World Cup Odds: France vs. Spain Lines, Spreads, Betting Trends

Patrick Everson Sports Betting Expert

9 minute read

France vs. Spain odds are front and center at the 2026 World Cup, with the Knockout Stage at full throttle as the semifinals take shape. And that first semi is a doozy.

France is the tournament favorite, and Spain is playing stellar as well. In Spain vs. France odds, though, the French opened as the favorites.

Here's everything you need to know about World Cup odds France vs. Spain: action, line movement and betting trends. Check back for updates.

Also, be sure to utilize our prediction market apps and Polymarket promo code by clicking on the module below, or our BetMGM bonus code to get the most out of your action.

(Feature image: Lisi Niesner/Reuters)

Updated on 8/26/26

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2026 World Cup Odds

France vs. Spain Odds

• Opening moneyline: France +120/Spain +225/Draw +220
• Opening total: Over/Under 2.5 goals scored
• Time: 3 p.m. ET Tuesday (FOX)

LATEST UPDATE: On the three-way moneyline at BetMGM, it's France +145/Spain +200/Draw +200, as of 2 p.m. ET, an hour before kickoff. That's a notable shift from Friday's opener of France +125/Spain +250/Draw +220.

However, tournament favorite France is quite popular today. Kylian Mbappe & Co. are taking 61% of bets/77% of cash in three-way play. Spain is at 26% of bets/16% of money, and Draw is seeing 13% of bets/7% of money.

And in the To Advance market – at France -160/Spain +120 – more than 90% of cash is on France.

"We need Spain in a big way," BetMGM trading manager Tristan Davis said. "The majority of money for 90 minutes and To Qualify is on France. So 1-0 Spain or a 0-0 draw after 90 minutes will be good."

If regulation ends in a tie, BetMGM still wants Spain to advance, be it in overtime or in a penalty-kick shootout.

The total is at 2.5 (Over -110/Under even), with 69% of bets/79% of cash on the Over. Hence BetMGM's need for a lower-scoring affair in regulation.

In player props, for anytime goal scorer, Mbappe is taking five times more bets than any other player.

SECOND UPDATE: As of 3 p.m. ET Monday, 24 hours before this match, BetMGM's three-way moneyline is at France +130/Spain +225/Draw +210. That represents a modest shift from Friday's opener of France +125/Spain +220/Draw +220.

France is the favorite in World Cup futures odds, and bettors are on Kylian Mbappe & Co. in France vs. Spain odds, as well. France is landing 61% of bets/77% of money in early three-way play, while Spain is taking 28% of bets/17% of money.

Draw is picking up the scraps, at 11% of bets/6% of money.

Among the four semifinalists, France is also taking the most tickets and money in the To Advance market. BetMGM has To Advance odds at France -150/Spain +120.

The total is at 2.5 (Over -115), after opening at 2.5 (Under -120). The Over is nabbing 67% of early bets and 90% of early dollars.

OPENING ODDS UPDATE: Tournament favorite France found itself in a halftime 0-0 draw with Morocco in Friday's quarterfinal. But Kylian Mbappe broke through in the 60th minute, Ousmane Dembele delivered six minutes later, and France won 2-0 as a -175 favorite.

France has outscored its six opponents by a 16-2 total, going 6-0 in the process.

Spain finally conceded its first goal of the tournament, in its sixth match, allowing Belgium to tie the game at 1 in the first half. It stayed that way almost the entire second half. Then Mikel Merino found the net off an 88th-minute rebound, giving Spain a 2-1 victory as a -160 favorite Friday.

Spain is 5-0-1 while outscoring its opponents 11-1.

BetMGM opened France vs. Spain odds at France +125/Spain +225/Draw +220 on the three-way moneyline. In the To Advance market, it's France -155/Spain +120.

Check back for updates on France vs. Spain World Cup odds, right up until Tuesday's kickoff.

Patrick Everson

Patrick Everson is a senior reporter for VegasInsider. Based in Las Vegas since 1994, he's worked in the sports betting journalism/content space for more than a decade. He's most known for his deep roster of contacts behind sportsbook counters, providing readers and viewers with the ins-and-outs of how events are being bet. He's also a thought leader in the sports betting space, often appearing on or moderating panels at national conferences. More from Patrick Everson