San Diego State vs. Arizona State Predictions, Odds

• December 10, 2020
• By David Schwab
• VegasInsider.com

Thursday’s college hoops action closes things out with the No. 24 San Diego State Aztecs on the road against the No. 23 Arizona State Sun Devils at Desert Financial Arena. Game time on FS1 is set for 10 p.m. (ET).

BETTING RESOURCES

• Expert Picks: Vegas Insiders
• Venue: Desert Financial Arena
• Location: Tempe, Arizona
• Date: Thursday, December 10, 2020
• Time: 10:00 p.m.
• TV: FS1
• Bet: BetMGM | BetRivers | FanDuel | PointsBet | Michigan | All

San Diego State-Arizona State Betting Odds

Line Movements

• Spread: Arizona State -5
• Money-Line: Arizona State -190 San Diego State +170
• Total: 147.5

Odds Subject to Change

Arizona State has been opened as a 5.5 point home favorite in this Mountain West/Pac-12 tilt. The betting line for the total has been set at 147.5 points. San Diego State is off to a solid 4-0 start straight-up with a 2-1 record against the spread in games with a posted betting line. The total has stayed UNDER in two of those three games.

The Aztecs are 0-4 SU with a 1-3 record ATS in four previous games against Arizona State. The total stayed UNDER in three of the four meetings. They are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games against the Pac-12. The Sun Devils have won three of their first four games SU with a 1-3 mark ATS.

The lone loss was an 83-74 setback to Villanova on Nov. 26 as six-point neutral-site underdogs. The total has stayed UNDER in two of their last three games. Arizona State has posted a profitable 7-0-1 record ATS in its last eight games against the Mountain West. The total has gone OVER in its last five home games.

Betting Analysis – San Diego State Aztecs

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

• SU: 4-0
• ATS: 2-1
• SU - Home: 4-0
• SU - Away: 0-0
• O/U: 1-2

As one of the best teams in the nation last season, the Aztecs rolled to an overall record of 30-2. This year’s team suffered some big losses from that roster but it still has a pair of marquee players in guard Jordan Schakel and forward Matt Mitchell.

Schakel is averaging 12.8 points per game and shooting 42.9% from the field. Mitchell is a close second with 12.3 points and a 39.5 shooting percentage.

The Aztecs are scoring an average of 74.5 points and pulling down 35.8 rebounds a game. They are hitting 44.2 percent of their shots from the field and 34.0 percent from three-point range. Defensively, San Diego State is holding its opponents to just 54.3 points and averaging 31.8 defensive rebounds a game.

Betting Analysis – Arizona State Sun Devils

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

• SU: 3-1
• ATS: 1-3
• SU - Home: 1-1
• SU - Away: 2-0
• O/U: 2-2

Having one of college basketball’s best point guards ever as a head coach has rubbed off on All-American candidate Remy Martin. He is the key to running Bobby Hurley’s offense for the Sun Devils.

Through four games, Martin has averaged 17.3 points and four assists a game. Guard Josh Christopher is actually the team’s leading scorer with 17.5 PPG. This roster runs five deep with players scoring in double digits.

The Sun Devils have averaged 84.5 PPG with a 48.1 shooting percentage from the field. That drops to 35.4% from three-point range. There are some concerns on the other side of the court with a points-allowed average of 77.5. Arizona State has the edge on the defensive boards in this matchup with 38.2 rebounds a game.

Inside the Stats – San Diego State Aztecs

• PS/G: 74.5 (151st)
• PA/G: 54.2 (9th)
• Off Rtg: 108.8 (79th)
• Def Rtg: 79.2 (25th)

Inside the Stats – Arizona State Sun Devils

• PS/G: 84.5 (44th)
• PA/G: 77.5 (248th)
• Off Rtg: 110.5 (68th)
• Def Rtg: 101.3 (212th)

Key Players to Watch

• SDST - Jordan Schakel (12.8 PPG)
• SDST - Matt Mitchell (12.3 PPG)
• AZST - Remy Martin (17.3 PPG, 4 APG)
• AZST - Alonzo Verge (15 PPG. 5.5 RPG)

San Diego State-Arizona State Predictions

San Diego State gets the edge on defense and Arizona State has more offensive firepower in what appears to be a very close matchup. Past meetings aside along with San Diego State’s struggles against the Pac-12, the overall lean still goes to Arizona State playing at home.

When it is all said and done, look for the Sun Devils to get the win and payoff on the money line. I'm less confident in the cover against the closing spread. The lean would also go towards the UNDER on the total line. The Aztecs should have some success slowing the pace just enough to keep Arizona State’s top shooters in check.

• Score Prediction: San Diego State 70 Arizona State 68
• Best Bets: San Diego State +5.5
• Best Bets: UNDER 147.5

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