Last Updated Oct 04, 2022, 7:19 PM

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Same Game Parlay Picks and Predictions

NFL betting expert Michael Crosson gives his same game parlay selection for Sunday night's primetime matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Odds provided by DraftKings.

Chiefs vs. Buccaneers SGP Picks

  • Chiefs Over 20.5 Points Scored (-150)
  • Travis Kelce (KC) Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+110)
  • Clyde Edwards-Helaire (KC) Over 24.5 Receiving Yards (+150)

Payout: +525

Despite the departure of All-Pro wideout Tyreek Hill, the Chiefs have looked like the same ole’ Chiefs to start the season, as Kansas City’s offense lit up the scoreboard for 35.5 PPG on 404 YPG in victories over the Cardinals and Chargers in Weeks 1 and 2, and then right on cue, scored just 17 PTS in a head-scratching loss to the 0-2 Colts in Week 3 (L, 20-17).

I’ll back Kansas City to score more than 20 PTS on Sunday night, as the Chiefs scored 27+ PTS in two-of three matchups to open the season (29.3 PPG), and while they might not quite reach those heights on the road against a tough Tampa Bay defense, I still feel comfortable backing them to clear that number after scoring 20+ PTS in 17-of-20 matchups last year (including playoffs).

Travis Kelce currently leads Kansas City’s pass-catchers in almost every major statistical category, as the Chiefs’ All-Pro TE hauled in 17-of-24 targets for 230 receiving yards and two touchdowns across the first three weeks of the season; and he should’ve caught his third TD in Indy last week, as Kelce dropped an easy one in the back of the endzone that would’ve given Kansas City a 23-13 lead with less than nine minutes left in the contest.

Through the first three weeks of the season, Mahomes has targeted Kelce twice as much as anybody else in the redzone, as Kelce caught four-of-eight redzone targets, while the rest of the Chiefs’ pass-catchers saw just 14 targets in the redzone combined. So, I’ll roll the dice on Kelce scoring is third touchdown of the year on Sunday night.

The departure of Hill left a bunch of targets up for grabs within an incredibly pass-heavy Chiefs’ offense, and while most of those extra targets have fallen to Kelce and JuJu Smith-Schuster thus far, RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire has also benefited a great deal from the additional volume getting scattered around, as Edwards-Helaire hauled in 12-of-12 targets for 115 receiving yards and two touchdowns across the first three weeks of the season.

CEH has now posted 3+ receptions for 32+ receiving yards in three straight contests to open the season, and I think we’ll see the Chiefs continue to look his way in their funky screen game as Andy Reid tries to settle on a replacement for Hill’s gadget plays.

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