Last Updated Aug 30, 2021, 13:51 PM
Sunday's Championship Playoff Prop Best Bets
We've reached the Championship Round of the NFL Playoffs and we've got two games to follow on Sunday.
Tampa Bay at Green Bay (3:05 p.m. ET)
Buffalo at Kansas City (6:40 p.m. ET)
Once again, VI has you covered with my top four prop selections to help handicap all the action.
Championship Round Prop Best Bets
Odds & Props Available at FanDuel
Green Bay QB Aaron Rodgers – Over 2.5 TD Passes (+140)
The presumable front-runner to win this year’s league MVP, Aaron Rodgers, is set for a rematch against Tampa Bay Buccaneers this weekend, and this time around Green Bay will be seeking a much different result after suffering a loss by the second largest point-margin during Matt LaFluer’s tenure as head coach in their first meeting (38-10).
Rodgers’ flame appears to have grown stronger since the last time these teams met up though – throwing for four touchdown passes in each of his last two contests, making that 3+ touchdowns in six of his last seven matchups.
Back him to do it again this Sunday as the Packers will likely need every point they can get, stepping into the octagon against Tom Brady with a ticket to Super Bowl LV at stake.
Tampa Bay RB Leonard Fournette – Over 3.5 Total Receptions (+140)
Since the start of the postseason, Leonard Fournette has seen a sharp increase in his workload out of the Buccaneers’ backfield – receiving 45 touches on a roughly 75.6% snap-share across Tampa Bay’s last two contests.
He has made the most of those touches too, scoring a touchdown in both of those games while racking up 239 yards of total offense.
The most impressive part of his game is his pass-catching ability though, which is the main reason his numbers appeared so pretty against Washington and New Orleans (10 targets, 9 receptions, 83 yards, 9.2 YPC).
Back Fournette to register a third consecutive game with 4+ receptions at plus odds this Sunday in Green Bay.
Buffalo QB Josh Allen – Over 32.5 Rushing Yards (-112)
The Bills will match up with the Chiefs for the second time this season on Sunday night, and this time around it will be at Arrowhead Stadium with much more on the line for both of these teams.
Josh Allen put on his worst performance of the season in his first duel with Patrick Mahomes and company – completing just under 52% of his passes for 122 yards in a 26-17 Buffalo loss. But he still managed to keep things going on ground with 42 rushing yards on eight carries despite having virtually no aerial attack.
Allen averaged 6.4 carries per game during this year’s regular season but has managed to bump that number up to 9 attempts per game across his first two playoff contests. I’m backing Allen to take matters into his own hands even more this week with at least 33 yards on the ground in Kansas City this Sunday.
Kansas City TE Travis Kelce – Over 7.5 total receptions (-110)
Travis Kelce has been such a reliable target for Mahomes throughout his young career, and their connection appears to only grow stronger with every game they suit up together in – connecting 105 times for 1,416 yards and 11 touchdowns this season.
Kelce has recorded eight or more receptions in eight out of his last nine contests, with his only ‘under’ during that stretch coming in a 17-14 win over Atlanta, in which he still received 13 targets.
Buffalo has been stout defensively against tight-ends during the back half of this season, but I believe Kelce should still ultimately find a decent amount of success against the Bills secondary, considering we have seen some elite defenses struggle an unusual amount with the Mahomes-Kelce combo over the last nine weeks or so.
Back Kelce to record his 10th contest of the season with eight or more receptions.