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NCAAB

Jan 27, 2021

Stanford vs. Arizona Predictions, Odds


  • January 28, 2021
  • By Thom Cunningham
  • VegasInsider.com

The Stanford Cardinal have little room for error in order to make March Madness, as they head to Tucson to face the Arizona Wildcats. Tip for this game is set for 10 p.m. (ET) and will air on ESPN2.

BETTING RESOURCES

WHERE TO BET STANFORD-ARIZONA

Stanford-Arizona Betting Odds

Line Movements

  • Spread: Arizona -5.5
  • Money-Line: Arizona -400 Stanford +320
  • Total: 146.5

Odds Subject to Change

Arizona is the home favorite for this game, entering with a -5.5-point spread. Arizona has failed to cover nine of 14 games this season, while Stanford is 7-6-1 on the ATS.

The point total is set at 146.5, which both teams typically go OVER on. Stanford has gone OVER in eight of 14 games, while Arizona has gone OVER in 10 of 14 games this season.

Betting Analysis – Stanford Cardinal

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 9-5
  • ATS: 7-6-1
  • SU - Home: 5-2
  • SU - Away: 4-3
  • O/U: 8-5-1

Stanford snapped an ugly two-game losing streak with an overtime win against the conference's best, UCLA. Now, Stanford has to hit the road again and take on a formidable Arizona team. What makes this game difficult to predict are the injuries.

We'll get to Arizona, but Stanford currently has four players listed as questionable, none more important than Ziaire Williams. He averages 12.5 points per game, so if he can't go then Jaiden Delaire will have to step up.

Oscar Da Silva is still the most important player for this Cardinal team however, and ultimately the one to carry or crumble the team. He averages nearly 20 points per game with 7.1 rebounds, and is the senior leader. He has scored 22 points or more in three of his last four games, along with four double-doubles in four of his last six games.

Betting Analysis – Arizona Wildcats

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 11-3
  • ATS: 5-9
  • SU - Home: 7-2
  • SU - Away: 4-1
  • O/U: 10-4

The biggest injury issue for Arizona is Jemarl Baker, Jr. being out for the season. Now, Bennedict Mathurin is listed as questionable. If he is out, Arizona would be missing two of its top three point scorers.

Keep an eye on the injury report if wagering this game, as Mathruin's status becomes the biggest question entering. James Akinjo now leads the team in points per game, while Jordan Brown averages 10.3 points per game.

Azuolas Tubelis is back for Arizona, averaging 11 points and 6.4 rebounds per game. Injuries aside, what the Wildcats do well is score buckets. They average 80.3 points per game which ranks 40th in the nation. They also make 19 free throws per game (ranks third nationally), grab 40.5 rebounds per game (24th nationally) and average 15.7 assists per game (60th nationally).

Stanford's offense will more than likely not keep up with Arizona's, but the Wildcats don't shoot the three-pointer well. They have the 46th-best percentage, but only attempt the 295th-most from beyond the arc per game. They also only connect on 6.9 three-pointers per game, which ranks 212th in the nation.

Perhaps its not so much that Arizona can't shoot the three, but that they score so often and easily at the rim that they don't need to. Besides, they average 4.6 blocks per game (ranks 36th nationally). This team has no issue playing from the inside first, which is probably what Stanford will want to avoid (despite the inside being their strength too).

Look for Stanford to force more outside shots than Arizona is comfortable taking, but either way this Arizona offense is difficult to stop. The only real concern for Wildcat bettors should be the injury report and if Da Silva and co. deny the inside paint.


Inside the Stats – Stanford Cardinal

  • PS/G: 72.4 (170th)
  • PA/G: 68.5 (132nd)
  • Off Rtg: 100 (201st)
  • Def Rtg: 94.6 (82nd)

Inside the Stats – Arizona Wildcats

  • PS/G: 80.3 (40th)
  • PA/G: 68.5 (135th)
  • Off Rtg: 111.8 (39th)
  • Def Rtg: 95.5 (101st)

Key Players to Watch

  • STAN - Oscar Da Silva (19.8 PPG, 7.1 RPG)
  • STAN - Ziaire Williams (12.5 PPG, 5.7 RPG)
  • ZONA - James Akinjo (14.3 PPG, 5.5 APG)
  • ZONA - Bennedict Mathurin (11.8 PPG, 4.9 RPG)

Stanford-Arizona Predictions

Arizona should be able to cover at home, but a 5-9 record is scary to bet against. Although Arizona should win by six points, the safer odds to play lie with the O/U market.

The teams are a combined 18-9-1 on the O/U, so feel free to take the OVER 146.5. It is a bit high, as Stanford might have to touch 70 with a spotty offense. If you think Arizona touches 80 then take the OVER.

Although the safer odds are with the point total market going OVER, the initial feel for this game is that Arizona should cover -5.5-points at home. Feel free to take either, but one should hit at minimum.

  • Score Prediction: Arizona 79 Stanford 69
  • Best Bets: Arizona -5.5
  • Best Bets: OVER

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