Trends to Watch – October

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he first month of the 2018 NFL season in the history books it’s on to October where certain teams shine while others struggle – at least in the pointspread wars. Here is a composite of possible ‘Play On’ and ‘Play Against’ teams throughout the month of Halloween.


Good: Pittsburgh 37-17 ATS

For whatever reason, this is the month the Steelers start to put it together as a team. There are a few more questions about this group this season as we head into October and we will find out against Atlanta (10/7) and Cleveland (10/28).

Keep an eye on (Good): Cleveland 20-13 ATS

The Browns have been getting points for years, even at home and made themselves a good bet. Will the same be true against rival Baltimore (10/7) and the L.A. Chargers (10/14) this season?

Keep an eye on (Bad): Cincinnati 20-30 ATS, Jacksonville 14-25 ATS, Seattle 17-28 ATS, Tampa Bay 21-35 ATS

Cincinnati is in the most unique situation since they are the only team in this group with more than one home game. The Bengals could conceivably fail in all three contests versus Miami (10/7), Pittsburgh (10/14) and Tampa Bay (10/28), but chances are they get at least one cover.

Jacksonville should be in a pretty good spot with only Houston at home on the 21st. The same is true of the Buccaneers who host Cleveland (10/21).

Seattle has arguably the toughest task taking on division rival the L.A. Rams (10/7)


Keep an eye on (Good): Atlanta 30-20 ATS, Carolina 28-18 ATS, New England 32-20 ATS, N.Y. Giants 30-18 ATS

Atlanta has just one roadie and it's a nasty one, at Pittsburgh (10/7).

Carolina has back-to-back away contests this month, but at least the travel will not be bad, venturing to Washington first on the 14th and a week later in Philadelphia.

New England's 0-2 SU & ATS away from home to start 2018, but if they don't go 2-0 at Chicago (10/21) and at Buffalo (10/29), then you know something is wrong in Patriots land.

The G-Men will have a physical affair at Carolina on the first Sunday of the month and 15 days later they will be in Atlanta.

Keep an eye on (Bad): Arizona 16-29 ATS, Seattle 18-29 ATS, Tampa Bay 18-29 ATS

Only one true road contest for the Seahawks who will be trying to change their fortune in the Motor City on the 28th.

Off a bye week, the Bucs have toughie at the Falcons (10/14), who as mentioned cover spreads at home. If Ryan Fitzpatrick is still starting, he'll face one of his many former teams in Cincinnati (10/28).

Arizona might catch a break with no Jimmy G. in Frisco (10/7) but it will be no such luck when they travel to land of 10,000 lakes really starting to get cold.


Keep an eye on (Good): L.A. Rams 22-12 ATS

The Rams have a cumbersome three-game road trip to start the month, but are thought to be favored and have likely wagering success at Seattle, at Denver and at Santa Clara, perhaps covering twice. They will be a favorite against Green Bay on the last Sunday of October.

Bad: Cincinnati 13-26 ATS

The Bengals are iffy to be favored even at home against the Steelers (10/14) but will be handing out points to the Dolphins (10/14) and the Bucs (10/28) in the Queen City and history shows that is a scary proposition.

Keep an eye on (Bad): Detroit 14-25 ATS, Jacksonville 11-21 ATS, Seattle 17-30 ATS, Tampa Bay 16-29 ATS

Detroit will be favored vs. Seattle (10/28) and chances are in the same role when Aaron Rodgers visits on the first Sunday of the month.

The Jaguars will be handing out points to the Texans at home on the 21st. But we will take a wait see approach at Dallas (10/21) and with a trip to London a week later against the Eagles.

Tampa Bay will have one favorite role, against the Browns on 21st.

With the Seahawks not the same team, not even a trip to London to face the Raiders guarantees Seattle will be a favorite this month.


Good: Philadelphia 24-10 ATS

This is nothing more than a maybe, doing battle at Jacksonville across the pond.

Keep an eye on (Good): Carolina 31-16 ATS, Chicago 33-20 ATS, N.Y. Giants 24-15 ATS

The Panthers will be a pooch when they are in the City of Brotherly Love (10/21) and depending what oddsmakers think, they could receive digits against the Redskins (10/14).

With the Bears defense, they could be a dangerous dog at Miami (10/14) off a bye and at home the following week versus the Brady Bunch.

Eli Manning and friends will be handed points against Cam's crew in Charlotte (10/7) and on short notice in Jersey vs. Philly (10/11). They will have 11 days to prepare to face Matt Ryan in Atlanta.

Bad: Pittsburgh 14-30 ATS

Potential bad spot for Steelers when they visit Cincinnati in the middle of the month (10/14).


Keep an eye on (Good): N.Y. Giants 25-16 ATS, Pittsburgh 26-14 ATS

Big Blue has two NFC East battles, but both are on short rest. On the 11th versus the Eagles and the Redskins on the 28th.

For Coach Tomlin's troops, see the Bengals just below and they have the Brownies in the Steel City on the 28th.

Bad: Cincinnati 13-30 ATS

We have mentioned Cincy facing Pittsburgh several times. We just did not share this Bengals record.

Keep an eye on (Bad): Seattle 18-27 ATS

Pete Carroll's crew is in several negative spots this month and they get piled on playing the Rams (10/7).

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