Last Updated Aug 30, 2021, 9:55 AM
Tuesday's Tip Sheet
This week’s annual Big Ten/ACC Challenge in college basketball continues on Tuesday night with a trio of very interesting betting matchups.
First up is a battle between the Big Ten’s No. 4 Michigan Wolverines and the ACC’s Louisville Cardinals as the new No. 1 ranked team in the nation. Later that night, the No. 17 Florida State Seminoles will be on the road against the Indiana Hoosiers.
The featured showdown at 9:30 p.m. (ET) on ESPN is a matchup between the No. 10 Duke Blue Devils and the No. 11 Michigan State Spartans.
No. 4 Michigan at No. 1 Louisville (ESPN, 7:30 p.m. ET)
Opening Odds: Louisville -7, Total 138.5
Michigan brings a straight-up seven-game winning streak into this game, capped off by last week’s upsets over North Carolina and Gonzaga as an underdog. The Wolverines have gone 5-2 against the spread with the total going OVER in three of the last four games. Those two victories against Top 10 teams secured this season’s Battle 4 Atlantis trophy. Michigan jumped out to an 11-point halftime lead in Friday’s championship. It ended that game shooting 46.2 percent from three-point range on 13 attempts.
The Cardinals have also won their first seven games SU but they fall to 3-4 ATS. They were able to cover as 10 ½-point favorites in last Friday’s 71-54 victory against Western Kentucky. Louisville has closed as a double-digit favorite in six of its first seven games. Jordan Nwora scored 25 points his last time out. The junior forward leads the Cardinals in scoring with an average of 21.9 points per game. Overall, the team is averaging 81.7 PPG while holding opponents to 61.3 points.
-- The Wolverines are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games against the ACC and the total has gone OVER in five of their last seven road games.
-- The Cardinals have gone 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games against a Big Ten team. The total has stayed UNDER in nine of their last 13 games played at home.
-- These two have split a pair of postseason matchups (SU and ATS) with Louisville winning in 2013 (national title game) and Michigan winning in 2017.
No. 17 Florida State at Indiana (ESPN2, 9:00 p.m. ET)
Opening Odds: Indiana -2.5, Total 139
Florida State lost its season opener to Pittsburgh 63-61 as a four-point home favorite ahead of its current SU seven-game winning streak. The Seminoles are 5-3 ATS closing as favorites in seven of their first eight games. They beat Purdue 63-60 in overtime on Saturday as slight 1 ½-point favorites. The total stayed UNDER 124 ½ points in that game. Led by sophomore guard Devin Vassel (12.5 points), Florida State is scoring an average of 76 points and it is holding teams to 59.9 points at the other end of the court.
With Saturday’s 64-50 win against South Dakota State as 18 ½-point favorite, the Hoosiers are off to a perfect 7-0 SU start. After failing to cover in that game, they slipped to 5-2 ATS. Indiana has closed as a double-digit favorite in all seven games and the total has gone OVER in five of those outings. Freshman Trayce Jackson continues to have the hot hand for the Hoosiers with a combined 37 points in his last two games. In Saturday’s win, he posted his fourth-straight double-double.
-- The Seminoles have failed to cover in 12 of their last 17 games against the Big Ten. The total has stayed UNDER in 21 of their last 26 games on the road.
-- The Hoosiers are just 1-6 ATS in their last seven matchups against a team from the ACC. The total has stayed UNDER in six of their last eight games against an ACC team.
-- This will be the first meeting between these two teams.
No. 10 Duke at No. 11 Michigan State (ESPN. 9:30 p.m. ET)
Opening Odds: Michigan State -5, Total 145.5
Following last Tuesday’s stunning 85-83 loss to Stephen F. Austin as 28-point favorites, the Blue Devils could not cover the 24 ½ points on Saturday in an 83-70 win against Winthrop. The total went OVER in each of those games and it has gone OVER in six of Duke’s (7-1 SU, 4-4 ATS) last seven contests. Freshman sensation Cassius Stanley will miss some playing time after hurting his left leg in Saturday’s game. Freshman Matthew Hurt scored a season-high 20 points in the winning effort.
Michigan State has losses (SU and ATS) to Kentucky and Virginia Tech mixed in with five SU wins as part of its 5-2 start. It has failed to cover in its last three outings to fall to 2-5 ATS. The total stayed UNDER 141 ½ points in the Spartans’ 75-62 win against UCLA last Wednesday closing as 14-point favorites. It has stayed UNDER in three of their last four games. Senior guard Cassius Winston scored 20 points in Wednesday’s win to exceed his team-high 17.9-point scoring average. He also leads the team in assists (6.0).
-- The Blue Devils are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games against a Big Ten team and the total has stayed UNDER in nine of their last 12 games played on Tuesday.
-- The Spartans have an 18-8 record ATS in their last 26 home games. The total has gone OVER or ended as a PUSH in 10 of their last 13 games against the ACC.
-- Duke has a SU 8-2 record against Michigan State going back to 2004. Yet, the Spartans hold the slight 5-4-1 edge ATS with the total going OVER in eight of the ten games. Michigan State beat Duke 68-67 as a slight 2 ½-point underdog in last season’s Elite Eight.