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Bengals vs Ravens Prediction, Picks, Odds | Thursday Night Football Week 11

Michael Crosson
Michael Crosson Sports Betting Expert
6 minute read

Week 11 of the NFL regular season kicks things off with a Thursday Night Football showdown in the AFC North between the Cincinnati Bengals and Baltimore Ravens. Coverage begins from M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore at 8:15 p.m. ET on Amazon Prime Video.

Here's everything you need to know about the Bengals vs. Ravens Prediction, Picks, and Odds for Thursday Night Football Week 11. ESPN BET Sportsbook is officially here - use our promo code to join and claim your bonus offer!

Bengals vs Ravens Prediction, Picks & Betting Odds for Thursday Night Football Week 11

Matchup Spread Total Moneyline

Prior to last week, the AFC North appeared to be slowly splitting into separate tiers of playoff contention, as the Ravens and Bengals seemed destined to jockey for the top spot in the division the rest of the way, while the Steelers and Browns target one (or both) of the final Wild Card spots. However, the landscape of the AFC North shifted dramatically last week, as Baltimore and Cincy both lost home matchups as favorites of 6+ points, setting stage for a four-horse race to the finish line with the entire division separated by less than 1.5 games entering this week.

Let’s rewind the clock though. The Ravens lost to Cleveland in dramatic fashion this past Sunday, as Baltimore led by a score of 31-17 with roughly nine minutes left in the game. But a pick-six and a late touchdown put the Browns in position to sneak away with a stunning comeback victory on the heels of a walk-off 40-yard field goal. However, the Ravens were widely considered one of the most dangerous teams in football prior to last week’s loss, and possibly even the best team in the AFC. So, in the aftermath of a “fluky loss” to a division rival, the oddsmakers still aren’t ready to sell any stock in this Baltimore team.

According to VegasInsider’s Patrick Everson, the SuperBook closed the lookahead line for this contest at Baltimore -3. But in the aftermath of both teams losing at home in Week 10, the spread reopened at Baltimore -4 on Sunday night, and hasn’t seen much movement as of Wednesday afternoon. SuperBook risk advisor Chase Michaelson said, “That felt like a very fluky loss for Baltimore, and the Ravens' power rating hasn't taken much of a hit.”

To a certain extent, I agree with Michaelson. My opinion of Baltimore hasn’t changed much either. The Ravens are a very good football team, and when healthy, I believe they wield all the necessary tools to make a deep playoff run. But let’s be real, Cincy deserves far more respect in this spot. We know for a fact that the Bengals are capable of trading punches with the best-of-the-best in a hostile environment; a team coming off back-to-back trips to the AFC Championship Game plus a Super Bowl appearance.

Joe Burrow was significantly hindered by a calf injury in the first few weeks of the season, and as a result, the Bengals stumbled out to a miserable 1-3 start, while scoring just 12.4 PPG in their first four matchups. However, rest assured, Cincy has fully returned to elite form since Week 5 despite dropping their latest affair. The Bengals have averaged 26.6 PPG across their last five games, resulting in wins at Arizona, vs. Seattle, at San Francisco, vs. Buffalo, and then a 30-27 loss to Houston. 

Cincy may currently reside at the bottom of the AFC North standings, but don’t be fooled by their lackluster record of 5-4. The Bengals are playing great football, and they desperately need to win this game in order to stay in the thick of the AFC playoff hunt. Whereas, the Ravens are still relatively comfortable in terms of playoff positioning despite their latest loss, as they remain the stand-alone leader of the division at 7-3 entering this week. This strikes me as a “Hungry Dog Runs Faster” situation. Give me the Bengals on Thursday night.

Score Prediction: Bengals 26, Ravens 24
Best Bet: Bengals +4 (-110)

CIN @ BAL Odds

  • Full Game
  • 1H
  • 1Q
  • 2Q
  • 3Q
  • 4Q
  • Spread
  • Total
  • Moneyline
Final
Cincinnati Bengals 311 Bengals
+3 -115 +2.5 even +3 -110 +2.5 +110 N/A +2.5 +110 +2.5 even +3.5 -105  
Baltimore Ravens 312 Ravens
-3 -105 -2.5 -120 -3 -110 -2.5 -130 N/A -2.5 -130 -2.5 -125 -3.5 -115  
Final
Cincinnati Bengals 311 Bengals
o44 -110 o23 -110 o23.5 even o23.5 +105 N/A o23.5 -100 o22.5 -125 o46.5 -106  
Baltimore Ravens 312 Ravens
u44 -110 u23 -110 u23.5 -120 u23.5 -125 N/A u23.5 -120 u22.5 even u46.5 -114  
Final
Cincinnati Bengals 311 Bengals
+130 +150 +145 +145 N/A +140 +140 +166  
Baltimore Ravens 312 Ravens
-154 -170 -175 -175 N/A -172 -180 -198  
Final
Cincinnati Bengals 311 Bengals
+3 -115 +1.5 -110 N/A N/A N/A +1.5 -110 +1.5 -108 +3.5 -105  
Baltimore Ravens 312 Ravens
-3 -105 -1.5 -110 N/A N/A N/A -1.5 -110 -1.5 -115 -3.5 -115  
Final
Cincinnati Bengals 311 Bengals
o44 -110 o22.5 -120 N/A N/A N/A o22.5 -120 o23.5 -108 o46.5 -106  
Baltimore Ravens 312 Ravens
u44 -110 u22.5 even N/A N/A N/A u22.5 -100 u23.5 -115 u46.5 -114  
Final
Cincinnati Bengals 311 Bengals
+130 +120 N/A N/A N/A +126 +123 +166  
Baltimore Ravens 312 Ravens
-154 -140 N/A N/A N/A -148 -150 -198  
Final
Cincinnati Bengals 311 Bengals
+3 -115 +0.5 -115 +0.5 -120 +0.5 -115 N/A +1.5 -138 +1.5 -136 +3.5 -105  
Baltimore Ravens 312 Ravens
-3 -105 -0.5 -105 -0.5 -110 -0.5 -105 N/A -1.5 +112 -1.5 +108 -3.5 -115  
Final
Cincinnati Bengals 311 Bengals
o44 -110 o7.5 -115 o7.5 -125 o8.5 -112 N/A o7.5 -106 o7.5 -113 o46.5 -106  
Baltimore Ravens 312 Ravens
u44 -110 u7.5 -105 u7.5 -105 u8.5 -108 N/A u7.5 -116 u7.5 -110 u46.5 -114  
Final
Cincinnati Bengals 311 Bengals
+130 +145 +125 +150 N/A +134 +130 +166  
Baltimore Ravens 312 Ravens
-154 -165 -160 -180 N/A -164 -165 -198  
Final
Cincinnati Bengals 311 Bengals
+3 -115 +0.5 -110 N/A -3.5 -160 N/A +1.5 -118 N/A +3.5 -105  
Baltimore Ravens 312 Ravens
-3 -105 -0.5 -110 N/A +3.5 +124 N/A -1.5 -104 N/A -3.5 -115  
Final
Cincinnati Bengals 311 Bengals
o44 -110 o13.5 even N/A o12.5 -130 N/A o9.5 -138 N/A o46.5 -106  
Baltimore Ravens 312 Ravens
u44 -110 u13.5 -120 N/A u12.5 even N/A u9.5 +104 N/A u46.5 -114  
Final
Cincinnati Bengals 311 Bengals
+130 +120 N/A +114 N/A +122 N/A +166  
Baltimore Ravens 312 Ravens
-154 -140 N/A -135 N/A -150 N/A -198  
Final
Cincinnati Bengals 311 Bengals
+3 -115 +0.5 -130 N/A +0.5 -125 N/A +1.5 -142 N/A +3.5 -105  
Baltimore Ravens 312 Ravens
-3 -105 -0.5 +110 N/A -0.5 +105 N/A -1.5 +118 N/A -3.5 -115  
Final
Cincinnati Bengals 311 Bengals
o44 -110 o9.5 -125 N/A o9.5 -118 N/A o9.5 -200 N/A o46.5 -106  
Baltimore Ravens 312 Ravens
u44 -110 u9.5 +105 N/A u9.5 -102 N/A u9.5 +146 N/A u46.5 -114  
Final
Cincinnati Bengals 311 Bengals
+130 +120 N/A +120 N/A +118 N/A +166  
Baltimore Ravens 312 Ravens
-154 -140 N/A -142 N/A -144 N/A -198  
Final
Cincinnati Bengals 311 Bengals
+3 -115 +0.5 -115 N/A +0.5 -112 N/A +1.5 -138 N/A +3.5 -105  
Baltimore Ravens 312 Ravens
-3 -105 -0.5 -105 N/A -0.5 -108 N/A -1.5 +114 N/A -3.5 -115  
Final
Cincinnati Bengals 311 Bengals
o44 -110 o13.5 even N/A o13.5 -102 N/A o13.5 -106 N/A o46.5 -106  
Baltimore Ravens 312 Ravens
u44 -110 u13.5 -120 N/A u13.5 -118 N/A u13.5 -116 N/A u46.5 -114  
Final
Cincinnati Bengals 311 Bengals
+130 +115 N/A +120 N/A +110 N/A +166  
Baltimore Ravens 312 Ravens
-154 -135 N/A -142 N/A -134 N/A -198  

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Bengals vs Ravens Betting Resources

Date: Thursday, November 16, 2023
Matchup: AFC North
Venue: M&T Bank Stadium
Location: Baltimore, Maryland
Time-TV: Amazon Prime Video, 8:15 p.m. ET

Click here for Vegas Insider senior reporter Patrick Everson's full NFL Odds Week 11 Report containing spreads, lines, and trends for every NFL matchup.

Use our BetMGM bonus code before making your Bengals vs. Ravens pick to get bonus bets!

Cincinnati Bengals Betting Analysis

Even at full strength, Cincy is certainly beatable, and last week’s loss to Houston was a glaring reminder of that. But prior to their latest defeat, the Bengals were the talk of the league after posting consecutive wins over the Seahawks, 49ers, and Bills. Joe Burrow was quickly climbing the MVP odds list. Futures bets were beginning to pour in on Cincy. The Bengals were truly starting to look like the team that previously stood toe-to-toe with the Chiefs in the last two AFC championship games.

However, those conversations have come to a screeching halt after losing a shootout to a really solid Texans team. But I wouldn’t look too far into their latest loss. The Bengals are playing great football. The second half of last week’s Houston vs. Cincy game felt like a matchup between two offensive units that couldn’t be stopped, as opposed to the Bengals coming up short against an inferior opponent. Or in other words, Cincy was simply outplayed by a good team. 

The Bengals were favored by 5.5 vs. Houston last week. Now, they are tagged as four-point underdogs at Baltimore. The difference between Houston and Baltimore simply isn’t 9.5 points. Cincy +4 is the play here. I will also be sprinkling on the moneyline.

nfl-bengals-bills-thursday-night-football-week-11-chase
The Bengals are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 road games. (Getty)

Baltimore Ravens Betting Analysis

The Ravens have certainly been impressive so far this season. However, for no other reason than a gut feeling, I’m still not fully sold on Baltimore as a Super Bowl contender. The Ravens have journeyed through a pretty tough schedule, and have found nothing but success for the most part, considering they posted wins vs. Houston , at Cleveland, at Tennessee, at Arizona, at Cincy, and of course, a pair of blowout victories over the Seahawks and Lions.

Push comes to shove though, the main reason why the market is so high on the Ravens is because most fans originally circled Lions vs. Ravens and Lions vs. Seahawks on the calendar as marquee matchups, and Baltimore absolutely dominated those two games. So, those wins naturally stick out in the minds of bettors when looking back on their journey to 7-3. But let’s not pretend the Ravens are some type of unstoppable force. Baltimore also scored just 10 points in a division loss to the Steelers, as well as 19 points in an overtime loss to the Colts. 

If the Ravens proceed to bury Cincy this week, I may need to recalibrate my view. But all things considered, I still believe that the Bengals are the slightly better team in this matchup, and they desperately need to win this game. So, I’m taking the points with the road dog.

Bengals vs Ravens Betting Trends

  • The Bengals are 4-1 ATS in their last five games.
  • The Bengals are 4-1 SU in their last five games.
  • The Ravens are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Baltimore's last 20 games.
  • The Ravens are 4-1 SU in their last five games.
  • The Bengals are 3-6 ATS in their last nine games against Baltimore.
  • The Bengals are 4-2 SU in their last six games against Baltimore.
  • The Bengals are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 road games.

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Michael Crosson

Michael Crosson

Michael Crosson began his time at VegasInsider as a freelance NBA writer back in 2019 while he continued to study Psychology and Biology at James Madison University. Following his graduation in 2021, Michael joined the team full-time, and he's been with VI ever since. Michael still writes NBA, NFL, and MLB for VI, as well as gambling industry news. He's also become a crucial part of our editorial production team. More from Michael Crosson
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