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Last Updated Feb 23, 2022, 02:48 AM

San Diego State Aztecs vs. Boise State Broncos Picks, Predictions, Odds

The San Diego State Aztecs (17-6, 9-3 Mountain West) travel to meet the Boise State Broncos (21-6, 12-2) at ExtraMile Arena in Boise on Tuesday. Tip-off is scheduled for 9:00 p.m. ET, and the game can be viewed on CBS Sports Network.

Score Prediction

Boise State 64, San Diego State 61

Best Bets

  • Boise State -135 ML
  • Over 119.5 (-110)

San Diego State Aztecs vs. Boise State Broncos Predictions

The Aztecs worked over Fresno State last time out in a road win, covering a three-point number in the 61-44 win. San Diego State has won five in a row, with each of the past four victories coming by 10 or more points. The 44 points allowed were the second lowest of the season, with only the 42 points allowed to Boise State as a lower amount.

The Broncos picked up an ugly, ugly 42-37 victory over the Aztecs in Southern California back on Jan. 22. Boise State won despite shooting just 31% (14-of-45) from the field, including 31% (5-of-16) from downtown. Boise State turned it over 15 times to just 12 for San Diego State, but the Broncos won the rebounding battle by a 35-to-30 margin. San Diego State also shot just 28% (16-of-57), while misfiring on four of its five free-throw opportunities. Hopefully this one isn’t nearly as ugly.

San Diego State Aztecs vs. Boise State Broncos Betting Odds

  • San Diego State +115
  • Boise State -135
  • San Diego State +2.5 (-110)
  • Boise State -2 (-110)
  • Over 119.5 (-110)
  • Under 120 (-110)

San Diego State Aztecs Betting Analysis

  • SU 17-6
  • ATS 12-11
  • OU 8-15

The Aztecs have rattled off five consecutive victories, allowing 44, 56, 64, 62 and 63 across the span. Defense is obviously a huge part of San Diego State’s success.

San Diego State has been super on the road, going 20-8 ATS across the past 28 away from home, although it is just 1-4 ATS in the past five as a road underdog. The Aztecs are also 8-2 ATS in the past 10 against teams with a winning overall record, too.

For totals, the UNDER is 19-7 in the past 26 games as an underdog, while going 4-1 in the past five as a road ‘dog. The UNDER is also 6-1 in the past seven following a cover.

Boise State Broncos Betting Analysis

  • SU 21-6
  • ATS 14-12
  • OU 11-15

The Broncos have picked up a pair of double-digit wins against Air Force and Utah State since a Feb. 13 overtime loss against Colorado State. Boise State has covered two in a row, and it is shooting for a third consecutive cover for the first time since a 6-0 ATS run from Dec. 7-Jan. 12.

Boise State picked up a cover in that ugly, ugly shot show in San Diego on Jan. 22, covering as 4.5-point underdogs as the underdog easily cashed.

The Broncos are 1-5 ATS in the past six games at home, while also going 1-5 ATS in the past six as a home favorite. The OVER has hit in six of the past seven for Boise, while going 5-1 in the past six as a favorite. And speaking of favorites, the fave is 7-2 ATS in the previous nine meetings in this series.

Inside the Stats – San Diego State Aztecs

Record: 17-6
PS/G: 65.4 (308th)
PA/G: 57.1 (2nd)
ORtg: 97.8 (281st)
DRtg: 85.3 (1st)

Inside the Stats – Boise State Broncos

Record: 21-6
PS/G: 68.9 (241st)
PA/G: 59.7 (9th)
ORtg: 103.8 (157th)
DRtg: 90.1 (11th)

Key Players to Watch

SDSU: Matt Bradley – G (17.0 PPG, 5.2 RPG, 2.6 APG, 1.2 SPG)
SDSU: Trey Pulliam – G (8.0 PPG, 3.6 APG, 2.6 RPG, 1.0 SPG)
BOISE: Abu Kigab – F (13.8 PPG, 6.1 RPG, 2.2 APG, 1.2 SPG, 48.1 FG%)
BOISE: Marcus Shaver Jr. – G (13.5 PPG, 3.7 RPG, 2.0 APG, 1.1 SPG)

San Diego State Aztecs vs. Boise State Broncos Conclusion

The Aztecs and Broncos played one of the most ugly basketball games you’ll ever see. To be fair, San Diego State was coming back after a two-week hiatus following COVID, but it started the game without any points in the first six minutes, while posting no buckets in the first 10 minutes of the second half.

The 37 points for San Diego State was its lowest since a 49-36 loss at Washington in 2014. That ugly performance has led to an ultra-low total on the board. Take advantage, as these teams will combine for at least 120 points, if not much more. There is no way both sides are going to put up those horrific and historic low numbers a second consecutive time.

San Diego State Aztecs vs. Boise State Broncos Betting Trends

San Diego State is 20-8 ATS in the past 28 road games.
San Diego State is 8-2 ATS in the past 10 vs. winning teams.
San Diego State is 1-4 ATS in the past five as a road underdog.
Boise State is 1-5 ATS in the past six home games.
Boise State is 1-5 ATS in the past six as a home favorite.
The UNDER is 19-7 in the past 26 games as an underdog for San Diego State.
The UNDER is 4-1 in the past five games as a road ‘dog for San Diego State.
The OVER is 6-1 in the past seven games overall for Boise State.
The OVER is 5-1 in the past six as a favorite for Boise State.
The favorite is 7-2 ATS in the past nine meetings.

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