Indianapolis Colts vs. Denver Broncos Same Game Parlay Picks and Predictions

Michael Crosson Sports Betting Expert

2 minute read

NFL betting expert Michael Crosson gives his same game parlay selection for Sunday night's primetime matchup between the Indianapolis Colts and Denver Broncos. Odds provided by DraftKings.

Colts vs. Broncos SGP Picks

• Indianapolis Colts Under 20.5 Points (-120)
• Courtland Sutton (DEN) Over 59.5 Receiving Yards (-140)
• Russell Wilson (DEN) Over 219.5 Passing Yards (-130)

Payout: +450

Indianapolis decided to move in a different direction at QB after missing the playoffs with a record of 9-8 last season, and so far, it’s been absolute chaos, as the Colts’ offense averaged just 14.3 PPG and turned the ball over nine times in their first four matchups with Matt Ryan under center, resulting in four straight performances of 20 PTS or less.

I’ll back Indy to stay under that number again here, as the Broncos’ defense has surrendered 17 PTS or less in three-of-four contests to start the season (17 PPG, 285 YPG), and 10 PTS or less in both of their home matchups (9.5 PPG); likely presenting an uphill battle for a Colts squad that scored just 10 PPG across an ugly tie-loss combo against Houston and Jacksonville on the road to open the year.

Denver’s offense is off to a surprisingly slow start following the blockbuster acquisition of Russell Wilson, as the Broncos averaged just 16.5 PPG on 336 YPG and turned the ball over four times across a 2-2 split to open the year, while scoring 16 PTS or less in three of those affairs. However, that hasn’t stopped Denver from slinging the ball around the yard, as Wilson’s completed a career-low 61% of his passes for 245 YPG through the first four weeks of the season, which includes a dreadful performance in which he completed just 45% of his passes for 219 yards against Houston.

I’ll back Wilson to put up similar numbers on Thursday night, as Denver will probably be forced to lean on its passing game more following the season-ending injury to RB Javonte Williams, and even if they don’t, Wilson’s still thrown for 219+ YDS in three-of-four matchups this year, and I think the worst of his struggles are behind him.

Courtland Sutton has clearly been Wilson’s go-to guy through the early stages of his Broncos’ tenure, as Sutton reeled in 24-of-35 targets for 343 yards and a touchdown in the first four weeks of the season (86 YPG), which led Denver’s pass catchers by a distant margin, with Jerry Jeudy serving as the next man up hauling in 11-of-21 targets for 183 yards and two scores. In Week 4, however, Sutton was surprisingly quiet, as he caught just five passes for 52 yards in a loss to the Raiders this past Sunday, marking his first performance south of 72 yards this season.

I’ll back him to get back on track here, as Sutton averaged 97 YPG in his first three contests partnered up with Wilson, and while last week was a minor step back, he still saw a team-high seven targets in a matchup the Broncos attempted just 25 passes in.

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Michael Crosson

Michael Crosson began his time at VegasInsider as a freelance NBA writer back in 2019 while he continued to study Psychology and Biology at James Madison University. Following his graduation in 2021, Michael joined the team full-time, and he's been with VI ever since. Michael still writes NBA, NFL, and MLB for VI, as well as gambling industry news. He's also become a crucial part of our editorial production team. More from Michael Crosson