Sign Up Subscribe
NFL

Titans vs Steelers Prediction, Picks, Odds | Thursday Night Football Week 9

Michael Crosson
Michael Crosson Sports Betting Expert
5 minute read

Week 9 of the NFL regular season kicks things off with Thursday Night Football between the Tennessee Titans and Pittsburgh Steelers. Coverage begins from Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh at 8:15 p.m. ET on Amazon Prime Video.

Here's everything you need to know about the Titans vs. Steelers Prediction, Picks, and Odds for Thursday Night Football Week 9, and use our BetMGM bonus code to get the most out of your action.

Titans vs. Steelers Prediction, Picks & Betting Odds for Thursday Night Football Week 9

Matchup Spread Total Moneyline

In the days leading up to last Sunday, the Titans appeared to be down for the count and slowly beginning to realign their focus on the future, as they entered Week 8 with a record of 2-4 and their starting QB sidelined with an ankle injury, resulting in the departure of All-Pro safety Kevin Byard prior to the trade deadline, along with head coach Mike Vrabel committing to the utilization of a two-QB platoon ahead of last week’s matchup against Atlanta.

However, with Tennessee’s playoff hopes quickly slipping away, a glimmer of hope suddenly arrived in the form of rookie QB Will Levis last week, as Levis torched the Falcons for 238 passing yards and four touchdown passes (0 INTs) on the way to a 28-23 victory – which was a stunning turn of events after seeing Ryan Tannehill throw just two touchdown passes in six starts for the Titans this season.

According to VegasInsider’s Patrick Everson, the SuperBook closed the lookahead line for this contest at Steelers -4. But in the aftermath of a stellar performance by Levis, as well as a minor rib injury suffered by Steelers QB Kenny Pickett in a 20-10 loss to Jacksonville, the market officially reopened at Steelers -3 on Sunday night, and since then has fallen to -2.5 at most shops, despite Pickett indicating that he intends to play on Thursday night.

With or without Pickett, though, I think we are destined to see Pittsburgh bounce back at home on Thursday night. According to Action Network’s Evan Abrams, the Steelers are 14-10-1 SU and ATS in matchups started by a backup QB over the last decade. And all things considered, Pittsburgh’s offense didn’t look all that different during Mitch Trubisky’s brief tenure as the starter last year. The Steelers managed to generate 20+ points in three of five games started by Trubisky in 2022, which is a clip they’ve fallen short of in four of seven contests on the way to a record of 4-3 this season.

Per usual, there’s nothing flashy about this Steelers team, currently ranked 29th in points scored and 18th in points allowed on the season. However, I’m well beyond the point of accepting the fact that their consistent success in the win column is no fluke, despite what the underlying metrics may suggest. Under head coach Mike Tomlin, the Steelers are 33-18-4 ATS when tagged as a favorite of three points or less (or underdog) at home, and they are 16-6 SU in their last 22 night games – which has remained true with Pickett. The Steelers are 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS in primetime matchups started by their second-year QB.

Maybe Will Levis is the real deal, and we’ll all look back on this matchup and reminisce about how big of a steal Tennessee +2.5 was in this spot. However, prior to last week’s breakout performance, Levis instilled such little confidence in the mind of his head coach that Vrabel entered the week planning to have him split snaps with Malik Willis, who has been atrocious in three starts for the Titans, completing just 51% of his passes for 78 yards per game to go along with zero touchdowns and three interceptions.

Levis looked spectacular on the highlight reel in his NFL debut last week as he connected for a trio of 33+ yard touchdown passes to multiple different wide open receivers streaking down field. However, if you take away those three long touchdowns, it was a relatively pedestrian performance, considering he completed 16 of 26 pass attempts for just 97 yards and a TD aside from the deep shots that found the endzone.

The Steelers are primed to do what they do best in this spot: win ugly, low-scoring football games. So, I’m laying the short number with Pittsburgh in what has the makings of an ugly AFC clash on Thursday night.

Maximize your Steelers vs. Titans action with our Caesars Sportsbook promo code!

Score Prediction: Steelers 23, Titans 16
Best Bet: Steelers -2.5 (-115)

TEN @ PIT Odds

  • Full Game
  • 1H
  • 1Q
  • 2Q
  • 3Q
  • 4Q
  • Spread
  • Total
  • Moneyline
Final
Tennessee Titans 309 Titans
+3.5 -115 +1.5 -110 +0.5 -105 +3.5 -122 +1.5 +105 +1.5 -110 +1.5 -109 +3 -104  
Pittsburgh Steelers 310 Steelers
-3.5 -105 -1.5 -110 -0.5 -115 -3.5 +102 -1.5 -125 -1.5 -110 -1.5 -120 -3 -118  
Final
Tennessee Titans 309 Titans
o36.5 -110 o17.5 even o17.5 even o16.5 -125 o17.5 even o18.5 -110 o17.5 -110 o36.5 -122  
Pittsburgh Steelers 310 Steelers
u36.5 -110 u17.5 -120 u17.5 -120 u16.5 +105 u17.5 -120 u18.5 -110 u17.5 -113 u36.5 -100  
Final
Tennessee Titans 309 Titans
+146 +135 +120 +164 +143 +136 +117 +150  
Pittsburgh Steelers 310 Steelers
-174 -155 -145 -198 -170 -166 -148 -178  
Final
Tennessee Titans 309 Titans
+3.5 -115 +1.5 -115 N/A N/A +0.5 -125 +1.5 -115 +1.5 -118 +3 -104  
Pittsburgh Steelers 310 Steelers
-3.5 -105 -1.5 -105 N/A N/A -0.5 +105 -1.5 -105 -1.5 -105 -3 -118  
Final
Tennessee Titans 309 Titans
o36.5 -110 o17.5 -110 N/A N/A o18.5 -120 o17.5 -110 o18.5 -106 o36.5 -122  
Pittsburgh Steelers 310 Steelers
u36.5 -110 u17.5 -110 N/A N/A u18.5 even u17.5 -110 u18.5 -118 u36.5 -100  
Final
Tennessee Titans 309 Titans
+146 +115 N/A N/A N/A +120 +112 +150  
Pittsburgh Steelers 310 Steelers
-174 -135 N/A N/A N/A -142 -139 -178  
Final
Tennessee Titans 309 Titans
+3.5 -115 +0.5 -150 +0.5 -160 +0.5 -142 +0.5 -155 +1.5 -156 +1.5 -159 +3 -104  
Pittsburgh Steelers 310 Steelers
-3.5 -105 -0.5 +130 -0.5 +125 -0.5 +120 -0.5 +130 -1.5 +128 -1.5 +128 -3 -118  
Final
Tennessee Titans 309 Titans
o36.5 -110 o7 even o7 even o6.5 -148 o6.5 -130 o6.5 -156 o6.5 -162 o36.5 -122  
Pittsburgh Steelers 310 Steelers
u36.5 -110 u7 -120 u7 -130 u6.5 +124 u6.5 +110 u6.5 +128 u6.5 +128 u36.5 -100  
Final
Tennessee Titans 309 Titans
+146 +120 +105 +120 +118 +120 +116 +150  
Pittsburgh Steelers 310 Steelers
-174 -140 -140 -142 -140 -148 -143 -178  
Final
Tennessee Titans 309 Titans
+3.5 -115 +0.5 -125 N/A -1.5 -110 N/A +1.5 -128 N/A +3 -104  
Pittsburgh Steelers 310 Steelers
-3.5 -105 -0.5 +105 N/A +1.5 -120 N/A -1.5 +104 N/A -3 -118  
Final
Tennessee Titans 309 Titans
o36.5 -110 o10.5 +105 N/A o14.5 +105 N/A o13.5 -110 N/A o36.5 -122  
Pittsburgh Steelers 310 Steelers
u36.5 -110 u10.5 -125 N/A u14.5 -135 N/A u13.5 -120 N/A u36.5 -100  
Final
Tennessee Titans 309 Titans
+146 +115 N/A +120 N/A +122 N/A +150  
Pittsburgh Steelers 310 Steelers
-174 -135 N/A -142 N/A -144 N/A -178  
Final
Tennessee Titans 309 Titans
+3.5 -115 +0.5 -150 N/A +0.5 -142 N/A +1.5 -154 N/A +3 -104  
Pittsburgh Steelers 310 Steelers
-3.5 -105 -0.5 +130 N/A -0.5 +120 N/A -1.5 +126 N/A -3 -118  
Final
Tennessee Titans 309 Titans
o36.5 -110 o6.5 -145 N/A o7.5 +120 N/A o6.5 -120 N/A o36.5 -122  
Pittsburgh Steelers 310 Steelers
u36.5 -110 u6.5 +125 N/A u7.5 -142 N/A u6.5 -110 N/A u36.5 -100  
Final
Tennessee Titans 309 Titans
+146 +110 N/A +114 N/A +112 N/A +150  
Pittsburgh Steelers 310 Steelers
-174 -130 N/A -135 N/A -130 N/A -178  
Final
Tennessee Titans 309 Titans
+3.5 -115 +0.5 -130 N/A +0.5 -125 N/A +1.5 -146 N/A +3 -104  
Pittsburgh Steelers 310 Steelers
-3.5 -105 -0.5 +110 N/A -0.5 +105 N/A -1.5 +120 N/A -3 -118  
Final
Tennessee Titans 309 Titans
o36.5 -110 o9.5 -130 N/A o10.5 -105 N/A o10.5 +114 N/A o36.5 -122  
Pittsburgh Steelers 310 Steelers
u36.5 -110 u9.5 +110 N/A u10.5 -115 N/A u10.5 -138 N/A u36.5 -100  
Final
Tennessee Titans 309 Titans
+146 +110 N/A +110 N/A +106 N/A +150  
Pittsburgh Steelers 310 Steelers
-174 -130 N/A -130 N/A -126 N/A -178  

Titans vs Steelers Betting Resources

Date: Thursday, November 2, 2023
Matchup: AFC South vs. AFC North
Venue: Acrisure Stadium
Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
Time-TV: Amazon Prime Video, 8:15 p.m. ET

Click here for Vegas Insider senior reporter Patrick Everson's full NFL Odds Week 9 Report containing spreads, lines, and trends for every NFL matchup.

Use our BetMGM bonus code before making your Titans vs. Steelers pick to get bonus bets!

Tennessee Titans Betting Analysis

Over the last few years, Tennessee and Pittsburgh have both shown a tendency to thrive in ugly low-scoring affairs, which has remained true for the Steelers, considering Pittsburgh won two of its last three games despite averaging just 17 PPG during that span. However, the Titans can no longer rely on their defense to single-handedly carry them to wins. The Titans have allowed 23+ points in five of their last six games, and that’s an enormous ask on a consistent basis for an offense that’s scored 16 points or less in four of seven matchups this season.

nfl-titans-steelers-thursday-night-football-week-9
The Titans are 0-6 SU in their last six road games. (Getty)

Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Analysis

The Steelers offense certainly isn’t anything to write home about. But you can take comfort in the fact that their defense has held its opponent to 20 points or less in four of the last five games, and prior to last week, the Titans had scored 16 points or less in three of their last four outings. That said, my main concern with backing Pittsburgh in this spot is the fact that I’m electing to lay points with a Steelers team that has fallen short of the 20-point scoring mark in three of their last four games. But I expect their defense to pull through in a big way at home against the Titans 23rd ranked scoring offense with a rookie QB making his first career start in primetime on a short week.

Titans vs Steelers Betting Trends

  • The total has gone UNDER in nine of Tennessee's last 11 games.
  • The Titans are 3-11 SU in their last 14 games.
  • The Steelers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in five straight Steelers games.
  • The Steelers are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games.
  • The Titans are 1-4 SU in their last five games against Pittsburgh.
  • The Titans are 0-6 SU in their last six road games.
  • The Titans are 1-5 SU in their last six road games against Pittsburgh.

Where to place a bet this NFL Season?

  • Use our exclusive BetMGM Bonus Code VIBONUS1600 to unlock BetMGM's welcome offer for new sportsbook users!
  • Compare the latest NFL Odds from the best sportsbooks before placing a bet on this week's games.
  • Sports betting is live in North Carolina! Check out our list of North Carolina Sportsbooks and get ready for the NFL season.
  • Our DraftKings Promo Code earns users $150 in bonus bets when you bet $5. Sign up today!

Nfl News

Michael Crosson

Michael Crosson

Michael Crosson began his time at VegasInsider as a freelance NBA writer back in 2019 while he continued to study Psychology and Biology at James Madison University. Following his graduation in 2021, Michael joined the team full-time, and he's been with VI ever since. Michael still writes NBA, NFL, and MLB for VI, as well as gambling industry news. He's also become a crucial part of our editorial production team. More from Michael Crosson
•