Last Updated Jan 20, 2023, 5:51 PM

NFL Super Wild Card Weekend Parlay Picks and Predictions

Betting expert Michael Crosson provides his top parlay selections for Wild Card Weekend of the NFL Playoffs. Odds may vary.

ATS Parlay Best Bet

  • Buffalo Bills -13.5 (-110) vs. MIA
  • Minnesota Vikings -3 (-110) vs. NYG

Payout: +264

Buffalo Bills -13.5 (-110) vs. MIA

Tua Tagovailoa and Teddy Bridgewater have both been ruled out for the Dolphins’ opening round matchup against Buffalo, which means third string QB Skylar Thompson is set to make his third start of the year for Miami.

In his previous two starts, the Dolphins posted a 1-1 split against Minnesota and New York. But don’t be fooled by Thompson’s win over the Jets in Week 18. Miami scored just 11 points on 302 total yards in that contest, and still managed to escape with a victory.

While on the other hand, the Buffalo ranks Top 5 in the league on both sides of the ball. The Bills have now scored 28+ points in six of their last eight games, and defensively, they surrendered just 21 PPG to their opponents in those contests.

So, I’ll back Buffalo to cover, as the Dolphins fell short of the 17-point mark in both of Thompson’s regular season starts, yielding an average of just 13.5 PPG in those two contests. Which certainly doesn’t bode well heading into a matchup against a red-hot Bills’ offense that’s now scored 32+ points in three straight games.

The Bills have scored an average of 34 PPG in their last three games. (Getty)
Take Buffalo!
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Minnesota Vikings -3 (-110) vs. NYG

The Giants jumped out to a surprisingly excellent start to the season. However, the overall merit of their opening stretch has quickly come into question, as New York averaged less than 21 points per game across an impressive 7-2 run out of the gate, and now, it appears their offensive woes have caught up with them, considering the G-Men are now just 2-5-1 since that point.

The overall weakness of the NFC East’s schedule has been well-documented in conversations surrounding Philly and Dallas, but it seems like the bottom-half of the division skated by for most of the year with their minor overachievements without much thought.

In the matchup between these teams a few weeks ago, the Vikings posted a narrow three-point victory, as the Giants punched in a touchdown at the 2-minute mark to tie the game. But ultimately, they left too much time on the clock for Minnesota’s offense, and the Vikings escaped with a win thanks to a 61-yard game-winning field goal by Greg Joseph. 

However, that three-point loss was arguably the Giants’ best performances of the second half, highlighted by New York closing the regular season with a miserable 2-5-1 skid, and their offense falling short of the 21-point scoring mark in five of those contests.

So, I’ll back Minnesota here, as the Vikings have racked up a lofty average of 28 PPG across their last seven games, and they surpassed the 27-point mark in five of those matchups. Which should be more than enough firepower to outlast a Giants’ offense that ranks 22nd in the league in yardage per play.

Take Minnesota!
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OU Parlay Best Bet

  • Ravens-Bengals Under 40.5 (-110)
  • Cowboys-Buccaneers Under 45.5 (-110)

Payout: +264

Ravens-Bengals Under 40.5 (-110)

Everybody knows what Baltimore’s offense is capable of with Lamar in the driver’s seat, but without him, it’s pure chaos. The Ravens have now scored 16 points or less in six straight games, yet somehow, they still managed to squeak out a record of 3-3 during that span.

In the waking days of the season, all the questions surrounding Baltimore resided on the defensive side of the ball. Unfortunately, though, the Ravens’ defense is finally back in the saddle, but now, their offense is stuck in quicksand.

While on the other hand, this Bengals’ team is much different than the group we’ve seen in recent seasons, highlighted by Cincy’s defense finishing sixth in the league in scoring this year, which ultimately, is the factor capable of setting this squad apart from the rest of the bunch, especially when combined with their high-powered offensive attack.

The Bengals managed to reach last year’s Super Bowl, despite ranking in the bottom half of the league on the defensive side of the ball. However, Cincy’s defense has improved by leaps and bounds this year, and now that the Bengals rank Top 10 in the league in both departments, this squad is feared for a plethora of reasons, and they’re no longer reliant on jackpot performances by Burrow in order to compete at the highest level. 

It’s always tough to beat a team by a double-digit margin, though, especially when the opposing defense ranks Top 5 in the league in scoring. So, the ‘under’ still strikes me as the best play in Sunday night’s matchup.

Take the Under!
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Cowboys-Buccaneers Under 45.5 (-110)

There’s lots of positive chatter surrounding Tampa Bay heading into this matchup, and rightfully so. The Cowboys just posted an ugly 26-6 loss to Washington last week, and Tom Brady has posted a perfect 7-0 record against Dallas throughout his career.

However, I don’t want to get caught being a prisoner of the moment here. The Buccaneers’ offense has been terrible all season. They rank 25th in the league in both scoring and yardage per play. And honestly, this team doesn’t even belong in the playoffs. 

Three other NFC teams finished with an equal or better record than the Bucs, and still missed the postseason. Those teams were the Commanders, Lions, and Packers, who all looked far more dangerous than Tampa throughout the year.

But fortunately, the Bucs play in the worst division in football, and their defense did most of the heavy lifting, highlighted by all four teams in the NFC South finishing below the .500 mark this season, and Tampa holding its opponent 21 points or less in 10-of-17 matchups.  

For a variety of reasons, though, Dallas is the squad still carrying the stigma that they can’t be trusted. So, I’ll take the ‘under’ in Monday night’s matchup between a pair of defensive units that both surrendered less than 21.5 PPG throughout the regular season.

Take the Under!
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