Last Updated Oct 18, 2022, 11:03 AM

Denver Broncos vs. Los Angeles Chargers Same Game Parlay Picks and Predictions

NFL betting expert Michael Crosson gives his same game parlay selection for Monday night's primetime matchup between the Denver Broncos and Los Angeles Chargers. Odds provided by DraftKings.

Broncos vs. Chargers SGP Picks

  • Los Angeles Chargers -6.5 (+120)
  • Russell Wilson (DEN) Over 219.5 Passing Yards (-135)
  • Courtland Sutton (DEN) Over 64.5 Receiving Yards (-135)

Payout: +370

The Broncos had sky high expectations after acquiring Russell Wilson from Seattle this past offseason, however, things haven’t exactly gone as planned, as Denver opened the season with a frustrating 2-3 skid consisting of losses to the Seahawks, Raiders, and Colts. There’s nothing overly worrisome about posting a 2-3 record at face value, especially with a new QB under center. However, the nature of their opening skid certainly raises some red flags, as the Broncos’ offense scored just 13.5 PPG in their two wins and 16 PPG in their three losses.

The Chargers, on the other hand, have been on quite the rollercoaster to start the season, as the Bolts racked up 29.3 PPG on 413 YPG and turned the ball over just once in their trio of victories over the Raiders, Texans, and Browns. However, they also scored just 17 PPG on 366 YPG and turned the ball over three times across consecutive losses to the Chiefs and Jaguars in Weeks 2 and 3.

Part of me still believes Denver’s offense will turn things around at some point, however, I certainly won’t be betting on it. I’ll back the Bolts to win by a touchdown here, as despite their struggled on the defensive side, the Chargers’ offense still scored 24+ PTS in four-of-five contests to open the season (24.4 PPG), likely presenting a steep uphill battle for a Broncos squad that’s scored 16 PTS or less in four of their first five matchups (15 PPG).

Denver’s offense is off to a surprisingly slow start following the blockbuster acquisition of Russell Wilson, as the Broncos averaged just 15 PPG on 344 YPG and turned the ball over six times across a 2-3 skid to open the season, while scoring 16 PTS or less in four of those affairs.

However, that hasn’t stopped Denver from slinging the ball around the yard, as Wilson completed a career-low 59% of his passes for 250 YPG through the first five weeks of the season, which includes a dreadful performance in which he completed just 45% of his passes for 219 yards against Houston.

I’ll back Wilson to post similar numbers here, as Denver will probably be forced to lean on its passing attack against a Chargers’ squad that’s scored 24+ PTS in four-of-five games this season, and even if they pass the ball at the same rate as previous weeks, Wilson’s still thrown for 219+ YDS in four-of-five contests this season, and I’d like to believe the worst of his struggles are behind him.

Courtland Sutton has been Wilson’s go-to guy in the early stages of his Broncos’ tenure, as Sutton reeled in 29-of-46 targets for 417 yards and a touchdown across the first five weeks of the season (86 YPG), which led Denver’s pass catchers by a distant margin, with Jerry Jeudy serving as the next man up hauling in 14-of-29 targets for 236 yards and two scores.

Sutton has now caught 4+ passes for 72+ receiving yards in four-of-five contests to open the season, while averaging 83 YPG on 5.8 REC across those affairs. And I expect that trend to continue against a Chargers’ secondary that surrendered 238 YPG through the air in their first five matchups of the year.

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