8.5," TwinSpires director of retail sports Zachary Lucas said, before noting the Chiefs are a huge public play, with liability in every direction. "Our day comes down to K.C. Massive public support for the Chiefs – teasers, parlays, everything is on K.C."

On straight spread bets, the Chiefs are hauling in 90% of tickets/86% of money.

The total is down to 41.5 from a 44 opener, with 55% of tickets/66% of dollars on the Under.

UPDATE 1 P.M. ET FRIDAY: BetMGM bumped K.C. from -9 to -9.5 Monday, then fell back to -8.5 Thursday. But that decline isn't showing up in the action, which is thoroughly one-sided heading to the weekend. Kansas City is attracting 93% of spread tickets/95% of spread cash.

In fact, at BetMGM, the Chiefs have taken the most spread tickets and most spread money of any team on the NFL Week 4 odds board.

The total opened at 42.5, fell to 42 Wednesday and briefly got as low as 40.5 Thursday. It's now at 41.5, with ticket count 2/1 and money almost 3/1 on the Over.

UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: After looking sluggish the first two weeks, Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs found their form in Week 3. The Chicago Bears can help do that. Kansas City (2-1 SU and ATS) led 34-0 at halftime on its way to a 41-10 victory giving 12.5 points at home.

New York got a surprising Week 1 home win over Buffalo, a troops-rallying effort after Aaron Rodgers got hurt. But Zach Wilson and the Jets haven't done much since. In Week 3, Gang Green lost to New England 15-10 catching 2.5 points at home.

The Chiefs-Jets line advanced from K.C. -8 to -9 within a minute of going up this evening. Conversely, the total dipped a point to 43.

"The public will bet K.C., and everything parlay/teaser/moneyline parlay will be tied to the Chiefs as the standalone game on Sunday night," Michaelson said. "This could get higher if Mahomes is confirmed in, after he got banged up against Chicago. But the Chiefs certainly looked good today.

"Zach Wilson's Jets are a different proposition than Aaron Rodgers' Jets, and this will likely be our biggest decision of the week."

Mahomes tweaked his right ankle against Chicago, but the issue doesn't appear serious.

Click here for Vegas Insider senior reporter Patrick Everson's full NFL Odds Week 4 Report containing spreads, lines, and trends for every NFL matchup.

Chiefs vs Jets Pick, Prediction

Action Network NFL betting expert Brandon Anderson offers this prediction:

The Chiefs continue to play great defense, and let's be honest, you and I could probably defend well enough the way the Jets offense looks. Kansas City's offense broke out against Chicago, but the Jets have an actual defense, so things probably won't be so easy. This feels like a snoozer Sunday night 23-6 game.

Primetime unders the last four years hit at 61% and are 9-2 so far this season. Wilson games with a total below 44 have gone under 64% of the time, and Jets games have finished at 41 or below in 16 of 20 games since the start of last season, including 14 of the last 15 (93%).

This SNF under was my favorite play of the week at 45 on the Lookahead. You're not getting the best of the number anymore, but I still like the under. The Jets great pass defense should slow things down, and the Chiefs have gotten annoyingly good at grinding out boring wins. I'll play to 41, and I don't mean Taylor Swift appearances on camera.

Check out more NFL odds before week 4 is here on Vegas Insider.

Pick: Under 41.5 (-110)

For more NFL Week 4 picks, check out Action Network's NFL Week 4: How to Bet Every Game & Every Team.

The One Stat to Know About Chiefs vs Jets

Action Network NFL researcher Evan Abrams offers his top betting stat:

Zach Wilson is already the first player since the NFL merger to record the worst passer rating two years in a row. In 2023, he currently has the worst passer rating again.

For more NFL Week 4 picks, check out Action Network's NFL Week 4 Betting Trends, Stats, Notes.

Where to place a bet this NFL Season?

• Use our exclusive BetMGM Bonus Code VIBONUS1500 to unlock BetMGM’s welcome offer for new sportsbook users!
• Compare the latest NFL Odds from the best sportsbooks before placing a bet on this week's games.
• Check out the North Carolina Sportsbooks just before they launch legal online sports betting.

Patrick Everson

Patrick Everson is a senior reporter for VegasInsider. Based in Las Vegas since 1994, he's worked in the sports betting journalism/content space for more than a decade. He's most known for his deep roster of contacts behind sportsbook counters, providing readers and viewers with the ins-and-outs of how events are being bet. He's also a thought leader in the sports betting space, often appearing on or moderating panels at national conferences. More from Patrick Everson