Last Updated Oct 13, 2022, 8:05 PM

Washington Commanders vs. Chicago Bears Picks, Predictions, Odds

Week 6 of the NFL season will kick things off on Thursday night with a primetime showdown between a pair of pretty evenly matched NFC squads as the Washington Commanders get set to take on the Chicago Bears. Coverage begins from Soldier Field in Chicago at 8:15 p.m. ET on Amazon Prime TV.

WASHINGTON COMMANDERS vs. CHICAGO BEARS BETTING PREDICTION

Washington jumped out to surprisingly encouraging start to the season, as the Commanders opened with a 1-1 split against Detroit and Jacksonville, while racking up 27.5 PPG on 393 YPG across their first two matchups with Carson Wentz under center. However, Wentz and co. haven’t been able gain much traction since then, as the Commanders followed up their 1-1 start with consecutive losses to the Eagles, Cowboys, and Titans, while scoring 17 PTS or less in all three of those affairs (11.7 PPG, 307 YPG).

Chicago, on the other hand, has one of the most one-dimensional offenses in recent memory, as the Bears averaged 17.2 PPG on 274 YPG across a 2-3 skid to open the season, with Justin Fields attempting just 17.6 passes per game across those five contests. However, Chicago’s pedestrian record might still be slightly misleading in this spot, as the Bears’ only victories came in a rainy slip-and-slide game against San Francisco in Week 1 (W, 19-10), and a seesaw thriller against Houston in Week 3 (W, 23-20).

I’ll back Washington here, as the Commanders averaged 24 PPG on 390 YPG across their trio of contests against the Lions, Jaguars, and Titans; and while they also struggled miserably against tough Eagles and Cowboys’ defensive units, I think they’ll find a decent amount of success against a Chicago defense that’s surrendered 20+ PTS in four-of-five matchups this season (21.2 PPG), or at least find enough success to outlast this dreadful Bears’ offense (17.2 PPG).

Score Prediction: Commanders 24, Bears 17
Best Bet: Commanders ML (-105)

WASHINGTON COMMANDERS vs. CHICAGO BEARS BETTING ODDS

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WASHINGTON COMMANDERS vs. CHICAGO BEARS BETTING RESOURCES

Date: Thursday, Oct. 13, 2022
Matchup: NFC East vs. NFC South
Venue: Soldier Field
Location: Chicago, Illinois
Time-TV: Amazon Prime TV, 8:15 p.m. ET

WASHINGTON COMMANDERS BETTING ANALYSIS

The Colts’ offense averaged 26.5 PPG and turned the ball over just 19 times with Wentz under center last season, which ranked Top 10 in the league in both departments, as he completed 62% of his passes for 3,563 YDS and a 27-7 INT ratio in his first campaign with Indy. However, the Colts still didn’t make the playoffs, so Indy decided to move in a different direction at QB, which in turn, led to Wentz getting shipped to Washington, who’s now starting for his third different team since 2020.

It was a tale of two very different two-game sets for Wentz and co. to start the season, as the Commanders opened with a 1-1 split against Detroit and Jacksonville, while racking up 27.5 PPG on 393 YPG across those two contests. However, Washington’s offense was terrible in Weeks 3 and 4, as the Commanders scored 10 PTS or less on sub-300 YDS in back-to-back losses to the Eagles and Cowboys in their ensuing two affairs.

The Commander’s offense bounced back with 385 total yards against a tough Tennessee squad this past Sunday, but they couldn’t cash in for the game-winning touchdown on their final drive, as Wentz threw an interception on third-and-goal at the two-yard-line with nine seconds left on the clock, which is something we’ve become accustomed to seeing from Wentz; but in a different world where Washington actually scored that game-winning touchdown, we might be looking at them as a short road favorite in this matchup.

The Bears are 0-9 ATS in their last nine home games against Washington. (Getty Images)

CHICAGO BEARS BETTING ANALYSIS

The Bears finished third in the NFC North with a record of 6-11 last year, as Chicago stormed out to a solid 3-2 start to the season, however, their success was very short-lived, highlighted by their 3-9 skid the rest of the way led by an offense ranked 27th in scoring and 24th in yardage per play in total yardage (18.3 PPG, 4.9 YPP).

This season, however, Chicago jumped out to a surprisingly strong 2-1 start, as the Bears posted tough wins over the Niners and Texans in Weeks 1 and 3, which was inevitably separated by a double-digit road loss to the Packers in Week 2. But Chicago’s offense still struggled in those games, as Justin Fields and co. averaged just 17.3 PPG on 265 YPG across those their first three contests; and it doesn’t look like they’re turning things around anytime soon, as Chicago averaged a similar 17 PPG on 288 YPG across a pair of competitive losses to the Giants and Vikings in Weeks 4 and 5.

WASHINGTON COMMANDERS vs. CHICAGO BEARS BETTING TRENDS

  • The Commanders are 1-4 ATS in their last five games.
  • The Bears are 5-12 SU in their last 17 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in five of Washington's last seven games.
  • The total has gone OVER in five of Chicago's last six games against Washington.
  • The Bears are 0-9 ATS in their last nine home games against Washington.
  • The Commanders are 2-8 SU in their last 10 games.
  • The Commanders are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against Chicago.
  • The Commanders are 7-1 SU in their last eight games against Chicago.
  • The Commanders are 1-4 SU in their last five road games.
  • The Commanders are 9-0 ATS in their last nine road games against Chicago.
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