Oregon Ducks vs. Arizona Wildcats Predictions, Picks, Odds

The Oregon Ducks (17-9, 10-5 PAC-12) will travel to take on the Arizona Wildcats (23-2, 13-1 PAC-12) Saturday night. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00 PM ET at the McKale Center in Tucson, Arizona and can be viewed on ESPN.

SCORE PREDICTION

Arizona 77, Oregon 68

BEST BETS

Oregon 13.5 (-110) at BetMGM

OREGON DUCKS VS. ARIZONA WILDCATS PREDICTIONS

The Oregon Ducks are coming off a bad loss to the Arizona State Sun Devils 81-57 this past Thursday night. The Ducks shot the ball horribly, shooting 34.5% from the field and 19.2% from beyond the arc. Oregon was also out rebounded 40-29 and only had nine assists throughout the game. With a 10-5 conference record, the Ducks are currently in fourth place in the Pac-12.

The third ranked Arizona Wildcats defeated the Oregon State Beavers on Thursday night. The Wildcats shot just 22% from three, but managed to shoot 52.5% from the field, and had a whopping 26 assists. Arizona was also able to win the rebounding battle 42-32, and held the Beavers to 39.1% shooting from the field. The Wildcats are atop the PAC-12 with a 13-1 conference record.

The Wildcats have been dominant all season, with their only losses coming from UCLA and Tennessee. Oregon has had a few bad games, including their most recent, but also beat UCLA and USC in back-to-back road games earlier in the season. My immediate reaction to this game was an easy Arizona cover, but this Ducks team has proved they can play with the top teams in the Pac-12. They have also had success against Arizona in the past, most recently being an 80-69 victory in March of 2021. For these reasons I like the Ducks and the points in this one.

OREGON DUCKS VS. ARIZONA WILDCATS BETTING ODDS

  • Oregon +575
  • Arizona -800
  • Oregon +13.5 (-110)
  • Arizona -12.5 (-110)
  • Over 149.5 (-110)
  • Under 149.5 (-110)

More Odds | Futures Odds

OREGON DUCKS VS. ARIZONA WILDCATS BETTING RESOURCES

  • Matchup: Pac-12
  • Date: Saturday, February 19, 2022
  • Venue:McKale Center
  • Location: Tucson, Arizona
  • TV-Time: ESPN - 10:00 p.m. ET

OREGON DUCKS BETTING ANALYSIS

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 17-9
  • ATS: 9-17
  • O/U: 15-11

The Ducks have been terrible ATS this season with a 9-17 ATS record. They are 3-2 SU in their last five games, but 0-5 ATS during that span. Going against this trend, the Ducks are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games against Arizona and 5-0 ATS in their last five games when playing on the road against Arizona. The total has gone over 15 times this season for the Ducks including nine of their last 10 on the road.

Oregon’s offense is led by junior guard Will Richardson, who is averaging 15 PPG, 3.3 RPG, and 3.5 APG. As a team, the Ducks are averaging 72.1PPG (158th), 45.7 FG% (83rd), 34 3PT% (180th), 12 APG (258th), and 34.4 RPG (232nd). Oregon will look to get their three-point shot back after shooting 5-26 on Thursday. Not only that, but the Ducks will need to shoot better than 34% from the field. Arizona loves to score so the Ducks will need to come out firing.

The Ducks defense enters this game having allowed 69.5 PPG over their last four. On the season, Oregon is allowing 67.4 PPG (130th), 42.8 FG% (172nd), 31.4 3PT% (78th), while averaging 6.8 SPG (147th), and 3 BPG (198th). Don’t be surprised to see Oregon play a zone defense to try and force Arizona to shoot the deep ball. If the Wildcats have one weakness, it is their outside shooting.

ARIZONA WILDCATS BETTING ANALYSIS

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 23-2
  • ATS: 14-9-2
  • O/U: 12-13

Arizona has been profitable for bettors with a 14-9-2 ATS record. The Wildcats have gone 2-2-1 ATS in their last five games. In their last five games when playing at home against Oregon, Arizona is 0-5 ATS. The total has gone under in 13 of the Wildcats 25 games including nine of their last 12. Going against the recent trend, the total has gone over in nine of the last 12 games played against Oregon.

The Wildcat's offense has been on a roll all season, averaging 84.8 PPG (3rd), 48.9 FG% (9th), 33.7 3PT% (190th), 20.3 APG (1st), and 43.5 RPG (1st). Sophomore guard Bennedict Mathurin has been great for Arizona, averaging 17.2 PPG, 5.8 RPG, and 2.2 APG. In addition to Bennedict, the Wildcats have two seven-foot centers, Christian Koloko and Oumar Ballo, who have made playing man-to-man an absolute nightmare for teams. Expect the Wildcats to stick to their normal gameplan of working the ball inside, whether it be off the bounce or feeding it to one of the big men.

Arizona’s defense is allowing an average of 69 PPG over their last four games. On the season, the Wildcats are allowing 65.2 PPG (67th), 37 FG% (2nd), 31.4 3PT% (76th), while averaging 6.8 SPG (147th), and 6.1 BPG (4th). This is a tough defense to go up against because of the size they have down low. It forces teams to have to shoot more outside shots then they would care to take. Expect them to do the same to Oregon.


Arizona is 5-2 ATS in the past seven games against winning teams. (AP)

INSIDE THE STATS - OREGON DUCKS

  • Record: 17-9
  • PS/G: 72.1 (161st)
  • PA/G: 67.4 (134th)
  • ORtg: 105.2 (129th)
  • DRtg: 98.3 (154th)

INSIDE THE STATS - ARIZONA WILDCATS

  • Record: 23-2
  • PS/G: 84.8 (3rd)
  • PA/G: 65.2 (66th)
  • ORtg: 114.2 (10th)
  • DRtg: 87.8 (5th)

KEY PLAYERS TO WATCH

  • OREG: N'Faly Dante - C (8.1 PPG, 5.6 RPG, 0.6 APG, 66.9 FG%)
  • OREG: Will Richardson - G (15.0 PPG, 3.3 RPG, 3.5 APG, 48.1 FG%)
  • ZONA: Bennedict Mathurin - G (17.2 PPG, 5.8 PPG, 2.2 APG, 47.1 FG%)
  • ZONA: Christian Koloko - C (12.1 PPG, 7.4 RPG, 1.2 APG, 60.9 FG%)

OREGON DUCKS VS. ARIZONA WILDCATS BETTING CONCLUSION

This will be a tough game for Oregon to win outright. They will need to shoot the ball well and manage Arizona’s size down low. However, the Ducks have shown strength on the road this season with back-to-back road wins against UCLA and USC. I really do not see Oregon winning, but think they put up a fight and keep it within a ten-point loss. Backing Oregon and the points in a hard-fought road game.

OREGON DUCKS VS. ARIZONA WILDCATS BETTING TRENDS

  • Oregon is 0-5 ATS in the past five games overall.
  • Oregon is 3-7 ATS in the past 10 road games.
  • Oregon is 10-4 ATS in the past 14 as a road underdog.
  • Arizona is 1-4 ATS in the past five home games.
  • Arizona is 1-4 ATS in the past five as a home favorite.
  • Arizona is 5-2 ATS in the past seven vs. winning teams.
  • The OVER is 14-6 ATS in the past 20 games overall for Oregon.
  • The OVER is 18-6 ATS in the past 24 road games for Oregon.
  • The OVER is 5-1 in the past six as an underdog for Oregon.
  • The OVER is 4-0 in the past four as a road 'dog for Oregon.
  • The OVER is 9-3 in the past 12 vs. winning teams for Oregon.
  • The UNDER is 9-3 in the past 12 games overall for Arizona.
  • The UNDER is 6-0 in the past six home games for Arizona.
  • The UNDER is 9-3 in the past 12 as a favorite for Arizona.
  • The OVER is 9-3 in the past 12 games vs. winning teams for Arizona.