Last Updated Nov 02, 2022, 6:03 PM

NFL Week 8 Parlay Picks and Predictions

Betting expert Michael Crosson provides his top parlay selections for Week 8 of the NFL season. Odds provided by DraftKings.

ATS Parlay Best Bet

  • Miami Dolphins -3.5 (-110) @ DET
  • Tennessee Titans -3.5 (-110) @ HOU

Payout: +264

The Dolphins stormed out to a red hot start to the season, as Miami entered Week 4 as the last undefeated team in the AFC after posting three straight wins over the Patriots, Ravens, and Bills to open, while racking up 27.7 PPG on 355 YPG across those victories. However, Tua Tagovailoa’s health issues quickly derailed the operation, as the Dolphins averaged just 16 PPG and turned the ball over seven times across an 0-3 skid in his absence, before finally getting back over the hump with a 16-10 win over Pittsburgh in his return to action this past Sunday.

I’ll back the Dolphins to cover here, as the Lions’ offense racked up 35 PPG on 437 YPG across a very loud 1-3 start to the season, however, Jared Goff and co. came crashing back to reality in their ensuing two affairs, as Detroit scored six points or less on sub-315 yards in back-to-back losses to the Patriots and Cowboys (3 PPG, 312 YPG). And while they’ll probably score more than six points this Sunday, I still expect them to struggle against a Dolphins’ defense that’s surrendered 19 PTS or less in three of their four victories (18.5 PPG).

The Titans have been on quite the rollercoaster to start the season, as the Titans opened with consecutive losses to the Giants and Bills, while scoring just 13.5 PPG and allowing 31 PPG in those two contests. However, Tennessee has pulled its weight on both sides of the ball since Week 2, as the Titans scored 22 PPG and allowed just 16.5 DPPG across four straight victories over the Raiders, Commanders, and Colts (2), bringing them to a modest record of 4-2 ahead of Week 8.

I’ll back Tennessee to cover here, as the Titans’ offense has experienced their fair share of struggles to open the year, however, I think they’ll find a decent amount of success against a Texans defense that’s surrendered 34+ PTS in two of their last three games (26 PPG), and even if Tennessee struggles, I still like my chances laying a short number against a Houston squad that’s scored 20 PTS or less in five-of-six matchups this season (17.7 PPG).

ML Parlay Best Bet

  • Las Vegas Raiders ML (-115) @ NO
  • San Francisco 49ers ML (-125) @ LAR

Payout: +237

The Raiders entered Week 1 sky high expectations, as Derek Carr and co. earned the top Wild Card spot in the AFC with a record of 10-7 last year, and this past offseason, they brought in All-Pro WR Davante Adams to add some flare to the offense. Things didn’t exactly go as planned to start, as the Raiders opened the season with a frustrating 0-3 skid consisting of losses to the Chargers, Cardinals, and Titans, with all three of those defeats coming by less than a touchdown. However, they’ve played solid football since that point, as the Raiders racked up 33 PPG on 388 YPG across a 2-1 run in Weeks 4 through 7, with their only loss coming on the road against the Chiefs (L, 30-29).

I’ll back Las Vegas here, as the Saints averaged an impressive 31 PPG across their last four games, however, they went just 1-3 across that stretch due to their defense also surrendering 28+ PTS in all four of those affairs (33 PPG), which doesn’t bode well heading into a matchup against a Raiders squad that’s scored 29+ PTS in three straight contests (33 PPG).

San Francisco’s offense has certainly experienced its fair share of ups and downs to start the season, as the Niners racked up 29.3 PPG on 366 YPG in their trio of victories over the Seahawks, Rams, and Panthers, however, they also scored just 14.2 PPG on 347 YPG across a handful of ugly losses to the Bears, Broncos, and Falcons, and Chiefs.

I’ll back San Francisco here, as it’s tough to predict which version of this squad is going to show up on any given Sunday, however, if there’s one constant, they typically own L. A., as the Niners boast a 7-1 record in their last eight matchups against the Rams, which already includes a commanding 24-9 road win back in Week 8 of this season. And while part of me still believes the Rams might turn things around, I doubt it’ll start this week after posting their worst performance of the year in their first meeting against Kyle Shanahan’s squad (9 PTS, 257 YDS).

Six-Point Teaser

  • Broncos-Jaguars Under 45.5 (OU 39.5)
  • Giants-Seahawks Under 50.5 (OU 44.5)

Payout: -120

Many people thought Denver would immediately jump to AFC contender status after acquiring Russell Wilson from Seattle this past offseason, however, that’s been far from the case, as the Broncos opened with a frustrating 2-5 skid consisting of losses to the Seahawks, Raiders, Colts, Chargers, and Jets. And while there’s nothing overly worrisome about losing a handful of games out of the gate, especially with a brand new head coach-quarterback combo, the nature of their losses makes things look very bleak moving forward, as the Broncos’ offense generated 16 PTS or less in six-of-seven matchups to open (14.3 PPG), and after missing last week’s contest, it appears Wilson is going to try to play through his hamstring injury in London this Sunday.

I’ll take an adjusted under here, as the Broncos’ offense averaged a league-worst 14.3 PPG across the first seven weeks of the season, with their largest scoring output coming in a nine-point loss to the Raiders, however, their defense typically keeps things competitive, highlighted by Denver also surrendering 19 PTS in six-of-seven matchups this season. And I think we’ll see that trend continue against a Jaguars offense that’s scored 21 PTS or less in three of their last four games (17.8 PPG).

We’re just seven weeks into the 2022 season, and the Giants have already far surpassed the heights of their previous campaign, as the G-Men finished dead-last in the NFC East with a record of 4-13 last year, and now this season, New York enters Week 8 sitting 6-1. However, it hasn’t been pretty, as Daniel Jones and co. averaged just 21.4 PPG on 334 YPG across their first seven contests, which ranks 18th and 19th in the league respectively. But lackluster offensive play can be easily overshadowed when your defense also surrenders 20 PTS or less in five of those seven contests (18.6 PPG).

I’ll take another adjusted under here, as the Seahawks have scored 32+ PTS on 395+ YDS in three of their last four games, however, in the first three weeks of the season, they averaged just 15.7 PPG on 296 YPG against a much tougher group of defenses. So, I think we’ll see them come back down to earth against a Giants’ squad that’s surrendered no more than 23 PTS in a single contest this season.

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