Last Updated Feb 22, 2022, 7:03 PM

Michigan State Spartans vs. Iowa Hawkeyes Picks, Predictions, Odds

The Michigan State Spartans (18-8, 9-6 Big Ten) travel to meet the Iowa Hawkeyes (18-8, 8-7) at Carver-
Hawkeye Arena in Iowa City on Tuesday. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. ET, and the game can be
viewed on ESPN.

Score Prediction

Iowa 75, Michigan State 72

Best Bets

  • Michigan State +7 (-110)
  • Under 153.5 (-110)

Michigan State Spartans vs. Iowa Hawkeyes Predictions

The Spartans enter play on a two-game losing skid, and Michigan State has also dropped four of its past
five games overall. That including a disappointing 79-74 loss at home to Illinois last time out on
Saturday, while falling at Penn State 62-58 last Tuesday.

The good news is that Michigan State shot 47% (29-of-62) from the field against the Illini, while going
38% (8-of-21) from behind the 3-point line. It only turned the ball over 11 times, too, while holding their
own in the rebounding department with just a minus-1 differential at 33-32. Sparty took care of the ball
better, too, turning it over just 11 times. Tyson Walker would not be denied, dropped in 26 points on 10-
of-12 shooting, including three triples.

For the Hawkeyes, they’re coming off an impressive 75-62 win at Ohio State on Saturday, handing the
Buckeyes their first loss of the season on their home hardwood. After a two-game losing streak of its
own, Iowa has rattled off four wins in the past five tries, covering three of the past four.

Michigan State Spartans vs. Iowa Hawkeyes Betting Odds

  • Iowa -260
  • Michigan State +240
  • Iowa -6 (-110)
  • Michigan State +7 (-110)
  • Over 153 (-110)
  • Under 153.5 (-110)

Michigan State Betting Analysis

  • SU 18-8
  • ATS 13-12-1
  • OU 13-12-1

The Spartans are in freefall, losing four of the past five games overall while going 1-5 ATS in the past six
outings. The only taste of success was a 76-61 victory over Indiana on Feb. 12 as a four-point favorite in
East Lansing.

The Spartans are also 1-4 ATS in the past five games against teams with a winning overall record, while
going 2-5 ATS in the past seven following a non-cover. The good news is that they’re 8-3 ATS in the past
11 games following a straight-up loss.

For totals, the UNDER is 5-2 in the past seven games against teams with a straight-up winning record,
while the OVER is 4-1-1 in the past six after a SU loss and 4-1 ATS in the past five following a non-cover.

Iowa Hawkeyes Betting Analysis

  • SU 18-8
  • ATS 15-11
  • OU 18-7-1

The Hawkeyes picked up that emphatic victory in Columbus the other day, and they’re now 4-1 SU
across the past five games while covering three of the previous four outings. Unfortunately, the
Hawkeyes are just 2-6 ATS in the past eight games at home against teams with a winning road record.

For totals, it’s all OVER all the time for Iowa lately. The OVER is 20-7-1 in the past 28 games overall,
while going 19-6-1 in the past 26 games at home. The OVER is also 12-3-1 in the previous 16 games
following a cover, too.

In this series, the road team has cashed in four straight meetings. That includes an 88-58 beatdown by
Iowa in East Lansing in the most recent meeting on Feb. 13, 2021, and a season sweep by the Hawkeyes
last season that the Spartans won’t soon forget. Prior to last season’s two victories, though, Michigan
State had won the previous five meetings. The UNDER has cashed in three of the past four meetings.

Inside the Stats – Michigan State Spartans

Record: 18-8
PS/G: 72.8 (142nd)
PA/G: 66.6 (104th)
ORtg: 106.2 (106th)
DRtg: 97.2 (119th)

Inside the Stats – Iowa State Hawkeyes

Record: 18-8
PS/G: 83.5 (4th)
PA/G: 71.5 (250th)
ORtg: 116.7 (4th)
DRtg: 99.8 (188th)

Key Players to Watch

MIST: Gabe Brown – F (11.8 PPG, 4.2 RPG, 1.0 APG, 91.1 FT%)
MIST: Malik Hall – F (9.8 PPG, 4.9 RPG, 1.2 APG, 54.9 FG%, 51.0 3P%)
IOWA: Pat McCaffery – F (11.0 PPG, 3.8 RPG, 1.8 APG, 31.2 3P%)
IOWA: Keegan Murray – F (23.4 PPG, 8.2 RPG, 2.1 BPG, 1.3 SPG, 1.2 APG, 56.1 FG%)

Michigan State Spartans vs. Iowa Hawkeyes Conclusion

Neither of these teams are playing particularly well right now. Michigan State is really reeling, and Sparty currently has just one player managing to average double digits in points. Iowa is much deeper, and has one of the best played in the conference in Keegan Murray. He and the coach’s son, McCaffery, are more than enough to give Michigan State fits.

Michigan State Spartans vs. Iowa Hawkeyes Betting Trends

Michigan State is 1-5 ATS in the past six games overall.
Michigan State is 1-4 ATS in the past five vs. winning teams.
Michigan State is 2-5 ATS in the past seven after a non-cover.
Michigan State is 8-3 ATS in the past 11 after a SU loss.
Iowa is 2-6 ATS in the past eight home games vs. teams with a winning road record.
The UNDER is 5-2 in the past seven vs. winning teams for Michigan State.
The OVER is 4-1 in the past five after a SU loss for Michigan State.
The OVER is 4-1-1 in the past six after a non-cover for Michigan State.
The OVER is 20-7-1 in the past 28 games overall for Iowa.
The OVER is 19-6-1 in the past 26 home games for Iowa.
The OVER is 7-1 in the past eight home games for Iowa vs. teams with a winning road record.
The road team is 4-0 ATS in the past four meetings.

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