NFC Playoffs Wild Card Betting Cheat Sheet

The road to the NFC Championship will begin next weekend in the Wild Card Round as six teams will look to advance to the NFL Divisional Playoff Round.

Seeds two through four are the division winners while five, six and seven are the Wild Card teams.

The Philadelphia Eagles are the top seed in the NFC after winning the NFC East with a 14-3 record, which means the road will go through the “City of Brotherly Love” as long as the team doesn’t lose its first playoff matchup in two weeks. 

NFC Playoff Bracket and Matchups

  • 1 Seed - Philadelphia (First Round Bye)
  • 2 San Francisco vs. 7 Seattle
  • 3 Minnesota vs. 6 N.Y. Giants
  • 4 Tampa Bay vs. 5 Dallas

Odds to win NFC Championship

NFC Championship Odds

  1. Philadelphia +160
  2. San Francisco +200
  3. Minnesota +1200
  4. Tampa Bay +1100
  5. Dallas +550
  6. N.Y. Giants +2400
  7. Seattle +2700

Listed in Seed Order - Odds per FanDuel - Subject to Change

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Updated on 04/23/2024
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3 Minnesota Vikings vs. 6 N.Y. Giants

The Minnesota Vikings defeated the N.Y. Giants 27-24 at home on Christmas Eve. (Getty)
  • Betting Matchup & Trends
  • Date: Sunday, Jan. 15, 2023
  • Venue: U.S. Bank Stadium
  • Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • TV-Time: FOX, 4:30 p.m. ET

Minnesota Vikings vs. N.Y. Giants Odds

Of the four teams listed as home favorites in the Wild Card round, Minnesota has installed as the shortest (-3) in its matchup versus the New York Giants. Also standing out is the total, which opened at 47 and it’s up to 47.5, which is the highest over-under of the six matchups currently.

Minnesota Vikings vs. N.Y. Giants Betting Stats

N.Y. Giants
Overall Record:  9-7-1 SU,  13-4 ATS,  7-10 O/U
Road Record:  4-4 SU,  7-1 ATS,  3-5 O/U

Minnesota Vikings
Overall Record:  13-4 SU,  7-9-1 ATS,  11-6 O/U
Home Record: 8-1 SU, 4-5 ATS,  7-2 O/U

The 7-1 ATS mark for the New York Giants is eye-opening and seven of the eight games played away from home were decided by double digits. Since beating Green Bay by double digits (23-7) in Week 1, the remaining seven home wins for the Vikings came by an average margin of 5.3 points per game and every opponent scored 22-plus points.

Minnesota Vikings vs. N.Y. Giants Head-to-Head

The Vikings outlasted the Giants, 27-24 on Christmas Eve thanks to a 61-yard game-winning field goal from Greg Joseph. Both quarterbacks performed well as New York’s Daniel Jones threw for 334 yards and a touchdown, while Minnesota’s Kirk Cousins tossed three touchdown passes. In spite of the loss, New York cashed as 4 ½-point underdogs and the game barely hit the Over of 48.

Minnesota Vikings vs. N.Y. Giants Playoff Notes

The Giants ended their five-year playoff drought as they are making their first postseason appearance since 2016, when they were routed by the Packers in the Wild Card round. The last time New York won a playoff game occurred in 2011, the year they captured the Super Bowl against the Patriots. Minnesota returned from a two-year playoff absence as the Vikings were knocked out in the 2019 divisional round at San Francisco.

New York QB Daniel Jones is another first-time starter in the playoffs and while the experience is lacking, his Minnesota counterpart in Kirk Cousins has only played in four games. It should be noted that the Vikings signal caller is 1-3 and that includes a 0-2 home record, both losses coming when he was with Washington. 

Last 5 Playoff Games
N.Y. Giants: 4-1 SU, 4-1 ATS
Minnesota: 2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS

4 Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. 5 Dallas Cowboys

  • Betting Matchup & Trends
  • Date: Monday, Jan. 16, 2023
  • Venue: Raymond James Stadium
  • Location: Tampa, Florida
  • TV-Time: ESPN-ABC, 8:15 p.m. ET

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Dallas Cowboys Odds

The Dallas Cowboys are one of two teams listed as road favorites in the Wild Card round, opening as a 3 ½-point choice and the early money has come in on the home underdog early. 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Dallas Cowboys Betting Stats

Dallas Cowboys
Overall Record:  12-5 SU,  10-7 ATS,  9-8 O/U
Road Record:  4-4 SU,  3-4-1 ATS,  3-4-1 O/U

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Overall Record:  8-9 SU,  4-12-1 ATS,  6-11 O/U
Home Record: 4-4 SU, 1-6-1 ATS,  4-4 O/U

The Buccaneers went 0-1 in their only game this season when listed as home underdogs, falling 34-23 to the Cincinnati Bengals on Dec. 18. Dallas was 2-3 both SU and ATS as a road favorite this season, with wins coming at Tennessee and Minnesota. If you toss out the meaningless Week 18 loss to Washington, the other two decisions could have gone Dallas' way but the club collapsed to both Green Bay (31-28) and Jacksonville (40-34). 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Dallas Cowboys Head-to-Head

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers knocked off the Cowboys in the season opener, 19-3 as 2 ½-point road favorites. It marked the second straight season that Tampa Bay beat Dallas (both in Week 1), as the Bucs relied on four Ryan Succop field goals, while Tom Brady hit Mike Evans in the third quarter for the game’s lone touchdown. The teams have met in the postseason since the strike-season of 1982 when the Cowboys crushed the Buccaneers at home, 30-17.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Dallas Cowboys Playoff Notes

If you’re using pedigree and playoff trends as your handicap for this matchup, then Tampa Bay gets the check over Dallas. The Cowboys are 3-9 in postseason games since 2000 and 1-4 in their last five. QB Dak Prescott has gone 1-3 in the playoffs for Dallas and he’s only been on the road once, losing a 30-22 decision to the L.A. Rams in the 2018-19 playoffs. 

Tom Brady owns a 35-12 career record in the NFL Playoffs and that includes a 5-1 mark since he joined Tampa Bay. The one loss came in last year’s Divisional Playoffs, a 30-27 setback at home to the L.A. Rams. Prior to Brady arriving, the Bucs went 0-2 both SU and ATS in their last two home playoff games which came in 2006 and 2008. 

Last 5 Playoff Games
Dallas: 1-4 SU, 1-4 ATS
Tampa Bay: 4-1 SU, 4-1 ATS

NFC Wild Card Notes & Trends 

-- Since the NFL expanded to a 14-team playoff field in the 2020-21 season, the NFC has seen a stalemate in the Wild Card round with home and away teams going 3-3 over the first two years.

-- Make a note that the No. 2 slot in the NFC, the highest seeded team in this round, has won and covered both of the last two years and both margins were decided by double digits. 

-- The only seed not to win so far is the No. 3 seed, which puts Minnesota on the radar as a team to snap this trend or it could keep it going with a loss to the N.Y. Giants. 

-- The ‘under’ has gone 4-2 in the NFC Wild Card over the past two seasons.

2 San Francisco 49ers vs. 7 Seattle Seahawks

  • Betting Matchup & Trends
  • Date: Saturday, Jan. 14, 2023
  • Venue: Levi’s Stadium
  • Location: Santa Clara, California
  • TV-Time: FOX, 4:30 p.m. ET

San Francisco 49ers vs. Seattle Seahawks Odds

San Francisco opened as a 10 ½-point home favorite for this contest, with the total sent out at 42 ½-points.

San Francisco 49ers vs. Seattle Seahawks Betting Stats

Seattle Seahawks
Overall Record:  9-8  SU,  7-10 ATS,  8-9 O/U
Road Record:  4-4 SU,  3-5 ATS,  5-3 O/U

San Francisco 49ers
Overall Record: 13-4 SU, 11-6 ATS,  9-8 O/U
Home Record: 8-1 SU, 7-2 ATS,  5-4 O/U

The Seattle Seahawks went 1-3 on the road this season versus playoff teams and the one time it was catching double digits (+10), they were humbled 24-10 at Kansas City. Since Kyle Shanahan took over SF in 2017, the team has gone 6-1 SU and 2-4-1 ATS as a double-digit favorite. 

San Francisco 49ers vs. Seattle Seahawks Head-to-Head

The 49ers swept the Seahawks this season with a pair of resounding victories against their NFC West rivals. In Week 2 at Levi’s Stadium, San Francisco crushed Seattle, 27-7 as 8 ½-point favorites, while the Niners held off the Seahawks, 21-13 in Week 15 at Lumen Field. In the second matchup, San Francisco jumped out to a 21-3 lead, while both games finished Under the total.

San Francisco 49ers vs. Seattle Seahawks Playoff Notes

This matchup will feature both quarterbacks making their first career NFL Playoffs start as Geno Smith and Brock Purdy respectively representing the Seahawks and 49ers. Even with Russell Wilson at QB, Seattle has gone 1-4 in its last five postseason games but the one win did come on the road. San Francisco went 2-1 in last year’s playoffs, coming up short in a 20-17 setback to the eventual Super Bowl champions Los Angeles Rams in the NFC Championship.  Total bettors should note that SF is on an 8-2 ‘under’ run in the playoffs and that includes a meeting between the pair in 2014 when Seattle defeated San Francisco 23-17 at home. 

Last 5 Playoff Games
Seattle: 1-4 SU, 2-3 ATS, 4-1 O/U
San Francisco: 3-2 SU, 4-1 ATS, 1-4 O/U

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