New York Jets vs. New England Patriots Picks, Predictions, Odds

Michael Crosson Sports Betting Expert

4 minute read

Week 11 of the NFL season will resume Sunday afternoon with a heavyweight AFC East clash between the New York Jets and New England Patriots. Coverage begins from Gillette Stadium in Foxborough at 1:00 p.m. ET on CBS.

Updated on 04/23/2024

BetMGM Exclusive Offer: Get a 20% Deposit Match up to $1,600 in Sports Bonus!

Bonus Code VIBONUS1600 Claim Now

Must be 21+. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER

NEW YORK JETS vs. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS BETTING PREDICTION

The Patriots stumbled out to a surprisingly slow start after posting a solid 10-7 campaign last season, as New England scored just 18.5 PPG and allowed 24.5 PPG across a frustrating 1-3 skid to open, which included a pair of losses by 9+ PTS to the Dolphins and Ravens.

However, the Patriots have completely flipped the script since their opening stretch, as Bill Belichick’s squad now enters Week 11 following wins in four of their last five games, while racking up 25.8 PPG allowing just 13.6 PPG across that window, which appears to be trending towards the 27.2 OPPG and 17.8 DPPG they averaged last season.

The Jets, on the other hand, have been a pleasant surprise through the first 10 weeks of the season, as New York barreled out to an impressive 6-3 start to the year, despite Zach Wilson and co. generating 20 PTS or less in over half of their matchups thus far.

The Patriots escaped with a 22-17 road victory in their first meeting with New York back in Week 8, which still would’ve cleared the number for this Sunday’s affair. So, I’ll ride with the over again here, as I think we’ll actually see a stronger offensive output in Round 2 between these teams, as the Pats have now scored 24+ PTS in five of their last seven games (25.7 PPG), and the Jets have averaged 24 PPG in their six contests started by QB Zach Wilson.

Score Prediction: Patriots 23, Jets 20
Best Bet: Over 38 (-110)

NEW YORK JETS vs. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS BETTING ODDS

More Odds | Super Bowl Odds | Expert Picks

NEW YORK JETS vs. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS BETTING RESOURCES

Date: Sunday, November 20, 2022
Matchup: AFC East
Venue: Gillette Stadium
Location: Foxborough, Massachusetts
Time-TV: CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET

NEW YORK JETS BETTING ANALYSIS

The Jets finished dead last in the AFC East with a record of 4-13 last year, which tied the Giants for the third-worst mark in the league, with the only squads falling behind them in the regular season standings being the Lions and Jaguars.

The Jets showed flashes of brilliance during Wilson’s rookie campaign, as Robert Saleh’s squad pulled off tough upset victories over the Titans and Bengals early in the season. But they desperately lacked consistency on the offensive side of the ball, highlighted by their offense falling short of 20 PTS in nine games last year (18.2 PPG), which is a recipe for disaster when combined with a defense ranked dead last in both scoring and total yardage (29.6 PPG, 398 YPG).

However, they’ve completely flipped the script this season, as the Jets averaged 24 PPG across their six contests with Wilson under center (23.8 PPG), while defensively, ranking Top 10 in the league in both points allowed and yardage allowed per play (19.6 PPG, 4.8 YPP).

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS BETTING ANALYSIS

The Patriots’ offense played pretty well in Mac Jones’ rookie campaign under-center last year, as New England finished the year ranked seventh in points scored and tenth in yardage per play, which was impressive considering it was just their second season since the departure of longtime QB Tom Brady (26.6 PPG, 5.7 YPP).

However, New England’s identity has always resided with its defense under Belichick, and nothing has changed through the first half of this season, highlighted by the Patriots holding their opponent to 17 PTS or less in four of their last five games, which is typically more than enough weight to anchor their 14^th ranked scoring offense (22.6 PPG).

NEW YORK JETS vs. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS BETTING TRENDS

• The Jets are 5-1 ATS in their last six games.
• The total has gone UNDER in four of the Jets' last five games.
• The Jets are 5-1 SU in their last six games.
• The Patriots are 5-1 ATS in their last six games.
• The Patriots are 4-1 SU in their last five games.
• The total has gone UNDER in nine of New England's last 13 games against the Jets.
• The total has gone OVER in eight of New England's last ten home games.
• The Jets are 1-5 ATS in their last six games against New England.
• The Jets are 0-10 SU in their last 10 games against New England.
• The Jets are 6-1 ATS in their last seven road games.
• The Jets are 0-11 SU in their last 11 road games against New England.

Where to place a bet this NFL Season?

• Use our exclusive BetMGM Bonus Code VIBONUS1500 to unlock BetMGM’s welcome offer for new sportsbook users!
• Compare the latest NFL Odds from the best sportsbooks before placing a bet on this week's games.
• Check out the North Carolina Sportsbooks just before they launch legal online sports betting.

Michael Crosson

Michael Crosson began his time at VegasInsider as a freelance NBA writer back in 2019 while he continued to study Psychology and Biology at James Madison University. Following his graduation in 2021, Michael joined the team full-time, and he's been with VI ever since. Michael still writes NBA, NFL, and MLB for VI, as well as gambling industry news. He's also become a crucial part of our editorial production team. More from Michael Crosson