Last Updated Jan 19, 2022, 6:53 PM
NFL Divisional Round Parlays & Teasers
The NFL Divisional Round begins on Saturday, January 22 and concludes on Sunday, January 23 with four total games. Let's go through the weekend's best parlay and teaser plays to consider.
- Tennessee Titans -3.5 vs. CIN (-110)
- Green Bay Packers -6 vs. SFO (-110)
- Payout: +272
For my first play, I’ll start with Saturday mid-afternoon’s heavyweight AFC bout between the Cincinnati Bengals and Tennessee Titans. Coverage begins from Nissan Stadium at 4:30 p.m. ET on CBS.
After finishing last in the AFC North with a record of 4-11-1 SU last year, the Bengals bounced back with a surprisingly excellent 2021 campaign, as Cincinnati defied its +2500 preseason divisional odds by winning the AFC North with a sturdy record of 10-7 SU – and solidified their claim to the throne with a commanding 28-16 victory over the Raiders on Wild Card Weekend.
On the other hand, despite playing without All-Pro RB Derrick Henry since Week 9, the Titans still plowed their way to the top spot in the AFC with an impressive record of 12-5 SU, providing Tennessee with a significant rest advantage in the Divisional Round – also providing a legitimate chance for Henry to make his grand return to action.
I’ll lay the points with Tennessee here, as surprisingly, Mike Vrabel’s squad was primarily carried by defense this year, considering the top-seeded Titans ranked just 15th in scoring and 17th in total offense during the regular season (24.6 PPG, 343 YPG), while ranking 6th in points allowed and 10th in total defense (20.8 PPG, 329 YPG) – but ultimately, everything should come together and form a cohesive attack with the addition of Henry this Saturday.
For my second play, I’ll dive into Saturday night’s compelling NFC matchup between the San Francisco 49ers and Green Bay Packers. Coverage begins from Lambeau Field at 8:15 p.m. ET on FOX.
Aside from their head-scratching losses to the Saints and Lions in Weeks 1 and 18, the Packers virtually dominated all season, considering Green Bay secured the top spot in the NFC with an impressive record of 13-4 SU and 12-5 ATS – with eight of those SU victories coming by a touchdown or more.
On the other hand, San Francisco snuck into the playoffs with an overtime win over the Rams in Week 18, as the Niners finished up the regular season with a sturdy 4-1 SU run, despite their offense generating just 24.8 PPG across that span – and ultimately, posting a tough upset victory over the Cowboys in the Wild Card Round (W 23-17).
I’ll lay the points with Green Bay here, as the Niners’ offense has been underwhelming recently, considering San Francisco has generated 23 PTS or less in three of their last four games (22.5 PPG) – likely presenting a steep uphill battle against a Packers squad that’s racked up 30+ PTS In six of their last seven events (33.4 PPG).
- Los Angeles Rams (+130) @ TMB
- Kansas City Chiefs (-130) vs. BUF
- Payout: +306
For my first moneyline play, I’ll move to Sunday afternoon’s blockbuster NFC showdown between the Los Angeles Rams and Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Coverage begins from Raymond James Stadium at 3:00 p.m. ET on NBC.
Tom Brady and the defending champs have played solid football all season, as Tampa settled for the second seed in the NFC with a record of 13-4 SU, while ranking second in the league in both scoring and total offense (30.1 PPG, 405.9 YPG) – yet their flaws still get exploited occasionally, considering all four of the Bucs’ losses came by nine points or more.
On the other hand, the Rams posted an impressive regular-season campaign in Matthew Stafford’s first go-around under-center, as L. A. claimed the NFC West crown with a record of 12-5 SU – highlighted by their offense racking up 30+ PTS eight times throughout the year (27.1 PPG), which includes a 34-point outburst against Arizona on Wild Card Weekend (W, 34-11).
I’ll back the Rams to pull off an upset here, as L. A.’s defense finally got healthy and played like a cohesive unit down the homestretch, highlighted by the Rams allowing just 17.1 PPG across their last seven games – and while the void left by Chris Godwin, Leonard Fournette, and Antonio Brown in Tampa’s offense wasn’t felt in last week’s matchup against the Eagles, the Bucs’ lack in offensive weaponry should ultimately catch up with them in the Divisional Round.
For my second moneyline play, I’ll head over to Sunday evening’s highly anticipated AFC clash between the Buffalo Bills and Kansas City Chiefs. Coverage begins from Arrowhead Stadium at 6:30 p.m. ET on CBS.
After stumbling out to a head-scratching 5-4 SU and 2-7 ATS start to the year, the Chiefs quickly flipped the script and looked like the best team in the AFC during the back-half of the season, highlighted by Kansas City racking up 33.4 PPG and allowed just 17.5 PPG across their current 8- 1 SU and 7-2 ATS run – which includes a commanding 42-21 victory over Pittsburgh on Wild Card Weekend.
On the other hand, despite Buffalo winning the AFC East with a record of 11-6 SU and ranking top-three in both points scored (28.5 PPG) and points allowed (17 PPG), the Bills have been up- and-down all season, considering Josh Allen and company racked up 30+ PTS ten times throughout the year – yet, also tallied 16 PTS or less four times.
I’ll back the Chiefs at home here, as Kansas City and Buffalo have both been phenomenal on offense recently, highlighted by both teams racking up 28+ PTS in six straight games – but my vote of confidence in Sunday’s matchup belongs to a Chiefs squad that’s allowed 21 PTS or less defensively in seven of their last ten games (18.2 PPG).
- Bengals-Titans – Under 53
- Bills-Chiefs – Over 47
- Payout: -120
For my first teaser play, I’ll go back to the first matchup on the weekend slate between the Bengals and Titans, which currently shows an over-under set around OU 47 most shops.
With the devastating absence of Henry throughout the regular season, Tennessee leaned heavily on its defense for most of the year, and they certainly answered the call, considering the Titans’ defense ranked top 10 in both scoring and total yardage this season (20.8 PPG, 329 YPG) – compared to their 15th -ranked offensive attack (24.6 PPG).
On the other hand, Cincinnati’s defense also cranked up the heat down the homestretch, highlighted by the Bengals surrendering 21 PTS or less defensively in six of their last nine games – which includes a stifling performance against the Raiders on Wild Card Weekend (W, 26-19).
I’ll take an adjusted under here, as I envision Tennessee winning this game by controlling time- of-possession and keeping Joe Burrow off the field in the second half – likely finishing up around a score of roughly 24-20.
For my second teaser play, I’ll return to Sunday night’s heavyweight AFC showdown between the Chiefs and Bills, which currently boasts the highest over-under listed on the weekend slate – currently stationed just north of OU 54 at most shops.Kansas City and Buffalo were both phenomenal offensively this year, as the Chiefs finished the regular-season ranked 4th in the league in scoring and 3rd in total offense (29 PPG, 401.3 YPG) – while the Bills wrapped things up ranked 3rd in scoring and 5th in total offense (29.4 PPG, 387.5 YPG).
Neither squad skipped a beat in the first round of the postseason too, considering the Chiefs racked up 42 PTS on 478 YDS during their 42-21 win over Pittsburgh on Wild Card Weekend – while the Bills exploded for 47 PTS on 487 YDS in their 47-17 victory over the Patriots.
I’ll take an adjusted over here, as Kansas City and Buffalo combined for 89 PTS on roughly 482.5 YPG on Wild Card Weekend – and while such a high production level is unlikely against much more formidable defenses this week, both squads should still finish up around the 30-point mark in Sunday night’s contest – was thinking around 30-27-ish.