Last Updated Dec 06, 2022, 10:30 AM
NFL Week 13 Opening Odds Report
US Sports Betting Industry Expert
NFL Week 13 odds include a rematch of last season's AFC Championship Game and an intriguing nonconference clash of playoff contenders.
In the former matchup, the Kansas City Chiefs travel to face the Cincinnati Bengals. In the latter, the Tennessee Titans head to Philadelphia for a meeting with the Eagles.
Multiple oddsmakers provide insights on Week 13 NFL odds and action. Check back regularly for updates.
Opening line: Buccaneers -6.5; Over/Under 40.5
Time: 8:15 p.m. ET Monday (ESPN)
UPDATE 5 P.M. ET MONDAY: Three hours-plus ahead of kickoff, PointsBet USA has the Bucs a 3.5-point home chalk. Early last Monday, this game opened at Tampa Bay -6 and got bet down in a hurry, reaching -3.5 within about seven hours.
The Buccaneers rebounded to -4 Wednesday, but have been stable at -3.5 since late Wednesday night. Spread tickets are 2/1 on Tampa Bay, while spread money is 2/1 on New Orleans. But spread betting isn't the main concern for PointsBet's risk room.
"We'll be rooting for the Saints to upset the Bucs and ruin some parlays from the weekend," PointsBet sports analyst Mike Korn said.
The total opened at 40.5, quickly went to 40, returned to 40.5 Wednesday, then reached 41 Sunday night. It's still at 41 as kickoff approaches, with ticket count almost dead even, but 63% of cash on the Under.
UPDATE 3:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: This number saw a speedy adjustment in Caesars Sports' NFL Week 13 odds market. Tampa Bay opened -6.5 Sunday night, and by Monday afternoon, the line was already down to Bucs -3.5.
Tampa remains -3.5 this afternoon, while landing 60% of early spread bets. But 78% of early spread cash is on New Orleans.
The total opened at 40.5, went to 40 Monday, then back to 40.5 Wednesday. It hasn't moved since, with 60% of bets on the Under and 64% of money on the Over.
UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Tampa Bay (5-6 SU, 3-7-1 ATS) opened the season among the Super Bowl favorites, but looks less and less a threat with each passing week. Tom Brady and Co. went to Cleveland as 3.5-point road favorites in Week 12 and left with a 23-17 overtime loss.
The Bucs are 2-4 SU in their last six games and an even more dismal 1-7-1 ATS in their last nine.
That said, New Orleans might be just the cure for the Bucs. The Saints (4-8 SU and ATS) got bageled in Week 12 at San Francisco, losing 13-0 as 8.5-point pups.
"We took sharp money on the 'dog, moving us down to [Bucs] -6," The SuperBook's Casey Degnon said. "I think both sides will see good action as we get later in the week. I could see more straight bets on the Saints, but again, I know the Bucs will be involved in many teasers and parlays.
"We've seen action on both sides of the total, but slightly more on the Under, which is no surprise, based on how bad the Saints' offense has looked the last couple weeks."
The total is stable at 40.5 in The SuperBook's NFL Week 13 odds market.
In Week 2, the Bucs were 2.5-point road favorites against the Saints and won 20-10.
Opening line: Cowboys -9.5; Over/Under 43.5
Time: 8:20 p.m. ET Sunday (NBC)
UPDATE 7 P.M. ET SUNDAY: With kickoff approaching, the Cowboys are laying 10.5 points in WynnBet's NFL Week 13 odds market. Last Sunday night, the Cowboys opened -9.5, and they've been steady at -10.5 since Tuesday.
The Cowboys are drawing 59% of spread bets/73% of spread money. WynnBet said it needs the Colts to at least cover tonight, and an outright upset would be welcome from the double-digit 'dog.
The total dipped from 43.5 to 42.5 by Tuesday morning, but shortly thereafter rebounded to 43.5, then went to 44 Wednesday. It's still at 44 tonight, with 70% of bets/77% of dollars on the Over. So WynnBet needs the under, per usual in a prime-time game.
UPDATE 3:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Caesars Sports opened at Cowboys -9.5, climbed to -10.5/-11 Wednesday, then Thursday inched down to -10.5. That's where he line rests now.
Dallas is getting 58% of spread tickets for the Sunday night game, but 64% of spread cash is on the Colts.
The total quickly shifted from 44.5 to 43.5, briefly got to 43, then spent much of the week bouncing between 43.5 and 44. On Thursday, it returned to the 44.5 opener, where it remains this afternoon. Ticket count is 2/1 on the Under, but money is 4/1 on the Over, in large part due to a $110,000 bet on Over 43.
UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Dallas (8-3 SU, 7-4 ATS) played in its traditional Thanksgiving slot, so it's coming off a mini-bye for the Week 13 Sunday night game. The Cowboys took care of the Giants 28-20, but gave up a final-seconds touchdown and failed to cover as 10-point home favorites.
Indianapolis (5-6 SU and ATS) is 1-1 SU in the Jeff Saturday era, though the Colts cashed in both games. However, Indy still has Week 12 work to do, hosting Pittsburgh in the Monday night game.
"Another game I anticipate we'll be rooting for the underdog," The SuperBook's Casey Degnon said. "Dallas has looked good recently, and with this being the Sunday night game, I can only imagine how many moneyline parlays will end with the favorite. We're still sitting at the opener for both the side and total, although we have seen some action on the Under."
Opening line: Chiefs -3; Over/Under 51
Time: 4:25 p.m. ET Sunday (CBS)
UPDATE 3:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Less than an hour before kickoff, WynnBet's NFL Week 13 odds board has Kansas City at -2.5 (-115). Last Sunday night, the Chiefs opened -3 (even) and fell to -2.5 in short order. The line then spent most of the week at -2, before returning to -2.5 this morning.
Kansas City is taking 60% of spread tickets, but that's translating into a much more noteworthy 86% of spread money. Chiefs moneyline is also popular, with tickets 2/1-plus and money 4/1-plus.
WynnBet said it needs the Bengals to cover or, more ideally, pull off the modest home upset.
The total opened at 51.5 and has been nailed to 52.5 since Monday afternoon. The Over is seeing 76% of tickets and 63% of money.
UPDATE 3:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Caesars Sports has Kansas City laying 2 points this afternoon, after opening at Chiefs -3 (-105) Sunday night. Monday brought a lot of toggling, first down to K.C. -2.5, then up to -3 (even), then briefly to -2 (even) before stabilizing at -2.5.
On Wednesday, went to -2 flat, where the line remains today. The Chiefs are getting 72% of early spread bets, but just 54% of early spread money.
"The Chiefs have won five in a row, and the public sees that,” Caesars assistant director of trading Adam Pullen said. “The Chiefs are already a big public team, too. But the Bengals seem to be rounding back into form after that 0-2 start. If last year’s results are anything to go by, it’s going to be a real close game and the spread is reflective of that. I wouldn’t be surprised if this line goes lower, but I don’t think we’re going to see this back up at 3. It seems closer to a pick to me, and it’s the standout game of the weekend.”
The total opened at 51.5, climbed to 52.5 by Monday afternoon, then went to 53 Thursday morning. It's still at 53. Ticket count is 4/1-plus and money 8/1 on the Over.
UPDATE NOON ET THURSDAY: The Chiefs hit PointsBet USA's NFL Week 13 odds board as 3-point favorites Sunday night and slowly wound their way down to a low of -1.5 by Wednesday morning. Kansas City is up to -2 today, while taking 71% of early spread bets/60% of early spread money.
The total opened at 51.5 and this morning reached its peak of 53, with opinion much more defined.
"Lopsided action on the Over, with more than 85% of the bet count and handle. The book will be pulling for the Under," PointsBet sports analyst Mike Korn said.
UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Kansas City (9-2 SU, 3-7-1 ATS) is on a five-game SU win streak, but continues to struggle at beating the number. In Week 12, the Chiefs closed as hefty 16.5-point home favorites against the Rams and just missed cashing in a 26-10 victory. K.C. is 1-5-1 ATS in its last seven outings.
Cincinnati (7-4 SU, 8-3 ATS) is on a 5-1 SU run and is 8-1 ATS in its last nine games. The Bengals were 1-point road favorites against red-hot Tennessee in Week 12 and notched a 20-16 vicory.
Last season, the Bengals went 2-0 SU and ATS against the Chiefs, overcoming double-digit deficits both times. In Week 17 at home, Cincy trailed 28-14 late in the second quarter and rallied for a 34-31 win catching 3.5 points. In the AFC final, the Bengals fell behind 21-3 in the second quarter and came back to post a 27-24 overtime win getting 7 points on the road.
"It's a rematch of the AFC championship. We should see some good two-way action on this game," said Casey Degnon, senior risk supervisor at The SuperBook. "We took sharp money on the Bengals +3, pushing us to +3 (-120). There was also some respected money on the Over, moving us up half a point."
So late tonight, the Chiefs are -3 (even) and the total is 51.5.
Opening line: 49ers -4.5; Over/Under 46.5
Time: 4:05 p.m. ET Sunday (FOX)
UPDATE 3:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: WynnBet has moved San Francisco out to a 5-point chalk as kickoff approaches. The Niners opened -3.5 (-115), went to -4 Tuesday, -4.5 Saturday and -5 this afternoon.
Miami is netting 55% of spread tickets, while 55% of spread money is on San Fran. On the moneyline, ticket count is dead even, but 76% of cash is on the underdog Dolphins. So WynnBet said its ideal outcome is a 49ers win and cover.
The total opened at 46.5, peaked at 47 last Sunday night, then fell to 46 Tuesday. On Thursday, the number nudged to 46.5, but Saturday saw a drop to 45.5, where it remains now.
Ticket count is just shy of 2/1 on the Over, but money is running almost dead even.
UPDATE 3:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: San Francisco opened -4.5 at Caesars Sports and quickly got bet down to -3.5 Sunday night. The number has been steady at Niners -4 since Tuesday morning.
Miami is netting 62% of early spread tickets, but San Fran is seeing a slim majority 52% of spread dollars.
The total opened at 47 and has spent pretty much all week at 46.5. That said, early ticket count is 2.5/1 and early money 8/1 on the Over.
UPDATE NOON ET THURSDAY: This is becoming a high-profile matchup this week, and Miami is certainly a trendy underdog. San Francisco opened as a 4-point favorite Sunday night at PointsBet USA, quickly backed up to -3.5, then on Tuesday climbed to -4.5 again.
The Niners have been stable at -4 since Wednesday morning.
"We're seeing 78% of the spread bet count and 63% of the spread handle on the Fins," PointsBet sports analyst Mike Korn said.
The total opened at 47 and spent most of the week at 46.5, where it remains tonight. But PointsBet's need is contrary to the modest move.
"More than 75% of the total bet count and handle is currently coming in on the Over. The book will be rooting for the Under here," Korn said.
UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SUNDAY: San Francisco is on a 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS surge and sits third on many sportsbooks' Super Bowl odds board. In Week 12, the Niners (7-4 SU, 6-5 ATS) didn't have much offense, but didn't need it in a 13-0 shutout of New Orleans laying 8.5 points at home.
Miami is one up on San Fran, riding a five-game SU win streak into this nonconference clash. The Dolphins (8-3 SU, 6-5 ATS) had no trouble with Houston, winning 30-15 at home and narrowly covering the 14-point spread.
QB Tua Tagovailoa took a bit of a beating, though, and with Miami up 30-6 in the third quarter, coach Mike McDaniel opted to pull Tagovailoa out the rest of the way.
"One of the better games this weekend will definitely draw some good handle," The SuperBook's Casey Degnon said. "One-way traffic on the Dolphins so far has pushed us down a full point to [49ers] -3.5. I'm not surprised with that. The Dolphins are a popular bet because they're a fun team to watch that can put points on the board in a hurry. I think we'll end up needing San Fran here, but it's still early in the week.
"Some smaller bets on the Over, but we're still at the opening number there."
Opening line: Eagles -6.5; Over/Under 44.5
Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday (FOX)
UPDATE 10:30 A.M. ET SUNDAY: With 2.5 hours to go until kickoff, Philadelphia is giving 4.5 points at WynnBet. That's down 2 points from the -6.5 opener, with the Eagles quickly going to -6, then to -5.5 Monday and -5 Thursday before arriving at -4.5 Friday.
Tennessee is seeing 58% of spread bets, and those tickets are translating into 82% of spread money. WynnBet said it will need the home chalk Philly today.
The total spent pretty much all week at 44.5, save for a short Monday stint at 44. But it's back at 44 this morning, with 63% of bets on the Over/57% of money on the Under.
UPDATE 3:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: The Eagles hit Caesars Sports' NFL Week 13 odds board as 5.5-point favorites and briefly touched -6 Monday morning, before returning to -5.5. On Tuesday, Philly toggled between -5.5 and -5 a couple of times, and the number dipped to -4.5 Thursday.
Tennessee is getting 62% of bets, but that's translating into 93% of money. The reason for the discrepancy: A Nevada Caesars customer put $275,000 on Titans +5.
“The Eagles have had a lot of close games lately. People may be thinking that the Eagles have reached peak value and they’re getting overvalued,” Caesars Sports' Adam Pullen said. “The Titans got a lot of money last week against the Bengals, so it's not a surprise that they’re jumping on them again. I think they’re a team that has the respect of the market. The Titans play tough defense, [have a] good run game and have strong coaching. They’re also never really far out of it, like that Chiefs game earlier in the year, when they were close to knocking them off as big underdogs."
The total opened at 45, bottomed out at 44 Monday morning, then spent the middle of the week at 44.5. On Thursday night, the number again receded to 44. Ticket count is just shy of 2/1 and money 4/1 on the Over.
UPDATE NOON ET THURSDAY: PointsBet USA pegged Philly a 6-point favorite late Sunday night, and the number has since bounced around quite a bit. The line went to -5.5 Monday, briefly bottomed out at -4.5 Tuesday, then rebounded to -6 Wednesday.
Today, however, it's back down to Eagles -4.5.
"We are currently seeing lopsided action on the Titans spread, with more than 90% of the handle," PointsBet sports analyst Mike Korn said.
The total sits at 44.5, which is where it's been almost all week, save for a short stretch Monday at 44.
"More than 70% of the bet count and handle is coming in on the Over," Korn said of early action on the total.
UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Tennessee entered Week 12 as arguably the hottest team in the NFL, riding a 7-1 SU streak while cashing in all eight games. But Cincinnati put an end to both runs, as the Titans (7-4 SU, 8-3 ATS) fell 20-16 catching 1 point at home.
Philadelphia still has the best record in the NFL, at 10-1 SU, though Jalen Hurts and Co. are a middling 6-5 ATS. In the Week 12 Sunday nighter against Green Bay, the Eagles held on for a 40-33 victory, narrowly covering as 6.5-point home favorites.
"This game is off the board now, with the Eagles playing on Sunday Night Football," The SuperBook's Casey Degnon said during the Packers-Eagles game. "We took a couple smaller bets on the Titans and the Under, but nothing significant yet. I suspect come Sunday morning, we'll be rooting for the Titans to win outright, with all the teasers and parlays tied to the Eagles."
On Monday morning, Titans-Eagles will go back on The SuperBook's NFL Week 13 odds board.
Opening line: Bills -5.5; Over/Under 45.5
Time: 8:15 p.m. ET Thursday (Prime Video)
UPDATE 6:30 P.M. ET THURSDAY: Less than two hours before kickoff, WynnBet's NFL Week 13 odds board has the Bills at -3.5. On Sunday night, Buffalo opened -5.5, then on Tuesday went to -5/-4.5/-4, on the way to -3.5 Wednesday.
Point-spread ticket count is 2/1 on the Bills, but a modest majority 54% of spread money is on the underdog Patriots. WynnBet said it wants either the Bills to cover at the higher numbers from earlier in the week, or have the Patriots win outright.
The total opened at 45.5 and tumbled to 43.5 by Monday afternoon, then this afternoon nudged up to 44. Ticket count is 2/1 and money 8/1 on the Over.
UPDATE NOON ET THURSDAY: On game day, PointsBet USA has the Bills as 3.5-point home favorites in the NFL Week 13 odds market. This matchup opened at Bills -5.5 Sunday night, then Monday dipped to -4.5 and rebounded to -5.
On Wednesday, the line got to Buffalo -3.5, then nudged up to -4, before returning to -3.5 this morning.
"It's good two-way action on the spread, with 67% of bet count on the Bills, but 53% of handle on the Pats," PointsBet sports analyst Mike Korn said.
The total opened at 45.5 and by Monday night tailed off to 43.5, where it remained until going to 44 this morning. The Over is netting 61% of bets, while 68% of cash is on the Under.
UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SUNDAY: The Bills haven't necessarily looked like Super Bowl favorites of late, getting roped into close wins if not outright losses. Still, Buffalo is 8-3 SU (5-5-1 ATS) after edging Detroit 28-25 on Thanksgiving Day, falling well short of covering as 9.5-point faves.
New England (6-5 SU, 6-4-1 ATS) cooled off after solid runs of 5-1 SU and 6-1 ATS. Playing Thanksgiving night at Minnesota, the Pats fell 33-26 as 2.5-point underdogs.
"So far, it's been mostly action on the home 'dog Patriots," The SuperBook's Casey Degnon said. "Both teams played on Thanksgiving also, so short week/rest is not really a factor on Thursday Night Football this week. I think we'll see good action here, as both teams are somewhat popular among the public. The Bills are another team that is going to be a favorite leg in parlays and teasers alike.
"Not much interest on the total. A couple sprinkles on the Under."
That said, the total is down a point to 44.5 tonight in The SuperBook's NFL Week 12 odds market. The spread is stable at Bills -5.5.