July 15, 2021
2021 Chicago Bears Betting Odds, Predictions, Preview
Justin Fields vs Nick Foles, a predicament that is seemingly much more complicated than it should be. Whether you’re going with the Vegas odds or coach speak all indications are that Nick Foles will be the Week #1 starter. While I was ecstatic to see Fields drafted in a spot where I believed he could truly prosper it’s disappointing to see him behind someone like Foles. During his tenure with the Bears, Foles lead the team to a 2-5 record with a 64% completion percentage, 10 touchdowns, and 8 interceptions.
One of my biggest concerns going into a Nick Foles lead 2021 will be the lack of upside the Bears possess. This defense will likely continue to stay in the top 12 in the NFL but is that enough to elevate them to be a playoff contender? Foles may be the best quarterback Allen Robinson has ever played with but does that really even mean anything at this point? With a solid offensive line, promising skill position players like Robinson, Mooney, Kmet, and Montgomery along with an above-average defense feels almost waisted with a guy like Foles. I understand this may be coming off a bit harsh but I’m struggling to see how Foles elevates any of these guys.
There is no guarantee that Justin Fields steps onto the field and is any better than Foles Week #1 but quotes like, “It’s not going to happen overnight” and “I think it’s going to be exciting for him to just come in here and learn how to be a professional quarterback” concern me. I’m not saying you need to rush Fields into starting Week 1 but there’s also no need to romanticize him sitting back and watching the Bears lose their first couple of games under Foles.
Breaking down this 7.5 win total is challenging, we don’t know when, or if, the quarterback transition happens and we also don’t know if Aaron Rodgers will play. The Bears also happen to have one of the hardest schedules in the league which will likely lead to a rocky start facing, the Rams, Browns, Packers, Buccaneers, 49ers, and Steelers all before their bye week. I’m personally leaning under 7.5 wins but with all the uncertainty I’m not rushing to the window. Aaron Rodgers could sit out the season or Fields could take over week 1 and be awesome. If your betting this I would wait until closer to the preseason for the most information possible.
2021 Chicago Bears Schedule
Win Total Odds
Chicago Bears Odds to Win NFC North
This division is an absolute mess so getting +350 actually isn’t too bad. Beyond the fact that the Lions likely finish last in this division not much else is known. If Aaron Rodgers does end up coming back then the Packers are the favorites and will likely win the division once again. If he gets traded then one of the first bets I would fire off is Chicago to win the division at +350.
With a Jordan Love lead Packers that suddenly opens up two more possible wins on the schedule. The competition is still tough but it’s about numbers and +350 doesn’t accurately depict the Bears chances of winning the division without Rodgers.
Chicago Bears Odds to Win NFC Championship
I don’t love the Bears chances of winning the NFC Championship, even in a division without Aaron Rodgers. The Bears have a very solid team all around, even if they choose to go the game manager route with Foles. I think this team can likely maneuver a regular season with a game manager quarterback and good defense but once we make it to the postseason it gets tough. Bears are building towards a bright future with the Fields, don’t think that pays off quite yet.
Chicago Bears Odds to Win Super Bowl 56
Upside is the keyword with these bets and I’m just not sure they have it. The Bears played multiple ugly games last year both winning in tight spots and also playing down to opposing competition. They haven’t made the changes necessary to fully propel themselves into this conversation and I don’t think game manager Foles or rookie sensation Fields gets them there.
Chicago Bears 2021 MVP Contenders & Odds
Justin Fields +10000
Allen Robinson +15000
Andy Dalton +20000
David Montgomery +50000
Allen Robinson and David Montgomery would need monumental seasons and still would likely only be considered for Offensive Player of the Year, not MVP. Non-quarterbacks rarely win this award and I don’t think either of these two guys is gonna break the mold.
Chicago Bears Preseason Betting Odds & Markets
Make Playoff?: Yes +180 No -225
I don’t think any of these preseason markets are quite worth it at the time. They are in a position where they are mediocre enough to be out of the conversation for both least and most wins. Matt Nagy does not have the reputation that sets up for a Coach of the Year resume, he’s much closer to being fired than given any awards at this point in his career. They will likely miss the playoffs this season but paying the -225 juice just isn't worth it, especially with the possibility of Aaron Rodgers missing time.
2020 Chicago Bears Betting Results