Last Updated Nov 10, 2022, 11:53 AM

NFL Week 9 Parlay Picks and Predictions

Betting expert Michael Crosson provides his top parlay selections for Week 9 of the NFL season. Odds provided by DraftKings.

ATS Parlay Best Bet

  • Green Bay Packers -3.5 @ DET (-110)
  • Minnesota Vikings -3.5 @ WAS (-110)

Payout: +264

The Packers have arguably been the biggest disappointment in the league so far this season, as Green Bay scored just 18.1 PPG and allowed 21.6 DPPG across a frustrating 3-5 skid to kick off the year, which includes head-scratching losses to the Giants, Jets, and Commanders.

Surely, the departure of Davante Adams was expected to cause some slight regression for the Packers’ offense, however, a drop-off of this magnitude is completely unprecedented, as Aaron Rodgers and co. went from ranking Top 10 in scoring last year (26.5 PPG), to ranking 26th in scoring this year.

I’ll back the Packers to cover here, as despite their shortcomings on the offensive side, I think we’ll see them find a decent amount of success against a Lions squad that currently ranks dead-last in points allowed and defensive yardage (32.1 PPG 421 YPG), and after a red-hot start offensively, they’ve averaged just 19.5 PPG across their last four games.

The Vikings are off to a surprisingly dominant start to the season, as Minnesota racked up 24.7 PPG and allowed just 20.6 PPG across a triumphant 6-1 run to open, with their only loss during that span coming on the road against the undefeated Eagles.

Washington, on the other hand, has been on quite the rollercoaster in the early stages of the season, as the Commanders averaged just 17 PPG across a bumpy 2-4 skid with Carson Wentz under center to open. However, Taylor Heinicke has seemingly provided a spark in his absence, as the Commanders posted back-to-back victories over the Packers and Colts in their latest two affairs.

I’ll back Minnesota to cover here, as Washington is a bit of a wildcard with Heinicke at the helm, however, I still like my chances taking a Vikings squad that scored 23+ PTS in six-of-seven contests to open the season, going up against a Commanders squad that’s tallied 17 PTS or less in five of their last six matchups (14.5 PPG).

ML Parlay Best Bet

  • Las Vegas Raiders ML (-125) @ JAX
  • Arizona Cardinals ML (-130) vs. SEA

Payout: +218

The Raiders entered the season with sky high expectations after adding All-Pro wideout Davante Adams to a squad that made the playoffs with a record of 10-7 the year prior. But at a point and time when the masses tend to claim that “sometimes the best defense is just good offense,” Las Vegas is a glaring example of why it’s so difficult to survive that way, as the Raiders currently rank 12th in points scored at 23.3 PPG and 25th in points allowed at 24.9 PPG, resulting in a lackluster record of 2-5 thus far.

I’ll back Vegas here, as Derek Carr and the Raiders’ offense actually played pretty well across their 2-5 start to the season, and while their defense hasn’t been able to stop a nosebleed thus far, I think we’ll see them outlast a Jaguars offense that’s now scored 21 PTS or less in four of their last five contests (17.6 PPG).

The Seahawks posted a relatively pedestrian start to the season, as Seattle scored just 15.7 PPG and allowed 23.3 PPG across a lackluster 1-2 skid to open, with their only victory during that span coming in an ugly Week 1 battle against Denver (W, 17-16).

However, Geno Smith and co. have flipped the script since that point, as the Seahawks followed up their opening skid with a thrilling 4-1 run in Weeks 4 through 8, while racking up 27+ PTS in four of those contests (32.6 PPG), and defensively, surrendering 23+ PTS in three of them (25.8 PPG).

I’ll back Arizona here, as Seattle’s offensive numbers are inflated by a trio of eruptions against the Lions, Chargers, and Saints (39 PPG), however, outside of those three contests, the Seahawks averaged just 18.6 PPG across their other five affairs, and I don’t expect their 25th ranked scoring defense to hold against a Cardinals squad that’s generated 34 PPG since the return of DeAndre Hopkins.

Six-Point Teaser

  • Rams-Buccaneers Under 48.5 (OU 42.5)
  • Miami Dolphins +1 (-5) @ CHI

Payout: -120

These two offenses have been total disasters early this season, as the Rams scored just 16.9 PPG across a 3-4 skid to follow up last year’s impressive Super Bowl run, while the Bucs averaged a slightly better 18.3 PPG across a 3-5 skid to open.

I’ll take an adjusted under here, as I really want to believe Tom Brady and Matt Stafford are going to turn things around at some point, however, I still feel comfortable backing these squads to stay under 48.5 PTS after seeing the Bucs score 22 PTS or less in seven-of-eight contests to open the year, while the Rams also scored 20 PTS or less in five of their first seven matchups.

After averaging 15.5 PPG on 294 YPG across a miserable 2-4 skid to open the season, Chicago finally appears to be showing signs of life heading into Week 9, as Justin Fields and the Bears’ offense racked up 31 PPG on 381 YPG across their latest two affairs against New England and Dallas, bringing them to a relatively modest record of 3-5 despite their lackluster offensive production through Week 6.

I’ll back Miami here, as the Dolphins are 5-1 in contests that Tua Tagovailoa has participated in, while averaging 24.2 PPG on 38 YPG across those six matchups. And while the Bears may seem up to the task after posting a pair of solid offensive performances in Weeks 7 and 8, I think we’re due for a reminder of how bad Chicago’s offense looked in the first six weeks of the season.

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