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College Basketball

Monday’s Tip Sheet

VegasInsider Staff
VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert
4 minute read
Two of the best teams in the ACC highlight Big Monday on ESPN’s college basketball schedule along with the top team in the nation playing on the road in the Big 12.

Kicking things off, the No. 8 Florida State Seminoles will be on the road against the No. 7 Duke Blue Devils. Later Monday night, the No. 1 Baylor Bears will travel to Austin to face the Texas Longhorns.

No. 8 Florida State Seminoles at No. 7 Duke Blue Devils
(ESPN, 7 p.m. ET)

Opening Odds: >Duke -8.5, Total 148.5
Provided by Unibet (NJ and PA only)
Odds subject to change

Betting Matchup

The Seminoles moved to 10-2 straight-up in the ACC and 21-3 overall with Saturday’s 99-81 romp over rival Miami as 13 ½-point favorites at home. This was just the second time they covered against the spread in their last seven games and the total has gone OVER in seven of their last nine contests. MJ Walker and Patrick Williams each ended Saturday’s game with 14 points.

Sophomore guard Devin Vassell is Florida State’s leading scorer this season (13.5 points) and he added 13 points to the winning cause.

Duke is coming off a thrilling 98-96 overtime win at North Carolina but it failed to cover as a 7 ½-point favorite. The Blue Devils (20-3 SU) are tied with Florida State in the conference standings at 10-2 and a game and a half in back of Louisville. They have also slipped to 2-5 ATS over their last seven contests. The total went way OVER 148 ½ points in Saturday’s win and it has gone OVER in eight of their last 10 games.

Freshman center Vernon Carey Jr. scored 18 points against the Tar Heels as Duke’s leading scorer this season (17.8 points). He has put up 17 or more points in each of his last four starts.

Betting Trends

-- The Seminoles are 3-2 ATS in their last five games on the road as underdogs. They are 2-1 ATS closing as underdogs this season and the total has gone OVER in their last six road games.

-- The Blue Devils are 8-2 SU in their last 10 home games but they fall to 4-6 ATS. The total has gone OVER in their last for games at home.

-- Duke has won eight of its last 10 games against Florida State and it has the slight 6-4 edge ATS after covering in five of the last seven matchups. The total has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in eight of the last 10 meetings.

No. 1 Baylor Bears at Texas Longhorns
(ESPN2, 9 p.m. ET)

Opening Odds: >Baylor -6.5, Total 128.5
Provided by Unibet (NJ and PA only)
Odds subject to change

Betting Matchup

With Saturday’s 78-70 home victory against the Oklahoma State Cowboys, the top team in the nation extended its current SU winning streak to 20 games. The Bears (21-1 SU, 14-8 ATS) could not cover the 12 ½ points in that game to slip to an even 3-3 ATS in their last six games. The total has gone OVER in three of their last five contests. Baylor already beat Texas 59-44 in early January as an 8 ½-point home favorite.

In Saturday’s win against the Cowboys, five different players ended the game in double figures led by MaCio Teague’s 24 points.

Texas is headed in the opposite direction at the wrong time of the season with just two SU wins in its last seven games. It is 4-6 SU in Big 12 play and 14-9 overall. The Longhorns were on the wrong side of Saturday’s 62-57 loss to Texas Tech at home as 2 ½-point underdogs. They are 4-5 ATS this season closing as underdogs.

The total has stayed UNDER in five of their last seven games. Texas is averaging 65.5 points per game and giving up 63.8 points on defense.

Betting Trends

-- The Bears have covered in five of six road games this season and they are 8-2 ATS in their last road games as favorites. The total has gone OVER in five of their last seven road games closing as favorites.

-- The Longhorns are 4-8 ATS in 12 previous home games this season and they are an even 4-4 ATS in their last eight games closing as underdogs. The total has gone OVER in six of their last eight games as home underdogs.

-- With the earlier win this season, Baylor is 8-2 SU and 6-4 ATS in its last 10 games against Texas. The total has gone OVER in six of the last nine meetings.

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