Kansas Jayhawks vs. Baylor Bears Predictions, Picks, Odds

Daniel Dobish Sports Betting Expert

5 minute read

The Kansas Jayhawks (23-4, 12-2 Big 12) travel to meet the Baylor Bears (23-5, 11-4) at Ferrell Center in Waco, Texas on Saturday. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:00 p.m. ET, and the game can be viewed on ESPN.

Score Prediction

Kansas 75 Baylor 71

Best Bet

Kansas +140 ML
Kansas +3.5 (-109)
Under 149.5 (-110)

KANSAS JAYHAWKS VS. BAYLOR BEARS PREDICTIONS

The Jayhawks registered a 102-83 victory at home against Kansas State last time out on Tuesday, covering a 12-point number. KU has posted four consecutive wins and three straight covers since a loss at Texas on Feb. 7.

These teams just met in Lawrence on Feb. 5, with KU picking up an 83-59 victory as 2.5-point favorites as the UNDER cashed. Baylor shot just 30% (21-of-71) from the field, while going 26% (7-of-27) from behind the arc with 14 turnovers. Kansas also hit an impressive 52% (32-of-62) from the field, while also turning it over 14 times. However, they outrebounded the Bears at a 45-to-35 clip. The margin of victory might have been even greater, but Kansas was just 25% (5-of-20) from behind the arc.

KANSAS JAYHAWKS VS. BAYLOR BEARS BETTING ODDS

• Kansas +140
• Baylor -154
• Kansas +3.5 (-109)
• Baylor -3 (-110)
• Over 149 (-109)
• Under 149.5 (-110)

More Odds | Futures Odds

KANSAS JAYHAWKS VS. BAYLOR BEARS BETTING RESOURCES

• Matchup: Big 12
• Date: Saturday, February 26, 2022
• Venue: Ferrell Center
• Location: Waco, Texas
• TV-Time: ESPN - 8:00 p.m. ET

• Injury Report
• Wooden Award Odds
• Conference Futures Market
• Power Rankings

KANSAS JAYHAWKS BETTING ANALYSIS

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

• SU: 23-4
• ATS: 13-13-1
• O/U: 16-11

The Jayhawks scored a season-high 102 points last time out against K-State, picking up their third consecutive cover. That ties a season high three covers, the longest streak since going 5-0 ATS from Feb. 8-20, 2021.

Kansas is 5-2 ATS in the past seven games overall, while going 4-1 ATS in the past five outings following a SU win. However, the Jayhawks haven't relished the underdog role, going 1-3-1 ATS in the past five when not favored.

The Jayhawks cashed the OVER last time out with the triple-digit score. The OVER is also 13-6 in the past 19 games on the road, while going 12-4 in the past 16 away games against teams with a winning home record. The OVER is 4-1-1 in the past six as an underdog, while going 4-0 in the past four as a road 'dog.

BAYLOR BEARS BETTING ANALYSIS

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

• SU: 23-5
• ATS: 14-12-2
• O/U: 14-13-1

The Bears have won the past two games against Oklahoma State in overtime on the road, while pushing as 10-point favorites against TCU. They're still just 2-5-1 ATS across the past eight games overall, including that non-cover against Kansas earlier in the month.

Baylor is also 2-5-1 ATS in the past eight games at home, and 2-5-1 ATS in the past eight as a home favorite, while going 1-4 ATS in the past five following a straight-up win.

For totals, the UNDER is 15-5-1 in the past 21 games for the Bears against winning teams, although the OVER is 19-9 in the past 28 games at home, and 19-9 in the past 28 games as a home favorite.

INSIDE THE STATS - KANSAS JAYHAWKS

• Record: 23-4
• PS/G: 80.0 (14th)
• PA/G: 68.2 (158th)
• ORtg: 112.9 (18th)
• DRtg: 96.3 (88th)

INSIDE THE STATS - BAYLOR BEARS

• Record: 23-5
• PS/G: 77.1 (47th)
• PA/G: 63.0 (29th)
• ORtg: 111.0 (29th)
• DRtg: 90.8 (20th)

KEY PLAYERS TO WATCH

• KU: Ochai Agbaji - G (20.2 PPG, 5.2 RPG, 1.7 APG, 51.0 FG%, 44.5 3P%)
• KU: Christian Braun - G (15.2 PPG, 5.9 RPG, 3.0 APG, 1.1 SPG, 51.5 FG%)
• BAY: James Akinjo - G (12.9 PPG, 5.7 APG, 2.4 RPG, 2.1 SPG, 83.3 FT%)
• BAY: Adam Flagler - G (13.7 PPG, 3.1 APG, 2.3 RPG, 1.2 SPG, 40.4 3P%)

KANSAS JAYHAWKS VS. BAYLOR BEARS BETTING CONCLUSION

The Jayhawks have dominated this series, both straight up and against the number. Kansas won the first meeting this season by 24 points, and they're 3-1 SU/4-0 ATS across the past four in this series. The underdog is actually 4-1 ATS in the past five meetings, with KU going 6-1 ATS in the past seven meetings. The UNDER has connected in four of the past five, too.

The Bears are at home which is great news, and while they got G Adam Flagler back from a knee injury last time out, G L.J. Cryer (foot) will remain sidelined for at least another week or two. Baylor had trouble handling Kansas in the first meeting, with James Akinjo misfiring on all 11 of his field-goal attempts while going scoreless. That's likely not going to happen again, but no Cryer hurts, and the Jayhawks are at full strength. This is a statement game for Kansas, as it needs to show it can win on the road, and it will do just that in rather impressive fashion.

KANSAS JAYHAWKS VS. BAYLOR BEARS BETTING TRENDS

• Kansas is 5-2 ATS in the past seven games overall.
• Kansas is 1-3-1 ATS in the past five games as an underdog.
• Kansas is 4-1 ATS in the past five following a SU win.
• Baylor is 2-5-1 ATS in the past eight games overall.
• Baylor is 2-5-1 ATS in the past eight home games.
• Baylor is 2-5-1 ATS in the past eight as a home favorite.
• Baylor is 1-4 ATS in the past five following a SU win.
• The OVER is 13-6 in the past 19 road games for Kansas.
• The OVER is 4-1-1 in the past six as an underdog for Kansas.
• The OVER is 4-0 in the past four as a road 'dog for Kansas.
• The UNDER is 15-5-1 in the past 21 vs. winning teams for Kansas.
• The OVER is 19-9 in the past 28 home games for Baylor.
• The UNDER is 15-5-1 in the past 21 vs. winning teams for Baylor.
• The road team is 24-10-1 ATS in the past 35 meetings.
• The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the past five meetings.

Daniel Dobish

Dan is a handicapper and sports betting expert for VegasInsider with years of experience writing for a number of top publications in the industry. More from Daniel Dobish