Betting Recap – Week 10

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College Football Recap - Week 11

Overall Notes

National Football League Week 10 Results
Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 8-5
Against the Spread 5-7-1
Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 8-5
Against the Spread 5-7-1
Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 6-7
National Football League Year-to-Date Results
Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 94-51-2
Against the Spread 67-77-3
Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 86-59-2
Against the Spread 69-75-3
Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 72-75

The largest underdogs to win straight up
Cowboys (+7.5, ML +300) at Eagles, 27-20
Bills (+7, ML +250) at Jets, 41-10
Titans (+6.5, ML +240) vs. Patriots, 34-10
Browns (+5.5, ML +210) vs. Falcons, 28-16

The largest favorite to cover
Packers (-12.5) vs. Dolphins, 31-12
Chargers (-10.5) at Raiders, 20-6
Bears (-7) vs. Lions, 34-22
Saints (-6) at Bengals, 51-14

Titanic Win

-- The Tennessee Titans upended the New England Patriots by a 34-10 score in Nashville in one of the most surprising results of the weekend. Head coach Mike Vrabel got the best of the master, his former boss Bill Belichick, while QB Tom Brady and the offense looked very ordinary. It doesn't help that TE Rob Gronkowski has been sidelined, but WR Julian Edelman and WR Josh Gordon are playmakers, and RB James White is healthy. The Patriots defense just couldn't stop anyone. The Titans improved to 3-0 ATS over the past three, and 6-2 ATS across the past eight. It was a tremendous difference from their last home game back on Oct. 14 when they were blanked by the Baltimore Ravens 21-0 while QB Marcus Mariota was sacked 11 times in that one. 

Charged Up

-- The Los Angeles Chargers have won six in a row and appear to be in a good place. They're flying under the radar out west, playing in the shadows of the Los Angeles Rams for some reason, perhaps because they play in a larger stadium? It's hard to understand. The Bolts are a good team, but not many are talking about them. They're 4-1 ATS over the past five outings while the 'under' is also 4-1 during the span, so there is plenty of opportunity to make money off of the Bolts, too. They're also 3-0 SU/ATS in the past three road contests. 

Total Recall

-- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers had a strange result on Sunday. They lost 16-3 against the Washington Redskins, which isn't terribly shocking since the 'Skins are in first place in the NFC East. However, even with their quarterback turnstile, they had scored 24 or more points in seven of their first eight games and the 'over' was a league-best 7-1. The three points they scored was shocking, as was the 16 points they yielded. That was also a season low. 

-- On Thursday night, the Carolina Panthers-Pittsburgh Steelers (51) connected easily. There were 21 points on the board in the first five minutes, and it was all downhill from there. In fact, eventually the Steelers ended up taking care of the over themselves. Speaking of doing it all by themselves, the Buffalo Bills also took care of the 'over' (37.5) themselves in a 41-10 victory on the road against the New York Jets. Not many saw that coming in a game which featured QB Matt Barkley started for the Bills and QB Josh McCown starting for the Jets.  

-- The lowest total on the board was that Bills-Jets game. In fact, that was the only game on the board with a total under 44.5. The Detroit Lions- Chicago Bears (44.5) was the second-lowest game on the board and it also hit the over, as did the third-lowest total, the Dallas Cowboys-Philadelphia Eagles (45.5) game also hit in the final four minutes. 

-- On the flip side, three of the five games with a total over 50 points saw the 'over' hit, although the Chargers-Raiders (50.5) game never was close to hitting, not was the 'Skins-Bucs (51) contest.

-- The 'over' went 2-0 in the two primetime games in Week 10, with the Monday night game between the New York Giants-San Francisco 49ers (45) still pending. Overall for the 2018 season the 'over' in primetime games is 15-15 (50.0%). The 'under' has cashed in seven of the past nine battles on Sunday Night Football, although the Cowboys-Eagles game snapped a nice trend.

Officially, the 'over' finished 25-23-1 (52.1%) in 49 games under the lights in 2017.

In 2016, the 'over' in night games went (52.9%) through 51 games.

In 2015, the over finished 20-28-1 (41.7%) in 49 primetime games. 

In 2014, the over went 33-17 (66.0%) in primetime games, and the over was 28-22 (56.0%) in 2013.

Injury Report

-- Detroit Lions WR Marvin Jones (knee) left early due to a knee issue and he was unable to return.

-- Los Angeles Rams WR Cooper Kupp (knee) is feared to have suffered a torn ACL in the team's win over the Seahawks. He will have an MRI on Monday to confirm.

-- New England Patriots WR Julian Edelman (ankle) checked out early due to an ankle injury, while TE Dwayne Allen (knee) also left and didn't return.

Looking Ahead

-- The Bengals and Ravens will square off in Charm City on Sunday. Baltimore is 8-2 ATS in the past 10 against AFC foes, and 4-1 ATS in the past five against divisional foes. However, they're 0-4 ATS in the past four overall. The Ravens return after a bye, and they're 8-3 ATS in the past 11 after a week off. However, they're 1-4 ATS in the past five inside the division and 2-6 ATS in the past eight home games against a team with a winning road mark. The Bengals are 7-3 ATS in the past 10 meetings, while the underdog is 7-2 ATS in the past nine in the series.

-- The Titans look to stay hot against the Colts in Indianapolis in a key AFC South battle. Tennessee is 6-0 ATS in the past six inside the division, while going 6-2 ATS in the past eight overall. Indianapolis is 16-5-1 ATS in the past 22 at home against teams with a winning road record, but they're 2-7-1 ATS in the past 10 inside the South. The Titans are 3-10 ATS in the past 13 meetings in this series, and 1-6 ATS in the past seven trips to Indy. The under has connected in 10 of the past 13 meetings in Indianapolis, too.

-- The Broncos and Chargers do battle in L.A. Denver is 1-3-1 ATS in the past five following a bye, while going 1-6 ATS in the past seven inside the division. They're also 3-11 ATS in the past 14 on the road. L.A. has posted a 5-1 ATS mark in the past six against losing teams, while going 5-2 ATS in the past seven inside the division. Lately, it's been all about the under. The under is 5-0 in the past meetings in San Diego/Los Angeles. The under is also 3-1-1 in Denver's past five divisional games, and 5-2-1 in their past  eight overall. The under is 13-4 in L.A.'s past 17 against AFC foes, 5-2 in their past seven at home and 7-1 in the past eight inside the division, including Week 10 in Oakland.

-- The Vikings and Bears square off on Sunday Night Football. Minnesota heads to the Windy city 8-3 ATS over the past 11 on the road. However, they're 2-7 ATS in the past nine following a bye and 1-5 ATS in the past six against a team with a winning mark. The Bears are 5-1 ATS in the past six at home, while going 3-1-1 ATS in the past five inside the division. The home team has hit in four of the past five in this series, and the Vikings are a dismal 3-12 ATS in the past 15 trips to Soldier Field.

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