Last Updated Oct 21, 2021, 11:00 PM

NFL Week 7 Parlays, Props & Teasers

ML Parlay

  • Two-Team Parlay: Ravens (-260) & Panthers (-150)
  • Odds-Payout: +130

We’re playing a little bit on the safer side here with two fairly heavy but the return should be well worth it. Picking on two weaker teams here is the goal, with the Giants and Bengals being two teams that I believe are outmatched on both sides of the ball. The Ravens have been one of the surprise teams to really surge this season, all the preseason hype was behind the Browns but former MVP Lamar Jackson has had a very impressive season thus far.

The Panthers started the season hot with three straight wins against the Jets, Saints, and Texans before losing three straight to the Cowboys, Eagles, and Panthers. Despite that, this defensive unit is actually playing very well, constantly getting pressure on the quarterback. Beyond that, coach Matt Rhule has made it very clear that he wants to run the ball 30+ times this week. Chuba Hubbard has been good on the ground this season and considering the fact that he had 50+ rushing yards at halftime and only ended with 61 is very telling of the mistakes that led to this team's loss last week. The Giants have a bottom 5 rush defense in football and are extremely banged up with injuries across the offense.

The Ravens are in a spot I don't normally like to target. Normally teams coming off huge wins disappoint but I think the Books are giving the Bengals too much credit here. My personal line was -300 for this game, John Harbaugh has been one of the best coaches this season constantly covering mistakes for an injury-riddled defense. Lamar Jackson very well may be playing his best football ever, and he's a former MVP winner. This is a team that has superbowl aspirations and are battling a Bengals team that's offensive line can't protect franchise quarterback Joe Burrow.

Same Game Parlay

  • Two-Team Parlay: Kansas City Chiefs ML (-220), Tyreek Hill-KNC/WR TD (-140), Patrick Mahomes-KNC/QB Over 323.5 Passing Yards (-114)
  • Odds-Payout: +311

Before doing any kind of parlay, you need to look at correlation. Your chances of randomly stringing together three random plays are much lower than three plays that all directly relate to each other. I like to have a theme of how I believe the game will play out for every single same game parlay I play. The theme of this play is simple, the Kansas City Chiefs are back!

We’re talking about one of the most explosive offenses in football and these individual pieces are fairly simple. While the Titans do possess a strong run game, the Chiefs are on a mission and a lot of that comes down to Mahomes. Mahomes is coming off an almost 400 yard performance against the Washington Football team where he absolutely decimated them. This game has an even higher total, which is clearly the largest total on the slate currently set at 58.

Finally Tyreek Hill Anytime touchdown. Tyreek has 5 touchdowns on the season with four of them coming over his last three games. This part is quite simple, when a team is implied to score around 30 points you want to play their best receiver. Tyreek can not only score in the redzone, but with his dominant yard after catch potential he can score from almost any part of the field. This Titans defense has been burned week after Week and I expect that to continue.

Player Props

  • Kyle Juszczyk (RB, San Francisco) - Over 16.5 receiving yards (-110)
  • Alvin Kamara (RB, New Orleans) - Over 29.5 receiving yards (-115)

This one may seem a bit weird but let's look at his production over the last couple games. 3/35, 4/41, 4/37. With Jimmy G he was building up some strong momentum with two straight 4 catch games but he actually surprised me and grabbed 3 more last game even with the rookie quarterback in a different offense. Juice is on one of the few fullbacks still going strong in the NFL but he is great at his job. If Trent Williams misses this game he should see an even larger portion of the snaps, considering they will need him blocking out there.

Additionally the weather is also a concern, local weather reports are confirming we could possibly see 15-20 mph winds along with a significant amount of rain. Kyle runs a large amount of checkdown routes close to the line of scrimmage, meaning if we see a super rainy game I actually think he sees a bump in targets. George Kittle is still out with injury and I think Kyle Juszczyk will serve as the primary safety blanket for an offense that doesn't love to take risks.

This play might surprise some people, considering he is one of five on the over this season averaging a career low in receiving yards. The good news is that Kamara is coming off his best receiving game with 5 catches for 50 yards against the Washington Football Team last week. Sean Payton is a good coach and It seems like he was misusing his most talented offensive player, considering Kamara averaged just over 50 receiving yards this season. Coming out of the bye week I expect this team to continue with their game plan of low percentage throws but Kamara will finally be the recipient of it. Seattle is a great matchup for practically any opposing offensive players but especially running backs. They allow the 3rd most passing yards to running backs this season and I expect Kamara to continue his momentum from before the bye week.

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