NFL Week 14 Parlay Picks and Predictions

Michael Crosson Sports Betting Expert

8 minute read

Betting expert Michael Crosson provides his top parlay selections for Week 14 of the NFL season. Odds provided by DraftKings.

ATS Parlay Best Bet

• Philadelphia Eagles -6.5 (-110) @ NYG
• Tennessee Titans -4.5 (-110) vs. JAX

Payout: +264

Eagles -6.5 vs. NYG

The Eagles have arguably been the best team in football through 13 weeks of the season, highlighted by Jalen Hurts and co. averaging a lofty average of 28.2 PPG across an impressive 11-1 start, while defensively, surrendering just 18.8 PPG in their first 12 contests. And in their latest affair, the Birds added an exclamation point to their red-hot start with a triumphant victory over the Titans this past Sunday (W, 35-10).

While on the other hand, the Giants’ overwhelming success was one of the biggest surprises in the league to kick off the season, as New York barreled out to an stunning 7-2 start in Brian Daboll’s opening stretch with the team, which included tough wins over the Titans, Ravens, and Packers during that span.

However, New York’s true colors are finally beginning to show through, especially on the defensive side of the script, as the Giants now sit 1-3-1 in their last five games, while surrendering an average of 24.4 PPG across their latest stretch. Which certainly isn’t enough to prop up a stagnant offense that’s scored 21 PTS or less in 8-of-12 matchups so far this season.

The tale of the tape between these teams includes a pair of offenses trending in completely opposite directions, with the Eagles averaging 27.9 PPG across their latest 7-1 stretch, and the Giants scoring 20 PTS or less in four of their last five games (19 PPG).

The Eagles are an incredibly dangerous group playing with alot of confidence right now. So, I’ll back Philly to cover in Sunday afternoon’s matchup against a Giants squad that’s won just one game since Week 8, with their lone victory during that span coming at home against the ailing Texans.

Titans -4.5 vs. JAX

Jacksonville stormed out to a surprisingly strong start in Doug Pederson’s first campaign at the helm, as  theJaguars opened the season with wins in two of their first three games, highlighted by Trevor Lawrence and co. racking up a lofty average of 28 PPG on the offensive side of the ball in those contests.

However, Jacksonville’s early season magic quickly vanished, as the Jaguars immediately followed up their 2-1 start with a miserable 2-7 skid, with five of those losses coming by distant margins of 6+ PTS.

While on the other hand, the Titans aren’t exactly the cream of the crop in the AFC anymore, which was on full display in ugly losses to Philly and Cincy the last few weeks, highlighted by Ryan Tannehill and co. generating just 13 PPG on 277 YPG across their latest two-game skid.

However, I’ll back Tennessee to cover here, as the Titans coasted along an impressive 7-2 run prior to their latest struggles. And I think we’ll see them get back on track against a Jaguars squad that’s surrendered 27+ PTS in three straight contests (31.3 PPG).

ML Parlay Best Bet

• Minnesota Vikings ML (+115) @ DET
• San Francisco 49ers ML (-180) @ TB

Payout: +234

Vikings ML vs. DET

The Vikings are having a very impressive campaign, as Minnesota currently boasts a five-game lead in the NFC North standings with a record of 10-2 on the year, with their only losses thus far coming against top shelf squads in the Cowboys and Eagles.

Personally, I still think this Minnesota squad is a bit fraudulent, and clearly, I’m not alone in that assessment, as the Vikings set sail for Detroit as short road underdogs against the 5-7 Lions this Sunday, which even strikes me as downright disrespectful.

Detroit is an absolute treat to watch, as the Lions currently rank 6th in the league in points scored and dead-last in points allowed on the season (26 OPPG, 27 DPPG), which in turn, has led to seven matchups in which the Lions and their opponent both scored 25+ PTS in a given contest.

As fun as shootouts can be, though, it’s certainly not the easiest way to win games, especially for teams without an elite quarterback in the race, which Detroit is learning the hard way, highlighted by Jared Goff and co. scoring 27+ PTS in four of their losses this season, a hypothetical 3-4 game swing that would’ve drastically changed the overall outlook of their campaign.

I’ll back Minnesota, as I might be walking directly into a trap here. But if that’s the case, this is one I’m willing to bite the bullet on, as the Vikings are simply the much better team in this matchup, and if the oddsmakers are offering a 10-2 squad as moneyline underdogs against the worst defense in the league, I wouldn’t overthink it.

49ers ML vs. TB

The Niners stumbled out to a frustrating 3-4 start to the season, however, the Kyle Shanahan train appears to be full steam ahead heading into Week 14, as San Francisco enters Sunday following wins in five straight games, primarily propelled by a defense that leads the league in both scoring and total yardage on the year (15.8 PPG, 284 YPG).

For a while, I’ve joked that pretty much anybody could play QB for this Niners squad and experience some level of success with their plethora of offensive weaponry and such a great defense. But now, they’re actually pushing the envelope on that notion, as Brock Purdy came in to relieve Jimmy Garoppolo in last week’s contest, and the 262nd pick in the draft went onto complete 25-of-37 pass attempts for 210 yards and 2 TD’s in a 16-point victory over Miami.

I’ll put that theory to the test here, as Purdy and co. probably won’t have to light up the scoreboard in order to outlast a Bucs squad that’s scored 21 PTS or less in 10-of-12 contests so far this season (18.1 PPG).

Six-Point Teaser

• Kansas City Chiefs -2.5 (-9.5) @ DEN
• Cincinnati Bengals -0.5 (-6.5) vs. CLE

Payout: -120

Chiefs -2.5 vs. DEN

The Broncos’ offense has been an absolute disaster this season, as Russell Wilson and co. currently rank dead-last in the league in scoring at 13.8 PPG and 26th in yards per play at 5 YPP, resulting in a disappointing record of 3-9 thus far. 

However, the Broncos’ defense certainly can’t be blamed for their struggles, as Denver currently ranks second in the league in both points allowed yards allowed per play on the other side of the ball (17 PPG, 4.8 YPP), which is quite the feat considering their horrendous offensive numbers.

Unfortunately, though, you need to score points in order to beat Kansas City, and typically, you need to score a bunch of them, as the Chiefs’ offense currently paces the league in scoring at 29.2 PPG, with their lowest scoring output on the year ringing in at 17 PTS against Indy. Which, fun side note, is a number that Russell Wilson and co. have eclipsed just twice this season.

The Broncos are bringing a knife to a gunfight in this one. I’ll back Kansas City at an adjusted price here.

Bengals -0.5 vs. CLE

The Bengals posted a head-scratching 2-3 skid to open the season, which was an incredibly out of character stretch for this squad, as Cincy’s defense surrendered just 17.8 PPG and forced eight turnovers in their first five games of the year, but it never bred much success due to their offense averaging just 21.6 PPG across those contests.

However, the Bengals have completely turned things around since their 2-3 start, as Joe Burrow and co. have now scored 27+ PTS in five of their last seven games, resulting in a sturdy record of 6-1 across their latest stretch. And it’s not like they’ve totally avoided the injury bug either, highlighted by Ja’Marr Chase missing four of those affairs with a hip injury. 

While on the other side, we’ve got Deshaun Watson and the Browns, who beat Houston by a score of 27-14 in Watson’s debut. However, the final outcome certainly doesn’t tell the full story, as Watson completed just 12-of-22 pass attempts for 131 yards along with one interception in last week’s victory. But fortunately, the Browns got bailed out by their defense and special teams scoring three touchdowns in last week’s contest, which was more than enough to outlast the Texans.

So, I’ll back Cincy here, as I won’t be totally shocked if Cleveland’s offense bounces back with a breakout performance in Watson’s second game under center. But I still feel relatively comfortable betting against it after getting away with robbery in last week’s miserable outing.

Where to place a bet this NFL Season?

• Use our exclusive BetMGM Bonus Code VIBONUS1500 to unlock BetMGM’s welcome offer for new sportsbook users!
• Compare the latest NFL Odds from the best sportsbooks before placing a bet on this week's games.
• Check out the North Carolina Sportsbooks just before they launch legal online sports betting.

Michael Crosson

Michael Crosson began his time at VegasInsider as a freelance NBA writer back in 2019 while he continued to study Psychology and Biology at James Madison University. Following his graduation in 2021, Michael joined the team full-time, and he's been with VI ever since. Michael still writes NBA, NFL, and MLB for VI, as well as gambling industry news. He's also become a crucial part of our editorial production team. More from Michael Crosson