Betting Recap – Week 13

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Overall Notes

National Football League Week 13 Results
Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 9-7
Against the Spread 7-9
Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 10-6
Against the Spread 10-6
Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 5-11
National Football League Year-to-Date Results
Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 123-66-2
Against the Spread 86-98-7
Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 116-74-2
Against the Spread 93-91-7
Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 91-100

The largest underdogs to win straight up
Cardinals (+13.5, ML +600) at Packers, 20-17
Cowboys (+7.5, ML +270) vs. Saints, 13-10
Jaguars (+4.5, ML +180) vs. Colts, 6-0

The largest favorite to cover
Rams (-10) at Lions, 30-16
Seahawks (-9.5) vs. 49ers, 43-16
Patriots (-6) vs. Vikings, 24-10

Last Straw

-- The Green Bay Packers suffered an embarrassing home loss to the Arizona Cardinals, 20-17, despite entering as 13 1/2-point favorites. The Pack slipped to 4-7-1 SU/ATS, and are nearly mathematically eliminated from the playoff hunt. As a result, the team decided to show head coach Mike McCarthy the door, firing him on Sunday night and naming Joe Philbin as the interim head coach. The Browns are the only team to make an in-season coaching change in 2018, and they lost the very next week back on Nov. 4, while failing to cover, too. The Pack welcome the equally unimpressive Atlanta Falcons next Sunday at Lambeau. 

Dogs Barking

-- It all started on Thursday night when the Dallas Cowboys upended the New Orleans Saints 13-10 as 7 1/2-point underdogs, and Sunday the upsets continued in the early window. The Jacksonville Jaguars topped the Indianapolis Colts 6-0 in the lowest-scoring game of 2018 as 4 1/2-point 'dogs, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers won as 3 1/2-point underdogs in their building against the division rival Carolina Panthers, the Baltimore Ravens kept the 'dogs barking with a 26-16 win on the road against the Atlanta Falcons as they didn't need the 2 1/2 points they were catching. The New York Giants edged the Chicago Bears in overtime, as suddenly the G-Men are resembling an NFL-caliber team again. And of course, we mentioned the Pack above as near two-touchdown underdogs. The Los Angeles Chargers finished off the day with a 33-30 win against the Pittsburgh Steelers, erasing a 23-7 lead. It was the first time the Steelers blew a lead at home when leading by 14 or more points, as they entered the day 220-0-2 in such situations. Wacky. 

Total Recall

-- The highest total on the board (54) was the Los Angeles Rams-Detroit Lions game, and it came in eight points under. The two games with a total of 53 1/2 ended up hitting the 'over'. The Chargers-Steelers and Kansas City Chiefs-Oakland Raiders games each eclipsed the over. However, the five games with totals listed over 50 ended up hitting the 'under' at a 3-2 clip. One of those games was the Panthers-Bucs. The 'under' is now 3-1 in the past four games for the Bucs after the 'over' started out 7-1 in the first eight.

-- The lowest total on the board was the battle between the Buffalo Bills-Miami Dolphin (40) battle, and it ended up just hitting the 'under'. The New York Jets-Tennessee Titans (40.5) ended up hitting the 'over, as the Titans erased a big New York lead to come back and win 26-22. The Cards-Pack (41) also hit the 'under' in a rather low-scoring week.

-- The 'over/under' went 1-2 last week in three primetime games in Week 12, and was again 1-2 this week after the Washington Redskins-Philadelphia Eagles (45) came in just under the number. Overall for the 2018 season the 'over' in primetime games is 21-19 (52.5%).

Officially, the 'over' finished 25-23-1 (52.1%) in 49 games under the lights in 2017.

In 2016, the 'over' in night games went (52.9%) through 51 games.

In 2015, the over finished 20-28-1 (41.7%) in 49 primetime games. 

In 2014, the over went 33-17 (66.0%) in primetime games, and the over was 28-22 (56.0%) in 2013.

Injury Report

-- Bengals WR A.J. Green (foot) was carted off with a right foot injury, after just returning from a multi-week toe injury. Green was visibly upset on the cart and it could be a potentially serious injury.

-- Panthers TE Greg Olsen (foot) left Sunday's game in Tampa with a ruptured plantar fascia and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.

-- Steelers RB James Conner (leg) was forced out of the Sunday night game late in the fourth quarter with a lower leg injury, and head coach Mike Tomlin said after the game that the back suffered a contusion.

Looking Ahead

-- The Jaguars travel to Nashville to battle the Titans on Thursday night. Jacksonville is 0-3-1 ATS in the past four road games, while the Titans are 12-4-1 ATS in the past 17 at home. They're also 6-2 ATS in their past eight divisional games. Jacksonville is 1-4-1 ATS in the past six meetings, with the home team 5-2-1 ATS in the past eight in this series.

-- The Giants have posted a 3-0-1 ATS mark over their past four, and they're an impressive 5-0 ATS in the past five road contests. The Redskins are 4-1 ATS in their past five at home, though. In this series the under is 4-0 in the past four meetings, and 5-1 in the past six at FedEx Field. The underdog is 11-5 in the past 16 meetings in this series.

-- The Saints head to Tampa with a 19-7 ATS mark in the past 26 road games, while going 15-6 ATS in the past 21 inside the division. The Bucs are 5-2 ATS in the past seven against NFC South opponents, while going 4-1 ATS in the past five home games against the Saints. The under is 8-2 in the past 10 in Tampa, and 14-6 in the past 20 meetings overall. However, the over hit in the Week 1 matchup in New Orleans.

-- Houston has won nine in a row after opening 0-3 SU. They're 5-0 ATS in the past five against AFC contests, while going posting 5-1 ATS mark in the past six overall. The Colts are just 3-8-1 ATS in the past 12 inside the division including their ugly 6-0 loss at Jacksonville on Sunday. Indy is 4-0-1 ATS in the past five trips to Houston, and 7-3-2 ATS in the past 12 in the series.

-- The Patriots have covered five in a row inside the division, and they're 17-6 ATS in the past 23 on the road. The Dolphins are 5-1 ATS in the past six at home, but just 4-10 ATS in the past 14 against teams with a winning overall mark. New England is just 1-5 ATS in the past six trips to South Florida.

-- The Jets head to Western New York to battle the Bills in Week 14. New York is 1-5 ATS in the past six trips to Buffalo, and they're 3-7 ATS in the past 10 in this series. The under is 5-2 in the past seven in meetings in Buffalo, too.

-- The Cowboys have covered four in a row after their upset against the Saints, and they're also 6-1 ATS in the past seven inside the division, too. They will face Philly on Sunday, a team who played on Monday in Week 13. Dallas had three extra days to rest after playing last Thursday. The Eagles are 5-2 ATS in the past seven trips to Dallas, however, and the road team is 11-3 ATS in the past 14 in this series. 

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