Last Updated Oct 14, 2022, 3:22 PM

Washington Commanders vs. Chicago Bears Same Game Parlay Picks and Predictions

NFL betting expert Michael Crosson gives his same game parlay selection for Thursday night's primetime matchup between the Washington Commanders and Chicago Bears. Odds provided by DraftKings.

Commanders vs. Bears SGP Picks

  • Washington Commanders Over 19.5 Points Scored (-105)
  • Carson Wentz (WAS) Over 219.5 Passing Yards (-130)
  • Justin Fields (CHI) Over 174.5 Passing Yards (-110)

Payout: +475

Washington’s offense posted a surprisingly encouraging start to the season, as the Commanders opened with a 1-1 split against Detroit and Jacksonville, while racking up 27.5 PPG on 393 YPG across their first two contests with Carson Wentz under center. However, Wentz and co. haven’t been able gain much traction since then, as the Commanders followed up their 1-1 start with consecutive losses to the Eagles, Cowboys, and Titans, while scoring 17 PTS or less in all three of those affairs (11.7 PPG, 307 YPG).

I’ll back Washington to score 20+ PTS here, as the Commanders averaged 24 PPG on 390 YPG across their trio of matchups against the Lions, Jaguars, and Titans; and while they also struggled miserably against tough Eagles and Cowboys’ defensive units, I expect them to find a decent amount of success against a Chicago defense that’s surrendered 20+ PTS in four-of-five contests this season (21.2 PPG).

The Colts’ offense averaged 26.5 PPG and turned the ball over just 19 times with Wentz under center last season, which ranked Top 10 in the league in both departments, as he completed 62% of his passes for 3,563 YDS and a 27-7 INT ratio in his first campaign with Indy. However, the Colts still didn’t make the playoffs, so Indy decided to move in a different direction at QB, which in turn, resulted in Wentz getting shipped to Washington, who’s now starting for his third different squad since 2020.

However, Wentz still looked pretty decent in his first handful of contests in a Commanders’ uniform, or at least at times when his O-line protects him, as Wentz completed 66% of his passes for 336 YPG and a 9-4 TD-INT ratio in matchups against Jacksonville, Detroit, and Tennessee (6 SK), and then completed just 59% of his passes for 191 YPG and a 1-2 TD-INT ratio against tough Philly and Dallas defensive units (14 SK). So, I’ll back Wentz to have a solid night in the passing department against a Bears squad that’s sacked the opposing QB just eight times this season.

Justin Fields and the Bears’ offense completely abandoned the passing game in first three weeks of the season, and who could blame them, as Fields completed just 51% of his passes for 99 PYPG across a 2-1 split against the Niners, Packers, and Texans, while attempting 17 passes or less in all three of those affairs. (15 attempts per game)

However, Chicago turned to its passing attack a bit more in Weeks 3 and 4, as Fields completed 60% of his passes for 191 YPG in the Bears’ latest two affairs, while attempting 20+ passes in both of those contests. (21.5 attempts per game)

I’ll back the Bears to lean on their passing game again here, as Fields threw for 175+ yards in seven of his ten starts last season (180 YPG), and while the new regime in Chicago clearly doesn’t like to sling the ball around the yard quite as much as its predecessor, I still expect them to find success through the air against a Washington secondary that’s surrendered 215+ passing yards in four-of-five matchups this season (235 PYPG).

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