54 Super Betting Angles

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Super Bowl Betting Trends & Angles

Super Bowl LIV between the San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs will be the 54th installment of the big game on Sunday, Feb. 2, 2020 from Miami Gardens, Florida

Before you start handicapping the matchup and prop wagers, you should check 54 betting angles and trends that our VegasInsider.com staff have uncovered for this year’s Super Bowl.

1 Patrick Mahomes is the first QB from a Big 12 school to start a Super Bowl. Also, Mahomes is the first QB from a Texas university (Texas Tech) to start a Super Bowl.

2 Twice in Super Bowl history a team has been held without a touchdown. The Dolphins (Super Bowl VI) and Rams (Super Bowl LIII) each scored exactly three points in losses, but no team has ever been shut out in the Super Bowl.

3 Three times an AFC West team has been listed as a favorite in the Super Bowl and has lost outright. The Broncos twice (Super Bowl XXII and XLVIII) and Raiders (Super Bowl XXVII). Those teams lost by 35, 27, and 32 in those defeats.

4 – The last four Super Bowls played in an outdoor stadium have seen the underdog cash, including three outright wins. The Broncos (L), Seahawks (XLVIII), and Saints (XLIV) each grabbed the victory in the underdog role in these contests played in a non-domed stadium.

5 – The 49ers have won five Super Bowl titles in franchise history. A victory against the Chiefs would tie the Patriots and Steelers for the most Super Bowl titles (6) in NFL history.

6 – There have only been six instances where the favorite won the game straight up but failed to cover the number. Those outcomes occurred in 2009, 2005, 2004, 1996, 1989 and 1976. The 2005 classic (See 39 below) featured the Eagles, who were coached the current boss in KC – Andy Reid.

7 – The 49ers are playing in their seventh Super Bowl in franchise history. San Francisco has won five of its first six Super Bowls, but are listed in the underdog role for the first time.

8 – The Chiefs had eight games with a total of 50 or higher. Kansas City cashed the ‘over’ five times in those contests, with only one coming away from Arrowhead Stadium at Detroit in a 34-30 win in Week 4.

9 – This will be the ninth Super Bowl television broadcast produced by FOX and the sixth for the announcing team of Joe Buck and Troy Aikman. In the first eight Super Bowls on the network, the AFC-NFC and Favorite-Underdog results have split at 4-4 while the ‘over’ is 5-3.

10 – There have been 10 Super Bowls played in Miami and San Francisco has played in two of them – beating Cincinnati 20-16 in 1989 (XXIII) before routing San Diego 49-26 in 1995 (XXIX).

11 – This is the 11th Super Bowl with a total of 50 or higher. The ‘under’ has cashed in seven of the 10 Super Bowls involving a total of 50 or more, including last season’s 13-3 win by New England over Los Angeles on a 56 total.

12 – Kansas City stunned Minnesota 23-7 in Super Bowl IV, winning outright as a 12-point underdog. Double-digit underdogs have gone 5-9 straight up in the NFL finale but we haven’t seen a spread this high since 2008 when the Giants stunned the Patriots 17-14 in SB XLII.

13 – The 49ers played four games in the Eastern Time Zone this season and the defense traveled well, surrendering 13.5 points per game (PPG) while going 3-1. The lone loss was a 20-17 decision at Baltimore in Week 13. Kansas City went 3-0 when traveling East and it averaged 32.3 PPG.

14 – Amount of touchdown passes Mahomes has thrown against NFC West opponents in his career. Three of those 14 touchdowns came against San Francisco in a 38-27 home victory in 2018.

15 – Only one player has won the Super Bowl MVP wearing the jersey number 15, which was Packers’ quarterback Bart Starr in each of the first two Super Bowl victories. Mahomes is the favorite to capture the award at DraftKings (IN, NJ & PA only).

16 – The fewest combined points scored in a Super Bowl was 16, which came last season when the Patriots beat the Rams, 13-3. The previous low was 21 points posted in Super Bowl VII when Miami edged Washington, 14-7.

17 – The Chiefs are making their third Super Bowl appearance. This marks the 17th time in Super Bowl history a team is making its third appearance in the big game. The first 16 teams posted an 8-8 record in their third Super Bowl affair with the Eagles being the most recent team in this situation, beating the Patriots in Super Bowl LII.

18 – Kansas City head coach Andy Reid has gone 18-3 in the regular season following a ‘bye’ week and when playing with rest in the playoffs, he’s produced a 4-2 mark with rest. Kyle Shanahan has gone 2-2 with the 49ers when playing with rest, both wins coming this season.

19 – In Super Bowl history, 19 times the winning team has scored between 30 and 39 points. The only point total that has not been posted by a winning team in the history of this game is 36.

20 – The most combined penalties called in a Super Bowl was 20, which happened twice in 52 games. Dallas and Denver did so in Super Bowl XII and the Patriots and Panthers followed suit in SBXXXVIII.

21 – Super Bowl teams that fail to score 21 points in the Super Bowl are 2-23 SU and 4-20-1 ATS. The two winners that failed to eclipse the 21-point plateau were the N.Y. Giants, who beat the Patriots 17-14 in SBXLII, while New England held off Los Angeles in SBLIII, 13-3.

22 – The Chiefs have allowed an average of 22.2 points per game in nine playoff contests coached by Andy Reid, while yielding 20 points or more six times.

23 – Kansas City have scored at least 30 points in 23 games since Mahomes became the starting quarterback in 2018. The Chiefs are averaging 34 points per game in 16 games played away from Arrowhead Stadium with Mahomes under center.

24 – In Super Bowl 31, the Patriots led the Packers 14-10 after the first quarter and that’s the most combined points (24) scored in the first 15 minutes of the finale.

25 – The 'under' has cashed 25 times in Super Bowl history. Nine of the last 14 Super Bowls have finished 'under' the total, including in the last stadium played without a roof in Santa Clara in Super Bowl 50 between the Broncos and Panthers.

26 – The longest time that elapsed in a Super Bowl before either team scored was 26 minutes, which occurred in SB38 between New England and Carolina. Despite the slow start, the pair combined 24 at the end of the first half and a SB record 37 in the final 15 minutes as the Patriots won 32-29 over the Panthers.

27 – The 49ers averaged 27.5 points per game away from Levi’s Stadium this season. San Francisco topped the 30-point mark three times, including a season-high 48 points in a victory at New Orleans in Week 14.

28 – Since Kyle Shanahan took over as coach of the 49ers, the club has averaged 28.3 PPG against NFC opponents in 12 games. SF has gone 8-4.

29 – In Super Bowl 29 (XXIX), San Francisco blasted San Diego 49-26 which was the highest scoring all-time finale.

30 – Jimmy Garoppolo has attempted 30 passes or more seven times this season, while throwing only 27 passes in the playoffs. Mahomes has attempted 30 or more passes 13 times this season, including twice in the postseason.

31 – Mahomes has played in four playoff games, all at home, and KC has never been held under 31 points.

32 –The Kansas City offense scored 32 points in a 35-32 road loss to the Titans in Week 10 of this year's regular season. Since Mahomes took in 2018 as QB, Kansas City has lost four games on the road despite scoring 32, 31, 51 and 40 points. 

33 – In their last four encounters against the NFC West, all coming in the 2018 regular season, the Chiefs allowed 33.3 PPG. To no surprise, the ‘over’ went 3-1 in those games while KC went 2-2.

34 – Shanahan has called plays in five postseason games, two this year with the 49ers and three during his previous tenure as an offensive coordinator with the Atlanta Falcons. He owns a 4-1 mark and those teams averaged 34 PPG.

35 – Favorites have gone 35-17 straight up in the Super Bowl, while producing a 28-20-2 ATS mark. One game closed at a pick ‘em, which is in the same neighborhood of the SB 54 number.

36 – In the six all-time Super Bowl playoff appearances by San Francisco, the club averaged 36.5 PPG.

37 – The most combined points scored in the fourth quarter of a Super Bowl is 37, which came between the Panthers (19) and Patriots (18) in SBXXVIII.

38 – Kansas City played in five primetime games this season and the combined points scored in those game was 38.6. The Chiefs went 3-2 while the ‘under’ produced a 4-1 mark. The 49ers went 6-1 in games played at 6:40 p.m. ET or later. The ‘over’ went 4-2-1.

39 – In Super Bowl 39 (XXXIX), New England defeated Philadelphia 24-21 but failed to cover as a seven-point favorite. This was one of two games where the underdog, in this case the Eagles, scored late to affect the point-spread. The other backdoor cover came in SBXIII when Pittsburgh defeated Dallas 35-31. The Cowboys trailed 35-17 and scored 14 points in the final three minutes.  

40 – The most field goals made from 40 yards or more in a Super Bowl is three by Saints' kicker Garrett Hartley in their win over the Colts in SBXLIV.

41a – The last time we saw back-to-back ‘under’ tickets in the NFL came in Super Bowl 41 when the Colts defeated the Bears 29-17. Coincidentally, that game was also the last Super Bowl played in Miami.

41b – The 49ers scored more than 41 points three times this season, compared to only one occurrence by the Chiefs.

42 – The amount of points allowed by the 49ers in two Super Bowls at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami. San Francisco yielded 16 points to Cincinnati in Super Bowl XXIII and 26 points to San Diego in Super Bowl XXIX.

43 – The most completions in a Super Bowl was 43, which is held by QB Tom Brady in Super Bowl 51 between New England and Atlanta. What’s more impressive is that Brady completed 22 passes in the fourth quarter and overtime against the Falcons.

44 – Washington Redskins running back John Riggins wore number 44 and he’s the only Super Bowl MVP that had a jersey listed in the forties. The most common range for SB MVP jersey numbers falls between 10 and 19.

45 – The largest margin of victory in a Super Bowl is 45, which came in SBXXIV when the 49ers blasted the Broncos, 55-10.

46 – The most points allowed by the 49ers this season, which came in a 48-46 victory at New Orleans in Week 14. In six of San Francisco’s other seven road games this season, the Niners yielded 21 points or less.

47 – The longest reception made by Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce this season went for 47 yards, which came against the Raiders in Week 13. The last time a tight end picked up a catch of at least 40 yards in the Super Bowl was Kevin Boss of the Giants, who hauled in a 45-yard reception in Super Bowl XLII against the Patriots.

48 – There has only been one Super Bowl where the combined score has landed exactly on 48 points. This occurred in SBXLIV when the Saints defeated the Colts 31-17 in 2010.

49 – San Francisco captured a 49-26 victory over San Diego in Super Bowl 29, which was the only time a team scored exactly seven touchdowns and extra points in a game. The 75 combined points was also the most ever scored in a Super Bowl.

50 – The highest amount of passing attempts in a game this season by Mahomes was 50, which came in a 35-32 loss at Tennessee in Week 10. In that game, Mahomes threw for a season-high 446 yards.

51 – The Chiefs scored a season-high 51 points in their 51-31 win over the Houston Texans in the Divisional Playoff round. 

52 – Mahomes has thrown five passes of 52 yards or more this season, compared to seven such throws in 2018. Jimmy Garoppolo has connected on three passes of 52 yards or more in 2019. 

53 – 49ers' wide receiver Deebo Samuel averaged 53.5 yards per game during the regular season. That is the lowest amount of yards averaged per game by a team's leading wide receiver to play in the Super Bowl since 2017 when Philadelphia's Alshon Jeffery posted 49.3 yards per contest.

54 – This is the first Super Bowl with a total of 54 points. In the four other Super Bowls with a total of 54 points or higher, the ‘under’ connected three times.




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