Last Updated Oct 18, 2022, 10:32 AM

Denver Broncos vs. Los Angeles Chargers Picks, Predictions, Odds

Week 6 of the NFL season will conclude on Monday night with a compelling AFC West showdown between the Denver Broncos and Los Angeles Chargers. Coverage begins from SoFi Stadium in Inglewood at 8:15 p.m. ET on ESPN.

DENVER BRONCOS vs. LOS ANGELES CHARGERS BETTING PREDICTION

Denver had sky high expectations after acquiring Russell Wilson from Seattle this past offseason, however, things haven’t exactly gone as planned, as the Broncos opened the season with a frustrating 2-3 skid consisting of losses to the Seahawks, Raiders, and Colts. There’s nothing overly worrisome about posting a 2-3 record out of the gate, especially with a new QB under center. However, the nature of their opening skid certainly raises some red flags, as the Broncos’ offense scored just 13.5 PPG in their two wins and 16 PPG in their three losses.

The Chargers, on the other hand, have been on quite the rollercoaster to start the season, as the Bolts racked up 29.3 PPG on 413 YPG and turned the ball over just once in their trio of victories over the Raiders, Texans, and Browns. However, they also scored just 17 PPG on 366 YPG and turned the ball over three times across consecutive losses to the Chiefs and Jaguars in Weeks 2 and 3.

Part of me still believes Denver’s offense will turn things around at some point, however, I certainly won’t be betting on it. I’ll back the Bolts to cover here, as despite their inconsistencies, the Chargers’ offense still scored 24+ PTS in four-of-five contests to open the season (24.4 PPG), likely presenting an uphill battle for a Broncos squad that’s scored 16 PTS or less in four of their first five matchups (15 PPG).

Score Prediction: Chargers 24, Broncos 16
Best Bet: Chargers -4.5 (-110)

DENVER BRONCOS vs. LOS ANGELES CHARGERS BETTING ODDS

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DENVER BRONCOS vs. LOS ANGELES CHARGERS BETTING RESOURCES

Date: Monday, Oct. 17, 2022
Matchup: AFC West
Venue: SoFi Stadium
Location: Inglewood, California
Time-TV: ESPN, 8:15 p.m. ET

DENVER BRONCOS BETTING ANALYSIS

The Broncos saddled up for the homestretch last year sitting well within striking distance of a playoff spot at 7-6. However, Teddy Bridgewater suffered a season-ending injury in Week 14 and Denver limped to the finish line with an 0-4 skid, resulting in a relatively lackluster 7-10 mark for the season.

Denver’s defense is rarely the issue, as the Broncos ranked second in scoring and ninth in total yardage last season (18.9 PPG, 326 YPG), and so far this season, they rank fourth in scoring and third in yardage (16 PPG, 289 YPG). So, the addition of a high-profile QB seemed like an easy fix, but that certainly hasn’t been the case for Wilson and co. to start the year, as the Broncos’ offense averaged just 15 PPG through the first five weeks of the season, which is even worse than the 19.7 PPG they averaged last season.

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The Chargers are 5-12 SU in their last 17 matchups against Denver. (Getty Images)

LOS ANGELES CHARGERS BETTING ANALYSIS

The Chargers are off to a relatively pedestrian 3-2 start to the season, however, their schedule hasn’t exactly been a walk in the park, as Justin Herbert and co. drew a tough string of matchups against the Chiefs, Raiders, Jaguars, Texans, and Browns to open the season. And they’ve performed for the most part, highlighted by L. A.’s offense scoring 24+ PTS on 355+ YDS in four of those affairs.

The concerning element for L. A. is on the defensive side of the ball, as the Chargers’ defense surrendered 24+ PTS in four-of-five contests to open the season. So, something has to give in Monday night’s matchup between Denver’s 31st ranked scoring offense (15 PPG) and the Chargers 30th ranked scoring defense (27.2 PPG).

DENVER BRONCOS vs. LOS ANGELES CHARGERS BETTING TRENDS

  • The Chargers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games.
  • The Broncos are 1-4 ATS in their last five games.
  • The total has gone OVER in nine of the Chargers' last 11 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in four of Denver's last five games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in six of the Chargers' last nine games against Denver.
  • The total has gone OVER in five of the Chargers' last six home games.
  • The Broncos are 2-7 SU in their last nine games.
  • The Broncos are 4-2 ATS in their last six games against the Chargers.
  • The Broncos are 12-5 SU in their last 17 games against the Chargers.
  • The Broncos are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in eight of the Chargers' last nine home games against Denver.
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