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Tech Trends - Week 11



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Week 11 of the NFL season kicks off on Thursday, Nov. 19 and we've identified betting trends and angles for all the matchups.

We also have "Tech Edge" leans on the side or total for each game too.

Straight Up (SU), Against the Spread (ATS), Over-Under (O/U)

Thursday, Nov. 19

ARIZONA at SEATTLE

  • Rematch of Arizona's 40-34 OT win, a rare home win in the series.
  • Arizona has covered the spread in five straight games when playing in Seattle.
  • Road team is 9-2-1 over last 12 meetings.
  • Kliff Kingsbury is 9-2-1 vs. spread when playing on the road since last year.
  • Seattle has gone OVER in seven of its last 10 games

Tech Edge: Cardinals and slight to OVER based on series and point total trends.

Sunday, Nov. 22

PHILADELPHIA at CLEVELAND

  • Eagles only 6-11 on board.
  • Browns lost four straight vs the line this year, and 3-9 over last 12 vs the spread since late 2019. 
Tech Edge: Slight to Eagles based on team trends.

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ATLANTA at NEW ORLEANS

  • Atlanta has won three of its last four games.
  • Atlanta has covered the spread in three of its last four games.
  • New Orleans is 2-3 vs the spread when playing at home this year.
  • New Orleans is 3-7 over its last 10 games vs the line when playing at home.
  • New Orleans has gone OVER the point total in nine of its last 11 games.

Tech Edge: Falcons and OVER based on team and point total trends.

DETROIT at CAROLINA

  • Matt Rhule is 1-4 vs the line when playing at home this year, Carolina is 1-7-1 in last eight vs line when playing at home.
  • Rhule is 0-2 vs the line when favored at home this year, Carolina is 0-4 as chalk dating to mid 2019.
  • Lions are 3-2 vs the line when playing on the road this year (0-3 at home).
  • Detroit has gone OVER the point total in eight of its last 12 games since late 2019.

Tech Edge: Lions and OVER based on team and point total trends

NEW ENGLAND at HOUSTON

  • Bill Belichick vs Romeo Crennel, one of Belichick's first 'disciples' to go out on his own and become a head coach.
  • Heading into last Sunday vs Ravens, Belichick is 1-4 vs the line this year but if getting points note a 14-5 mark since 2010 (1-2 this year, but close to 3-0). 
  • Houston is 2-7 vs the line this year, and 2-8-1 vs spread over its last 11 games

Tech Edge: Patriots based on team trends.

PITTSBURGH at JACKSONVILLE

  • Pittsburgh has won nine straight games this year.
  • Pittsburgh is 7-2 vs the lne this year (tempted to throw out 2019 results with no Ben Roethlisberger almost all season).
  • Piittsburgh has gone OVER the point total in six of its last eight games this year
  • Jacksonville has covered the spread in two straight games, but just 6-11 over last 17 games vs the line since mid 2019 (3-5 this year). 
  • Jacksonville has gone OVER the point total in 13 of its last 22 games.

Tech Edge: Steelers and OVER based on team and point total trends.

GREEN BAY at INDIANAPOLIS

  • Green Bay is 6-3 vs the line this year.
  • Green Bay has gone OVER the point total in seven of its last 11 games since late 2019.
  • If gettiing points, Colts are rarely a home underdog (1-0 since 2018). 
  • Upon a time in the 60s, this was one of the rivlaries in the NFC.

Tech Edge: Slight to Packers and OVER based on team and poiint total trends.

CINCINNATI at WASHINGTON

  • Cincinnati has gone OVER the point total in 10 of its last 13 games since late last year.
  • Washington has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight games 

Tech Edge: Bengals based on recent team trends.

TENNESSEE at BALTIMORE

  • Tennessee is 0-3 vs the line when playing on the road this year (but back to scene of crime in playoffs lat January when they won in Baltimore).
  • Tennessee has gone OVER the point total in 17 of its last 22 games since Ryan Tannnehill took over at quarterback (though playoff game was UNDER).
  • Tennessee has won 15 of its last 22 games since Tannehill took over at quarterback.
  • Baltimore is 4-4 vs the line in its last eight home games.

Tech Edge: OVER and slight to Titans based on point total and team trends.

DALLAS at MINNESOTA

  • Dallas is 0-4 vs the line when playing on the road this year.
  • Dallas is 0-6 vs the spread when playing on the road snce late 2019.
  • Dallas is 1-8 overall vs the points this year.
  • Dallas has gone UNDER the point total in four straight games this year.
  • After Monday night, Minnesota has covered the spread in six of its last seven games
  • Minnesota has gone OVER the point total in five of its last six games

Tech Edge: Vikings based on recent team trends.

KANSAS CITY at LAS VEGAS

  • Revenge for Kansas City after a 40-32 home less on Oct. 11.
  • Kansas City is 7-1 vs the line in last eight road games
  • Kansas City is 4-4 vs number over last eight games as the series vistor after previous domination in role.
  • Andy Reid is 15-3 vs number over last 18 games since mid 2019.
  • Las Vegas is 2-2 vs the line at Allegiant Stadium.
  • Las Vegas has gone OVER the point total iin six of its last nine games this year

Tech Edge: Chiefs based on extended trends.

MIAMI at DENVER

  • Miami has covered the spread in 16 of its last 21 games since early 2019.
  • Miami has covered the spread in five straight games, and seven of its last eight this year.
  • If underdog, note Denver is 11-7 in role (11-4 if taking out Kansas City).
  • Denver has gone OVER the point total in three of its last four and four of its last six games this year.

Tech Edge: Dolphins and OVER based on team and point total trends .

N.Y. JETS at L.A. CHARGERS

  • New York has covered the spread in two of its last three games after failing to cover its first six games.
  • Chargers are 1-7-1 over last nine games when favorites, and 2-10-1 over last 13 in the role. 
  • Chargers have gone OVER the point total in six straight games this year.
  • New York has gone UNDER the point total in four of its last five games this year.

Tech Edge: Jets and OVER based on team and point total trends.

Monday, Nov. 13

L.A. RAMS at TAMPA BAY

  • Los Angeles has failed to cover the spread in two straight road games after covering nine of 11 on road prior.
  • Los Angeles lost to Bruce Arians 55-40 at home last year.
  • Tampa Bay has gone OVER the point total in six of its last 10 games this year, and 18 of its last 26 since last year. 
  • Arians has gone OVER the point total in 33 of his last 49 games since mid 2016 with Arizona.

Tech Edge: OVER based on point total trends.


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