2020 NFL Odds for 16-0 or 0-16 Finish
May 20, 2020
By Tony Mejia
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Chiefs, Ravens given best shot at 16-0 run
The NFL hasn’t seen a team get through the regular season unscathed since the Patriots went 16-0 in 2007, but that doesn’t mean you can’t wager on it happening again. DraftKings SportsBook released odds for the teams most likely to finish out a perfect run prior to the playoffs in 2020, making consensus Super Bowl LV favorite Kansas City the most likely choice to make a little history.
The 2015 Carolina Panthers went 15-1 and didn’t lose until Week 16, opening 14-0. Cam Newton, still looking for his next gig following the Lisfranc fracture that ended his tenure in Charlotte, led his team to the Super Bowl but lost. Aaron Rodgers led the 2011 Green Bay Packers to the Super Bowl stage after a 13-0 start and 15-1 season, but also failed in his bid to win them all and fell in the championship game.
Counting the Tom Brady-led Pats in ’07, the last five teams to win 15 or more regular-season games have failed to win it all. We’ve just been reminded of the Michael Jordan Bulls’ 1996 motto regarding a then-record 72-10 run on well-received ESPN documentary “The Last Dance.”
“It don’t mean a thing if you don’t win a ring.”
That holds true in the NFL too, but 16-0 would at least pay off handsomely if you correctly back the right pony whether they go on to win the Super Bowl or not. DraftKings Sportsbook’s odds on a perfect regular-season run pay so handsomely that even the favored Chiefs would provide a huge return since their implied odds come in a less that four percent.
Odds to Finish 2020 NFL Regular Season 16-0
Kansas City Chiefs +2500 (Bet $100 to win $2500)
Baltimore Ravens +3000 (Bet $100 to win $3000)
San Francisco 49ers +5000
New Orleans Saints +6000
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +10000
Philadelphia Eagles +12500
T&C's Apply, 21+, Odds subject to change
The Chiefs went 12-4 in 2019 but won their last six regular-season games before a 3-0 playoff sweep in winning a championship, so they carry the NFL’s longest win streak into the fall and are +2500 (Bet $100 to win $2500). Patrick Mahomes will have even more weapons to work with after Kansas City spent a first-round pick on LSU running back Clyde Edwards-Helaire, who is expected to be one of the season’s most explosive rookies and a top candidate behind favored likely Bengals' starting QB Joe Burrow in the race for Offensive Rookie of the Year.
Baltimore finished a season-best 14-2 in 2019 before being tripped up by Tennessee and is in the mix for another great run considering all the talent returning. Reigning MVP Lamar Jackson should be able to capitalize on what is statistically the easiest schedule based on 2019 results. The Ravens will also travel the fewest miles of anyone in the NFL and will close with six straight games against teams that failed to make the playoffs last season. A 16-0 run pays +3000 ($100 to win $3000).
The defending NFC champion 49ers (+5000), Saints (+6000), Bucs (+10000) and Eagles are also options available at DraftKings ahead of what is expected to be in a wide open conference race.
Perfection goes both ways in the NFL since it’s possible for a team to come up 0-16 in a regular-season. Five teams have failed to win a single game since 1960, though it hadn’t happened in a quarter-century before the Detroit Lions lost them all in 2008.
The 2017 Cleveland Browns also went 0-16 after losing six of their games by six points or fewer. Last season, the Miami Dolphins opened as the “favorite” to go winless at DraftKings with a similar number of +3000 but they got on the board after an 0-7 start despite their tank job and finished 5-11. Cincinnati opened 0-11 and had midseason odds on them going winless of +750 entering Week 9. The Bengals finished 2-14. DraftKings Sportsbook’s set odds on a winless regular-season tlists just wo teams as serious candidates, tipping the cap in disrespect in the direction of Jacksonville and Washington.
Odds to Finish 2020 NFL Regular Season 0-16
Jacksonville Jaguars +2500 (Bet $100 to win $2500)
Washington Redskins +5000 (Bet $100 to win $5000)
T&C's Apply, 21+, Odds subject to change
Both teams are expected to be led by second-year starting quarterbacks in Gardner Minshew II and Dwayne Haskins and are expected to again bring up the rear in their respective divisions. The Jaguars and Redskins went a combined 9-23 in 2019.
Washington is opening the Ron Rivera era and is expected to be a work in progress on both sides of the ball but it should be a better unit than the lowly Jags. I believe Jacksonville will be the worst team in the NFL in 2020 after dropping six of its last eight games. It will be working with a rebuilt defense in addition while openly looking to move RB Leonard Fournette. Correctly riding the Jaguars to finish 0-16 pays +2500 (Bet $100 to win $2500).
Best Bet: Ravens to go 16-0 (+3000)
Finishing 16 games undefeated or winless isn’t likely to occur this season, but the team most likely to come through figures to be the Ravens. Jacksonville plays the Dolphins, Bengals and Lions while toiling in a relatively week division in the AFC South, which means coming up completely empty is unlikely.
Baltimore will host its most complicated game against the Chiefs, one of the two teams it lost to last regular season. Depending on how the Eagles and Patriots fare prior to midseason meetings against John Harbaugh’s team, it’s likely that the Ravens will be favored in every one of their games.
Follow Tony Mejia on Twitter at @TonyMejiaNBA or e-mail him at firstname.lastname@example.org
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