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SB52 Prop Predictions

VegasInsider Staff
VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert
7 minute read
Super Bowl 52 Party Prop Sheet

Undecided on the Eagles or Patriots in Super Bowl 52?

Fortunately the proposition wagers provide bettors other opportunities to cash tickets on the big game.

Similar to past Super Bowls, VegasInsider.com asked nine of our NFL analysts and handicappers to make predictions on 10 of the most popular props for Sunday's finale between Philadelphia and New England.

Props per William Hill U.S. - Odds are subject to change.

1) First Score of Game Will Be:
Touchdown -140 Field Goal/Safety +120

Brian Edwards: Field Goal/Safety
Chris David: Touchdown
Kevin Rogers: Field Goal/Safety
Joe Nelson: Touchdown
Joe Williams: Field Goal/Safety
Micah Roberts: Field Goal/Safety
Paul Bovi: Touchdown
Scott Rickenbach: Touchdown
Tony Mejia: Field Goal/Safety

Consensus: Field Goal/Safety (5-4)

Quick Thoughts - Chris David: I believe the Patriots will score early and often in this matchup and they usually get touchdowns instead of field goals, which has been the case in this year's postseason with an 8-1 ratio. The Eagles haven't been great with field position all season and that should put New England in great shape to start the game. The public has been buying into New England's tendencies of slow starts in the Super Bowl and I believe that will change this Sunday.

2) Will there be a successful Two-Point Conversion? Yes +190 No +220

Brian Edwards: No
Chris David: Yes
Kevin Rogers: No
Joe Nelson: No
Joe Williams: No
Micah Roberts: No
Paul Bovi: No
Scott Rickenbach: No
Tony Mejia: No

Consensus: No (7-2)

3) First Offensive Play from Scrimmage Will Be: Run Play +105 Pass Play -125

Brian Edwards: Pass Play
Chris David: Pass Play
Kevin Rogers: Pass Play
Joe Nelson: Pass Play
Joe Williams: Pass Play
Micah Roberts: Pass Play
Paul Bovi: Pass Play
Scott Rickenbach: Run Play
Tony Mejia: Pass Play

Consensus: Pass Play (8-1)

Quick Thoughts - Joe Nelson: The Patriots are certain to defer if they win the toss and in all five Nick Foles starts the Eagles have started with a pass play on their first play of their first offensive possession. Getting him comfortable and confident with a high percentage throw on 1st down will be a priority for Philadelphia.

4) Will there be a Special Teams or Defensive TD? Yes +140 No -160

Brian Edwards: No
Chris David: No
Kevin Rogers: Yes
Joe Nelson: No
Joe Williams: No
Micah Roberts: No
Paul Bovi: No
Scott Rickenbach: Yes
Tony Mejia: No

Consensus: No (7-2)

5) Total Players to Attempt Pass: Over 2 ½ +160 Under 2 ½ +180

Brian Edwards: Under
Chris David: Under
Kevin Rogers: Under
Joe Nelson: Under
Joe Williams: Under
Micah Roberts: Over
Paul Bovi: Under
Scott Rickenbach: Over
Tony Mejia: Under

Consensus: Under (7-2)

Quick Thoughts - Kevin Rogers: Assuming there are no injuries, Brady will play the entire game as backup Brian Hoyer came in during garbage time in two games this season. Same story for Foles, as backup Nate Sudfeld played in the meaningless season finale against the Cowboys. Not one player other than a quarterback threw a pass for either team, so don’t expect any trick plays.

6) Total Interceptions in Game: Over 1 ½ +130 Under 1 ½ -150

Brian Edwards: Over
Chris David: Over
Kevin Rogers: Under
Joe Nelson: Over
Joe Williams: Over
Micah Roberts: Under
Paul Bovi: Over
Scott Rickenbach: Under
Tony Mejia: Under

Consensus: Over (5-4)

Quick Thoughts - Brian Edwards: We get plus money with the 'over' and Foles is playing in his first Super Bowl. For all of Brady's greatness, rings and victories, he's thrown picks in previous Super Bowls, and he'll be facing a lot of pressure from the Eagles throughout the game.

Quick Thoughts - Joe Williams: I think Nick Foles could easily be coaxed into several miscues in the biggest game of his career, playing against an experienced opponent on the big stage. Even if this number was 2 ½, I’d still play the over. Tom Brady will also be good for at least one pick against an aggressive Philadelphia secondary, and he has at least one INT in three straight Super Bowls.

7) Total Completions Tom Brady (Patriots QB): Over 26 ½ -110 Under 26 ½ -110

Brian Edwards: Over
Chris David: Under
Kevin Rogers: Over
Joe Nelson: Under
Joe Williams: Over
Micah Roberts: Over
Paul Bovi: Over
Scott Rickenbach: Under
Tony Mejia: Over

Consensus: Over (6-3)

Quick Thoughts - Paul Bovi: Expect New England to prioritize the pass from the outset emphasizing a steady diet of short throws to his backs and wideouts while employing a quick release. With the Eagles sporting a solid run defense and leading the league in QB pressures it will force Brady into a ball control passing game which should pave the way for 30 or more completions.

Quick Thoughts - Joe Nelson: Tom Brady had more than 26 completions just five times in 16 regular season games and just four times in 12 regular season games last season. Even with the Patriots falling way behind early in the AFC Championship Brady wound up with just 26 completions in the comeback win. Philadelphia’s run defense is more vulnerable than the season numbers suggest and the Patriots might be less pass-oriented than expected Sunday.

8) Total Points: Stephen Gostkowski (Patriots K): Over 8 ½ -120 Under 8 ½ +100

Brian Edwards: Over
Chris David: Under
Kevin Rogers: Under
Joe Nelson: Over
Joe Williams: Over
Micah Roberts: Over
Paul Bovi: Over
Scott Rickenbach: Over
Tony Mejia: Over

Consensus: Over (7-2)

Quick Thoughts - Joe Williams: Gostkowski could be New England’s best weapon, especially early on as the teams feel each other out. And the weather might be frightful outside in Minneapolis, but the 72-degree temperature and lack of wind in neutral conditions will aid Gostkowski and Philadelphia’s Jake Elliott.

Quick Thoughts -Scott Rickenbach: The Eagles are likely to force plenty of field goal attempts in this game as their defense has been playing very, very well. Of course field goals is where Gostkowski's biggest points would come from and the odds are in favor of 3 field goals in this game. That's because the Patriots averaged 2.5 field goal attempts per game in the regular season and that included plenty of games against cupcake defenses where the focus was easy touchdowns. The Patriots likely to be forced to settle for some field goals in this one.

9) Total Punts – Both Teams: Over 9 ½ -110 Under 9 ½ -110

Brian Edwards: Under
Chris David: Under
Kevin Rogers: Under
Joe Nelson: Under
Joe Williams: Over
Micah Roberts: Over
Paul Bovi: Under
Scott Rickenbach: Under
Tony Mejia: Under

Consensus: Under (7-2)

Quick Thoughts - Tony Mejia: While both defenses should have success in this contest, the fact Philadelphia is so willing to go for it on fourth down and effective running it and completing short passes should at least eat clock in situations where they do wind up punting. Tom Brady and the offense will also move the chains effectively enough to avoid too many three-and-outs, which looks to be the enemy of this prop.

10) Player to Score First Touchdown:

Brian Edwards: Brandin Cooks (12/1)
Chris David: Rob Gronkowski (6/1)
Kevin Rogers: James White (10/1)
Joe Nelson: LeGarrette Blount (9/1)
Joe Williams: Alshon Jeffery (8/1)
Micah Roberts: LeGarrette Blount (9/1)
Paul Bovi: LeGarrette Blount (9/1)
Scott Rickenbach: LeGarrette Blount (9/1)
Tony Mejia:Jay Ajayi (9/1)

Consensus: LeGarrette Blount (4)

Quick Thoughts - Brian Edwards: I've hit this prop three times recently -- Devin Hester (25/1, Bears-Colts), Anquan Boldin (12/1, Ravens-49ers) and Brandon LaFell (16/1, Patriots-Seahawks) and I'm solid on this pick too. Cooks has has seven TD catches this season and should receive single coverage in the red zone.

Quick Thoughts: Joe Nelson: The former Patriot had just two touchdown rushes in the regular season but now has two in two playoff games in the postseason. New England’s foe has scored first in both playoff games as taking a shot with an Eagle to score first provides favorable pricing and in a potential short yardage situation Blount will be the go-to guy for Philadelphia as he looks to redeem himself after an early fumble in last year’s Super Bowl.


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